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  • eTradeBaby: NATIONAL NURSES WEEK @frog1856. nice post, could not agree more with the sentiment over nurses. Nurses, $OB docs etc come from a special expression of twisting genetic material where just the correct ORFs were translated where the phenotypical traits I can only admire and hope to emulate if ony a small portion, to be a better person.
  • DragonFly: Stocks -jojo- I strayed from my discipline, $OB One, Need to follow the Leader. Lesson learned again. Should have taken gains when I had them.
  • psa_gwiz: SLM- In the past has bounced at 20MA. It has hit the 20MA and slightly backed off of it, It is trending up above 20 but it is a financial. Anyone else watching this one as well. . Stochastics aren't really telling me much other than it's not $OB or OS. I would be interested in your comments as well. My plan is to watch and see if it will indeed bounce off 20 or if it con't to 50EMA. 50EMA seems like the best place to buy.
  • scarboro: @Dan thanks Potash own 40% from memory Do you have any preference regarding OS or $OB stochastics good health mark
  • Bob: Dean, Not @Dan but thinking we will see $70-75 by the end of July. Reason: OPEC (read Saudi) are ready to have the price back up and sustained above 65. It would be there now except for the "cheating" by Russia and Venezuela...but greed will win. Also, 70-75 will most likely still have gas in a range we are willing to pay. Any higher and Prez $OB opens the reserves and down come the prices...until forced to refill the reserves. Meanwhile China has loaded up its reserves and have locked in long-term supply with Brazil and Venezuela at the cheaper prices vs. Prez Bush who bought at premiums. It's all a ballet...in intricate ballet...and 70-75 seems to work for everyone other than China and they have made other arrangements. :)
  • Craigy: Hate to make broad market calls but it is the cheapest form of entertainment. A few weeks back when it appeared the health care sector was holding up well I suggested that it could end up being the sector at the end of the year which did the best. Th ...
  • John Scot: @Bob - Re: (SKF) I agree that the "G-Man" and Prez speech complicate matters. As @Dan pointed out the involvement of the government makes for a more volatile market. If $SKF looks set to close around >95 then I will risk overnight hold. No doubt means a drop to 75 at the open! Trying to maintain discipline of plan and underlying assumptions for entry and exit points. However, the constant interventions by government (policy announcements, happy faces from Ben or $OB on the campaign trail) all make the market indicators less reliable than normal. My sense is that things could continue to go up (in between down days) until earnings season, so I remain bearish long-term, but accept the bulls may still run this party for now. Anyhow, too much thought beyond my plan is not a good idea. As you and @Dan say, "fly the plan". $SKF @95.4 with 19 mins to close.
  • Craigy: @Erin I know very little about the stock group and business but consider this. Last week $OB shot down a disposal facility application. If you were in the business wouldn't you jack your fees up with that news?
  • Bob: Uranium / Alternative Energy Lest it go unnoticed, the proposed $OB budget basically @wipes out significant continued funding for the Nevada Yucca Mountain storage facility and the House has already cut the balance of 2009 funding to the lowest in recent years. No matter what your take on the site, it should be considered when considering alternative energy potential trades here in the US. A full editorial from IBD can be read here: http://tinyurl.com/av5nm7 A second editorial discussing alternative energy can be read here: http://tinyurl.com/c6woss that also is good stuff to know for energy traders.
  • Bob: @timmacy (Health Stocks) I think with good risk management, your thesis is sound. People talking and $OB suggesting or proposing does not make it fact. There's a lot of potential for modification if not outright change of apparent news. The first reaction is often overdone.
  • Craigy: Keep your wits about you, just consider the $OB disappointment possibility. We've not even cleared the Friday high.
  • Bob: John, I was just sitting here thinking about how the market is up.. presumably on Ben Bernanke's comments that 2009 could see the end of some financial woes...and wondering if I knew anyone that could make a quick call to $OB requesting he stay off TV tonight. It's not that I dislike $OB, I just really don't think he (or anyone else) has anything to say and probably a lot to sell. One guess on how the market will react tomorrow if we get a message of it's bad out there and full of finger pointing? I've got lots of patience and would much rather see him less often with more definitive things to say vs. an outline of campaign promises. Note the speech is also scheduled for after the after-hours trading closes... just a time zone thing I'm sure. :)
  • Bob: @OrthoDoc (revisit requested) Doc, do you have any personal insight on the following companies with an eye on $OB and medical records/IT? I can look at the fundies and charts... just wondering if you have any input as well? Thanks! $SXCI $ATHN $QSII $MDAS $CERN
