Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU)
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- mharps: $BTU added but still small
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Rockstar: ...
The metals closed above the 50 day EMA yesterday after testing monthly support so there is some potential here as well. I am watching $FCX here as it is forming a high base. The $XLB closed above the 50 day EMA and I am watching $FCX, $DOW and $NU ... - traderbren: $BTU - looking constructive as it works to reclaim the 20d.
- bla00109: $UNG I'm using this instead of Rocky's $BTU for wheel trades. This is volatile but the options are more liquid with narrower spreads. Own 500 shares @ 19.8. Rolled my 16Dec $23 calls to 23Dec, same strike @ net $0.22 (57% annualized return on this weekly premium). I'll recheck this Mon and Tue to see if I should have delayed the sales of these short calls like Rocky advocates.
- bigbartabs: @bla00109 $UNG $BTU ... I use $UNG to trigger buys of $BOIL. A buckin' bronco... but if you can keep up with your alerts, and not let it get away from you... it works. All the best...
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY Watch the 50 Day $QQQ Breakdown from the wedge $UUP Watch the 200 Day $XLE Holding the 100 EMA $OIH At the 50 Day $XBI Tight along the MAs $TLT Stopping near the 200 Day $AAPL Breakdown $TSLA Lower Highs $FSLR Above the MAs $ENPH Around the 21 EMA $ARRY Sold this today $TNK Above the 50 Day $NOG At the 100 EMA $MODN New Weekly high $CEIX Flag $BTU Needs to tighten up
- phgruver: Looking back, over my shoulder, as it were, I noticed that $BTU has pulled back from a high of $32.89, on 11/30, to a low of $27.09 on 12/12, a 17.6% decline. It is now seeming to find support at the 50dma, trading for the 3rd day in close proximity. Interestingly, though, the 50dma hasn't been relevant for the past 6 months, however, the lower Bollinger Band has provided support the 4 previous times that it was touched. Not something to take action on, but something to watch.... Coal is still the most hated energy source in the world, and the enemies of coal are implacable!
- vitoB: @phgruver $BTU ive been building a position in $ARLP on red days for the past month. overall position is negative but div should be coming up soon. have to be realistic on coals. $10 bill in green energy has takenn coal from 82% to 80% , might be fuzzy but something like this.. when you realize that if they spend 50bil more it might get to 50-60% maybe...think about that ...
- natural: @phgruver $BTU FYI from IBD yesterday: "BTU shares have formed a handle with a 32.99 buy point.. stock is rebounding from its 50-day moving average. If shares retake Tuesday's high of 29.08 that would offer aggressive investors an early entry, with the stock breaking the handle downtrend and getting above its 21-day exponential moving average."
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DAN: ...
$BTU -- Base is maturing. The longer the better.
$INMD -- Scott covered this today. Alert $39
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Rockstar: ...
So what do we do now? I am going to be letting the short puts I sold either expire today or receive delivery of some of the underlying stocks. I am okay either way and will let the trades work. There has been some deterioration in the $XLE ETF an ... - DAN: Stocks For This Morning Good morning. I will be on IBDLive this morning. Four stocks that are quite interesting to me are $MUSA $HRMY $ENPH and $BTU. These stock all have very solid growth fundamentals and are in good patterns that typically lead to higher prices. Just wanted to let you know. --Dan
- wineinquirer: @DAN $MUSA $HRMY $ENPH $BTU ?What time Dan?
- scottrades: @wineinquirer $MUSA $HRMY $ENPH $BTU Starts in a few minutes. https://research.investors.com/ibdlive/
- Docoof: @scottrades $MUSA $HRMY $ENPH $BTU Just subscribed for a three week trial to watch Dan!
- scottrades: @Docoof $MUSA $HRMY $ENPH $BTU Great! The IBD Team is solid.
- mharps: @swingbound $BTU look at that ix1050
- swingbound: @mharps $BTU I think I see it ... it looks like the break , thanks .
- swingbound: $BTU This broke and has been rejected at the 20SMAD and now the same has occurred with the Retracement support level ~ 28.77 . As a result we have much better than 50 - 50 probability that this will at minimum test the 50SMAD almost 5% lower from here . ( ~ 4% is more accurate RHRN to the 50 but it has lifting to do to regain any of these support areas today )
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DAN: ...