  • Craigy: Amateur attempt to help out the market It wont be $OB to decide. The market will and as the stocks are driven down, the ratings will disapear. We can either pay up over many many years or just sell em now. $OB needs trading lessons. Cut em loose now.
  • Bob: Royboy and Team I agree with you and at the same time give the Administration a thumbs up for making the announcement they did. I believe it stalled a very vicious drop in stocks and has allowed a lot of folks to have a more relaxing weekend. An atta'boy for $OB and team on that one from me.
  • Bob: ...
    Every day I see something else about China locking in a trade agreement somewhere. Yesterday's visit to Canada by $OB and well-known objection to tar sands oil development by groups very near and dear to $OB, not to mention States, has me looking h ...
  • Bob: ... sorry @Ian, that still reads like a press release with notions and regurgitation and not a plan. If it were to be this much then then $OB should not have said it would be more. Geithner is not new to this game and he of all people should have been very familiar with the issues of TARP. In the interview that followed the speech, concerns raised were not new and his answers were weak at best. The market obviously expected more and given the lead up to the speech, had every right to. Just thoughts.... Not feeling very merciful today but it will pass. :)
  • Craigy: ...
    I heard a comment from @Steve Forbes today. Seven or nine times Japan has tried to stimulate their economy through spending packages and it never worked. Most people think it will help some but won't solve the longer term problems and the bank plan ...
  • Craigy: ...
    The market is very clear of all the $OB wild cards in the deck right now and is very afraid to stay short for too long.
    If you really think you know what is going on and are convinced you know what will be going on down the road and its all bad, g ...
  • Craigy: ...
    I'm sitting at my big bank ceo desk and $OB rings. "Hey @Craigy, check this out. If you restructure those bad loans at cheap rates and hold off the foreclosures for a few months, I will guarantee them all" @Craigy is silent and thinks, I can restruc ...
  • Craigy: Congrats tnt, explosive... Can you trust this market that has the xhb leading the sectors? Maybe they are being contracted for underground shelters pending the impolsion of mother earth with the $OB plan. Other than that it seems to be a little "tea off the kettle" as my @grandpa use to say when he exited the john.
  • rich1266: @Craigy I don't want to answer for @Bob, but the recap I read was bullish: #Cramer thinks the $COP #dividend is strong and would buy under 50. Would buy $MRO and $CVX with oil at $30 and $BP is a current buy with 7%+ #dividend. As for the news conference, I believe it centered around $OB signing some exec orders to reverse prior orders on federal contractor restrictions. Also, used the occasion to indicate a middle class task force was formed with VP Biden in charge. They are touting a green jobs program for middle class, they have a website, www.astrongmiddleclass.com. I believe this was a theme during the election and I think @Dan is referring to the fact that they are actually making good on their campaigns promises. @Bob My apologies for answering this, it was addressed to you
  • Craigy: Well certainly not pleasant but if I had one positive hopeful thought, it would be that the #financials seemed spooked by the indicision of the $OB bad bank plan and did not want to go into the weekend too short. The whole plan is really a live wire that is jerking this market around. At least energy is somewhat stable. I need a cocktail...double!
  • Craigy: ...
    Now consider that energy and #financials are a big part of the s&p and with the averages up so big right now, that would be the first place to look. The news last night is the $OB follow thru to strike at the heart of the real estate problem. This m ...
  • Craigy: Yes, regardless of what the longer term impact will be, it will create fireworks tomorrow and be traded heavily. This, another $OB landmine which will spark the markets. Some time later the market will think about it all and sort it out but for nowe it should be a powerfull trade.
  • teenaweb: i think $OB is keeping the emphasis on the green plays, renewable energy etc. people seem to be shifting attention.
  • Craigy: This mornings short term fundamental news was a @jab right to the heart of the economic crisis, housing. It could be a great one two strike for the bulls if $OB has enough juice in his plan to move the sentiment of the crowd to believe he can keep the ball rolling for the group. For now though, it was a great selling opportunity and that is how I spent my morning. What will be most constructive for me is to see how the market closes on this news, today. In the mean time, the only sector I am comfortable holding overnight is energy and that is hedged with covered calls. Still trading the trend in the $DIG between 25 and 35.
  • Craigy: ...
    I think $OB mentioned a pay @freeze for top government officials and a few other goings on today and before you know it, the market is up..big.