$BTU -- Still needs more time.
- swingbound: $AMR is at the 50SMAD in - test .... this is one of many recent tests . Its a short tight wedge here with the 20SMAD as R1 overhead . $BTU has cracked below the 20SMAD and is testing the 61.8 % for support RHRN . A failure lands it ~ 27.13 . These are under some recent pressure . For me this is approaching at least a partial stop level short term so today's close is important .
- MongosPawn: @swingbound $AMR $BTU Looks like AMR has a $5 dividend on 12/14. You'd think that there'd be buyers at this point. Or maybe I'm missing something.
- swingbound: @MongosPawn $AMR $BTU My thought was coal my follow oil but I'll defer to others on those points . Leaving a position or full position on at base support can ruin a person's morning , that much I know from experience . best , Will
- phgruver: @Niche $AMR Coal is really tough, right here. The chart for $BTU and $CEIX look very similar. At least $CEIX pays a 5.84% dividend.
- swingbound: @phgruver $AMR $BTU $CEIX The one big difference I see is $CEIX is working on another Monthly breakout , having its Monthly broken out previously this March . Whereas $BTU is much lower in its pattern and still in its Monthly Cup , its working on a Weekly breakout . Presumably the Monthly might be a more powerful pivot to overcome and with more juice than the Weekly .
- Gpinewild: @maracom $BTU Thanks for the explanation. So this is a calculation for each week.
- kycol: @Gpinewild open the option chart , say for $BTU; pick 1st Friday Weekly & select it; look in the upper right corner of the Option page; you should see something like 75.09%(+/-1.283); ignore the percent, the implied move is /-1.283. That is good from when you look at it during trading hours until options are closed on Friday. Works in all the other option periods too. It changes as traders trade options during the day. And, there is a big time decay near the end of the week in weekly options & that’s what we hope to sell. PS: in a normal trending market, you can sell going into a 3-day weekend for next week & gain 3 extra days of time decay — I don’t do this in this volatile market RHRN.
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DAN: ...
$BTU -- Stopped out at 29.45 for a break even trade. As I see this, it’s looking like $BTU will be holding above the 50-day moving average. Still in the basebuilding phase. No rush to buy here.
$AMR -- Stop remains at 156.60. Holding up.
$ ... - Enrique: @DAN $REGN $SPY $QQQ $ASO $OLLI $SIG $MUSA $M $DBI $GME $CWH $CRM $TH $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Your website needs some TLC. Strategy session is blocking and can't be viewed
- Hemal: @DAN $REGN $SPY $QQQ $ASO $OLLI $SIG $MUSA $M $DBI $GME $CWH $CRM $TH $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Hey Dan, we are unable to access video for SS today 12/7/22
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DAN: ...
$BTU -- Stopped out yesterday for a break-even trade. If you were taking some profits along the way, you're in good shape. If you just adhered to the stop, you are not in bad shape -- you just didn't profit on the trade. It happens. Watch for a r ... -
phgruver: @mogo $BTU $BTU is a tough call! Coal is going to be in demand for the next 6 months, but it's still the most hated energy source in the world. Also, as it doesn't pay any dividends, your only profit will come from capital appreciation.
So, the qu ... -
DAN: ...
$BTU -- Stopped out at 29.45 for a break even trade. As I see this, it’s looking like $BTU will be holding above the 50-day moving average. If you have not sold, I’d suggest hanging onto it to see if it will rebound. If the stock falls ... - DAN: Live Session at 8 am PT / 11 am ET Good morning. Today's training session begins at 8 am PT / 11 am ET. Stops on the active trade ideas are unchanged. I will be covering each of these stocks during the session: $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Here is the link to the training session: https://us02web.zoom.us/j/84851109626 Hope to see you there. --Dan
- maracom: Good morning all! Was out last week, cashed out any high risk trades and set-and-forgot some stops. Missed the move off of the Powell speech. I'm in about 30% energy mostly $DVN $BTU, 30% metals $GDX $NEM $SLV $AA $FCX, 10% solar $RUN $ENPH, and 30% ...