    Note to self, Tell the $IRS you use turbo tax when audited.

    So the want for good news is so stron ...
  • Craigy: one call that piqued my interest this morning is an upgrade in slw. I have fokkowed this stock and like the price chart. The slightest downward move would have a good entry available. After several down days, I would not be suprised to see the market make a bounce today on someones comment and a reminder that $OB will be spending the farm soon.
  • Bob: James, possibly it's "a" pullback... not sure if it's "the" pullback. I will "guess" this: If there is going to be an $OB euphoic market, it's about time to be watching for it.
  • Craigy: Have not read the forum yet so please excuse any redundencies I love $DE right here. The stock saw no weakness today and has a great tech setup. Also caught an upgrade and considering yesterdays mon comments. Shorts beware with the big $OB on the stage. $RBN good report and a nice infra trade
  • Craigy: Keep an eye on $QSII for growth under the $OB healthcare plan. Not an entry here but it could be a winner . I remember this one from the 90s
  • Bob: @Craigy (oil) There's a big, new chapter to soon be added to this storybook. $OB has already said he'll use reserves freely to keep prices lower. I think we will logically see more supply cutbacks until all those full boats around the world get used up and demand returns. Technicians have been warning to wait for a pullback in the $USO for a long time. No surprises or reason for emotion or finger pointing. Expect it or in your case, sell those #options!
  • Craigy: @Bob No doubt that demand will return. It has to . The equation is ont in balance for the long term. I heard of the supply dipping $OB is talking of. Lets see how far that goes. What is at sea is 5 days supply for the EU. Not sure what we have but possibly we get to next week with it. But for now we had a pretty good run and I like the downside for a bit.
  • Bob: ...
    Some additional thoughts on $OB and coal and the Big 3 bailout.

    1. $OB does not like dirty coal.
    2. $OB will probably sign the Kyoto agreement to set an example for China and India and good will it will generate elsewhere.
    3. $OB wants re-to ...
  • henryp: Adding to @Dan's comment - in addition to being short term $OB and long term OS we are also at the highs reached on Oct 13-14. This should act as resistance tomorrow. We'll see.
  • Bob: Ocean Without going into all the $TA (support, relative higher low, resistance, etc), looking at the bottom BB to upper BB trade cycle, how do you see this one working out this time? It's taking considerably longer to regain momentum than the last 4 visits to the upper BB. Still a hold through resistance going to upper BB? Some mixed news over here on nuc pwr...mc'cain supports and would increase fed funding vs. $OB non-support. $SC is going ahead with 2 new plants per IBD. Thanks!
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Stock Price $6.66
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Volume 214,639

OneBeacon Insurance Group is a specialty lines insurer with roots dating back to 1831.Through its subsidiaries, OneBeacon offers a range of specialty insurance products sold through independent agents,brokers, and wholesalers throughout the United States.

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