- maracom: $BTU breaking the 8EMA. I'm stopped out of a partial
- phgruver: @maracom $BTU ...and I just added. You were probably right to ditch it, and I hope I'm proven right to have added. It all depends on the entry and the time frame.....
- maracom: @phgruver $BTU I've come to hate buying pullbacks to the 8 EMA. It's such weak support and breaks so often. I'll often buy tests of the 20/50/200SMAs but on the 8 I'll just wait for phase 3 to recapture the previous high
- phgruver: @maracom $BTU I agree, but I'm looking at $30 as a major support level. If I'm wrong, I'll ditch it too. :-)
- natural: @phgruver $BTU Beware the gap down to $29.38.
- maracom: $BTU looks like the test of the 8 was reasonably successful, I bought back my partial at break even and put my new partial stop at LOD
- maracom: @maracom $BTU aaaaand stopped out again. Gonna wait for the 20sma
- maracom: @swingbound $VLO $MTDR $DVN $XLE very reasonable short term analysis. My time horizon for $DVN is off the weekly, so my stop is below the 50 week SMA. But I definitely trimmed my $BTU today. Even though I think there's plenty of secular reasons for energy to continue up, it's a crowded trade and agile trading will most likely be rewarded
- swingbound: @maracom $VLO $MTDR $DVN $XLE $BTU Thanks for keeping me posted .. we'll watch for the Weekly as things setup .
- mogo: Was the Active Trades List stopped out of $BTU today?
- Henry: @mogo $BTU The stop was $29.45 so it should have been. Maybe it will morph into one of those things we need to keep track of.
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DAN: ...
$BTU - 29.45
$AMR - 156.60
$VRTX - 308.39
$CPRX - 15.40
$ENPH - 279.50
$TMDX - 54.20
$SHOP - 37.00
Have a good day.
--Dan - Nepenthe: @DAN $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP I don't see $VRNA on the ATL. Wasn't that added yesterday? Cheers.
- Kid2old: @Nepenthe $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Email at 7:55 am (PT) I did not see in Forum
- DAN: @Nepenthe $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA My apologies. I can't find that post. What were the prices, Nepenthe? I'll put it on there. I have a small position in it, so I'm sure I mentioned it somewhere....just can't seem to find it.
- Kid2old: @DAN $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Active Trade Bulletin: Verona Pharma ($VRNA) Verona Pharma ($VRNA) is breaking out of a squeeze. I'm putting this on the Trade Ideas List: Basis: 13.47 Stop: 11.20 suggested maximum stop. --Dan
- marklpearson: @DAN $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA email yesterday morning 9:55 am
- Nepenthe: @DAN $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA What Kid2Old posted. No worries. You emailed it and then I believe the website had issues. Cheers.
- DAN: @Kid2old $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Thank you!!
- DAN: @Nepenthe $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Thanks! It's up now. 8-)
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DAN: ...
$BTU - 29.45 - 29.58 - 2022-11-07 - 29.45. Holding the 8-day ema
$AMR - 176.64 - 176.70 - 2022-11-07 - 156.60. Sideways drift in a flat base since last May. $180 is resistance. Alert $180
$VRTX - 308.39 - 309.01 - 2022-11-08 - 308.39. Flat on t ... - natural: Thursday special - $BTU on sale today - 3% off!
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY/$QQQ Digestion Day $DIA In trend $UUP At the 200-Day to the downside $GDX At the 200-Day to the upside $XME In trend $TAN Building a handle $SMH At the 200 Day. $IBB Working, see Dan’s ATL Trades $IGV Great volume #Bitcoin Still some Risk $BTU Trend is fine $ARLP Still needs time $FSLR Trend is fine $ENPH On Dan’s ATL $ARRY Whippy $RUN Holding the 8EMA $NVDA Working but still under the 200 Day $ON Wide price action $LSCC Working but also wide $AEHR Bought this today $SNOW Nice work on this in the forum $U Also watch this. $BA Clear resistance $MS Above all the MAs $CPRX Holding the 8EMA $VRTX Trending up along the 8EMA
- indigo1948: @scottrades - good morning Scott. It is getting hard to hold $BTU with the large profit I have - thinking of moving my stop on half of my position to the 8 DMA. Your thoughts? Have a great day and thank you for your market commentary.
- scottrades: @indigo1948 $BTU First off, congrats! That's a good problem to have. I would consider selling 1/4 of your holdings into strength. Take some of the pressure off. It's good to let some air out of the balloon and pay yourself for your good work. Then stagger up 3 stops on the rest to levels that you're comfortable with and let it work. GREAT JOB!!
- indigo1948: @scottrades $BTU - excellent suggestion Scott - thank you.
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DAN: ...
$BTU -- Basis 29.45. 7% gain now. Stop at 29.45 to lock in a worst-case break even on the trade. Weekly chart shows the true picture. Expect price fluctuation around a key resistance zone. Alert $33
$AMR. BAsis 176.64. Stop at 156.60. Locks ... - scottrades: Early Strength in $BTU
- DAN: Now would be a good time to add to $BTU.
- scottrades: @DAN $BTU 3 Days of short interest.
- Margi1983: @DAN $BTU Thanks. We also have $ARCH bouncing off the 50 ma and the midpoint of 143 on the weekly chart. Looks like a possible pull back and bounce trade
- lauralynnee: @DAN $BTU For those of us who missed the initial entry and are without a current position to add to, is this also good place to open one?
- maracom: @DAN $BTU nice trade @Dan! I’ve been adding some legs here and there and this is now my biggest position after $DVN with a basis below $29. In the current market I’m a fan of starting positions a little early at support and adding at breakout levels. Your patience has been paying off nicely on this one
- gmj: @DAN $BTU love the active trade bulletin, had just added before I heard the ding. I continue to struggle with times to add. Anything that you and Scott might instruct in that area routinely would be a blessing.
- vitoB: @gmj $BTU also have been building a position in $ARLP...even more shorts and yeild...Ive held this for a month...which is quite long for me still down a couple percent but made it through div distribution....happy with myself for losing but sticking with the strategy of the ticker
- DAN: @Margi1983 $BTU $ARCH Hi Margi. Really convincing bounce this morning. 6.5% gap down to the 50-day MA, and now trading higher. There is a lot of overhead supply
- Affable Trader: @DAN $BTU Are you still using that really loose stop?
- DAN: @Affable Trader $BTU Yeah, I'm leaving it at 26.20 for now. BUT...that is just a suggestion to not let the stock go down farther than that. But you should feel free to keep a tighter stop if you wish. I'm just tired of getting stopped out of otherwise great trades because I didn't give the volatility enough room.
- DAN: @lauralynnee $BTU Sure. Small one to start. This could pull back a bit, so you've got to be prudent in all positions these days.
- lauralynnee: $BTU feeling frisky, great timing, thanks @Dan
- scottrades: Nice close on $BTU
- Cjauger: @scottrades $BTU yess!! I was working today, I got the text message and I was able to get a starter position. Thanks for making your service better
- Craig97003: @Cjauger $BTU I also was able to get a starter position going.... Very thankful for the text message on $BTU from Dan.
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY / $QQQ Awaiting The Hawk $DIA Lower High $IWM Under the 200 Day $UUP Watch this tomorrow $GDX Basing $TAN Lower Low $XLE In consolidation $BTU Breakout on good volume. $CEIX Breaking out of a base $ARLP At the 50 Day $NSC Flag $CSX Another attempt at the 200 Day $CP Long base $AEM At the 200 Day $FNV Sloppy base. $APA Flag $COP Holding the 50 Day $EOG Flag $LNG Loose but holding the MAs $CF In a base
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Rockstar: ...
The $DIA and $IWM continue their strength with some strength in more than a couple ETF's. The ETF's that I am looking at long positions include $TAN, $XLF, $XLE, $XLB, $XLI, $XLP, $XLV, $XME,and $IYT. Of these, I am hesitant on the $XLE with oi ... -
DAN: ...
$BTU -- $26.20
$LLY -- $349.40
$VRTX -- $308.39
Have a good day, and a wonderful weekend.
--Dan -
DAN: Active Trade Bulletin: $LLY $BTU $VRTX $ACLX $AMR
$LLY - Up 8.61%. Leaving the stop at 349.40, which is about 4% below the current price. Due to the volatility in the market, I still want to give this stock some room. This trade idea has been op ... -
DAN: ...
$BTU - 25.90
$AMR - 148.50
$VRTX - 296.00
$ACLX -- 19.30
Have a good day.
--Dan -
scottrades: ...
$BTU (Mentioned in the forum) Building a potential Flag.
$GDX Above The 8EMA with a 200 Day Ceiling.
$BA Flag
$MS Flag
That’s just a handful of what I’m paying attention to. Keep it simple!
Have a great day,
Scott
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DAN: ...
$BTU -- Pretty solid rebound yesterday off the 20-day moving average. Volume was a bit light, but I'll take it. Suggested maximum stop remains at 25.90.
$AMR -- I am raising the max stop suggestion from 148.50 to 152.35 (just below the 50-day mov ... - scottrades: Busy watching metals and solar, missed the breakout in $BTU
- ProfMike1: @scottrades $BTU Hi Scott and Forum, there is a potential in the US for a railroad strike on Dec.9. Coal is transported mainly by rail. Only 1 of 12 unions must disagree with the offer to trigger a strike. The rest will join in "solidarity." Is the strength in BTU today a function of the future scarcity of coal? On the other hand, if you can't get your product to market, you cannot sell it. Is this move a "false flag", and the price will tank with a strike. Thoughts? Also, oil and gas are mainly transported by pipelines. They should not be affected.
- vcondry: @scottrades $BTU in this since Yesterday do you think its a good time to sell as it hits its head on the $30ish mark or would you hold it?
- scottrades: @vcondry $BTU I'd wait to see how it closes. Weekly has a juicy 8 month base.
- vcondry: @scottrades $BTU thank you.
- maracom: @vcondry $BTU The more times it challenges resistance, the more cracks that develop in the ceiling.
- natural: @scottrades $XLE $XLF $TAN $ARRY $FSLR $STLD $BTU $GDX $BA $MS This is perhaps already seen, but I took a screenshot of a couple of charts that really seem to sum up 2022 for me (and lots of other folks, I think).
- phgruver: @natural $XLE $XLF $TAN $ARRY $FSLR $STLD $BTU $GDX $BA $MS :-) Definitely what this year has looked like!
- bigbartabs: @natural $XLE $XLF $TAN $ARRY $FSLR $STLD $BTU $GDX $BA $MS ... the last 2 charts look just like what a driver motioned to me other day when I was driving too slow.
- RD: $BTU $CEIX Both up 6% today.
- DAN: Active Trade Bulletin: $VRTX -- Maintaining the 315 breakout.. My max suggested stop is now $308.39, which cuts the risk down to break even. $BTU -- Nice bounce off the 20-day moving average and never really tested the 25.90 max stop suggestion. I added a bit to my position today, which is still quite smal. $AMR -- Also a nice reversal here and never tested our $148.50 stop. I'll need to look at this more tonight, but will probably be hiking the stop up tomorrow. We are still down quite a bit on this trade, with a basis of 176.64 $LLY -- Status quo. Nothing to do. --Dan For a complete list of all Active Trades, click here: https://stockmarketmentor.com/active-trades-list/
- bigreek42: $btu picked some up a bit earlier stop LOD
- joelsg1: @DAN $ROST $SPY $DJI $IYT $MDY $IWM $QQQ $EOG $XLE $MUR $OXY $PXD $OVV $SM $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPA $TSLA hey @Dan, Pls. Fix your mic, mucho static.
- DAN: @joelsg1 $ROST $SPY $DJI $IYT $MDY $IWM $QQQ $EOG $XLE $MUR $OXY $PXD $OVV $SM $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPA $TSLA Really? I just listened to both videos and they sound fine to me.
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Rockstar: ...
So what is my plan? I will continue to work my covered call strategy with a couple of new names such as $GM,$BTU, $X and possibly $LVS while continuing my positions in $TMUS,$PG,$KO, $UNG and $KHC. Do not feel that you need to take positions in all ...
| Stock Price | $23.66 |
| Change | 0.81% |
| Volume | 2,297,190 |
Peabody Energy Corporation is involved in mining. It mines, prepares, and sells thermal coal to electric utilities and metallurgical coal to industrial customers.
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