Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE:STZ)

Strategy Session March 7th, 2016

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STZ Weekly Chart

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  • traderbren: $STZ - nice C&H on the weekly.
  • traderbren: $STZ - not an ideal set up with the 200d above the 50d but it could get some traction now that it's clear the 200d. At some point, the 50d will cross up through the 200d. There might be enough liquor in the store to keep this moving!
  • Henry: $STZ A squeeze gone bad
  • Henry: #UPGRADES $STZ $CMG $AAL $AVAV
  • jpoko13: $STZ Big ol' break out np
  • Henry: @jpoko13 $STZ Some sort of agreement with Elliott (activist)
  • Henry: $STZ Short term break out long
  • Henry: $CCL $STZ Jefferies up'd Carnival to a buy pt $25 $STZ beat, beer up 11% trading a couple bucks down in pm
  • traderbren: #Shorts - closed out the following short positions - $STZ, $ABNB, $KMX, and $JNJ a nice day trade.
  • Henry: $STZ CNBC is talking about the $BUD fallout, $STZ has broken out. long-long term
  • indigo1948: $STZ - geeting crushed - down almost to 52 week low. It has dropped below 3rd standard deviation on BB and may be in play tomorrow morning as a 59 minute trade. One caveat - jobs report
  • Henry: @indigo1948 $STZ CEO is going to be on Cramer tonight. Tim Seymour says he likes it on the pullback
  • indigo1948: @Henry $STZ - I am going to take aposition after jobs report. Thanks Henry.
  • issues: @scottrades $WBA $LW $UNF $CAG $STZ $SMPL $RPM $NEOG $SGH $AEHR $HELE $ANGO $MSM $SLP $RELL $RGP $DCT $KRUS $SCHN $GBX $LNN $FC #earnings $LW up all four out of four reports were UP BIG! We are holding through earnings!
  • scottrades: Some #earnings to start the New Year: $WBA $LW $UNF $CAG $STZ $SMPL $RPM $NEOG $SGH $AEHR $HELE $ANGO $MSM $SLP $RELL $RGP $DCT $KRUS $SCHN $GBX $LNN $FC
  • traderbren: #Bearish_engulfing_prints - after this morning's gap ups and closes on the downside, there are lots of bearish engulfing candles based on today's price action....e.g. $STZ, $DKS, etc...
  • traderbren: #Tis_the_Season - $STZ new high. Folks stocking up!
  • traderbren: $TAP - depending on your thirst, -- although early in the day, $TAP is building the right side of the base, plus it does have a gap to fill to the upside. If $STZ is any indication, folks are pulling up to their local watering hole with a thirst.
  • traderbren: $STZ - very whacky price action yesterday and today. Not sure whether someone (institution) had a heavy hand pouring a drink yesterday or just a fat thumb! Then again, we are witnessing lots of whacky pops & drops.
  • 1993dean: $STZ worth a look
  • traderbren: $STZ - closed the upside gap at 243.43 ;-)
  • Pokersmith: @traderbren $STZ 🍺🍻
  • traderbren: @Pokersmith $STZ - gotta love those gap trades....when the magnet works!
  • Pokersmith: @traderbren $STZ no doubt 🧲
  • drmike54: @debeers $HSY $STZ Although I agree with your assessment of candy consumption in a recession, don't forget alcohol. As the COVID pandemic proved, alcohol consumption increases with societal stress. My play here is $STZ, only because I can't buy stock in the alcohol distributors (to the best of my knowledge, none are publicly traded). As we used to say in college (albeit with a different goal in mind), 'Candy is dandy, but liquor is quicker.'
  • debeers: @drmike54 $HSY $STZ -yes liquor is quicker as ogden nash said but most folks wouldprefer that their 5 year olds didn't indulge and the main thing i look for is competition. There's a lot in the space between brands and between individual spirits themselves. Who competes with Hershey in the space?
  • Forexpro: @debeers $HSY $STZ Thanks, Lady DeBeers, Yeah, the fundies on this one look quite nice. The chart has held up considerably better than most. It of course helps that the correlation with the $SPX over the past 20 periods is only 0.45 percent (the 50-period number is negative 0.16 percent). Hope you're doing well; all the best! P.S. Statistics courtesy of StockRover.com.
  • gphelps: @scottrades $QQQ And to your point, $STZ holding up relatively well!
  • steve71: $STZ Adding to my long position at the close. As a booze purveryor Consellation is said to have pricing power. Nice in an inflationary environment. And as the market goes down STZ sales will probably go up! $DLTR Adding.
  • traderbren: $STZ - clearing the 50d .
  • bRobert: @traderbren $STZ Lovely WEEKLY $300 potential Heading to the STZ 20/50w bounce
  • traderbren: @bRobert $STZ - agreed, Weekly looks promising.
  • joelsg1: $TSLA LOD-L Considering pair trade with $STZ, 2 shots ;)
  • traderbren: $STZ - some booze came out of the bottle with a quick test of the 20d
  • Pokersmith: @traderbren $STZ #hmmmmmBeer🍺

    Constellation Brands reported higher-than-expected financial results for the fiscal third quarter, driven by momentum in the beer business, which helped prompt the brewer to lift its profit outlook for the year.

    Adj ...
  • Pokersmith: @traderbren $STZ I think they should divest/dump $CGC position. Weighing it down, imho.
  • bRobert: $STZ WEEKLY C&H High base (daily too) $270 target Nh printer Extended daily Look for opportunities Pb bounces
  • bRobert: @woodman $IIPR Was looking at it after $STZ (nh printer) WEEKLY 5/13 still in bull mode Fresh daily 5/13 cross speed bump here but $300/$350 potential
  • PhilHarmonic: @DAN $GM $SPY $DIA $MDY $IWM $QQQ $T2108 $T2107 $XLP $HSY $STZ $MSFT $F $TSLA $AAPL $NVDA $PKI $DELL $TXN $AMAT $FND $RBLX $SPGI $MRNA $RH $COIN $MP $TGH $MU Hi Dan: I also found the volume to low.
  • DAN: ...
    $STZ -- From Wednesday. Look at its weekly chart.
    $MSFT -- Weekly chart looks good. Not the best entry for me. Wanted to add this to ATL today. Focus on 50-day MA.
    $F -- Strong breakout today. This is a breakout from a high base. Risky here wit ...
  • DAN: ...
    $STZ -- popping out of a low squeeze. This could run.
    $XME -- Added to ATL today. Entry 47.50. Stop 45.30 ALERT $45.30
    $DJUSCH -- Chemicals are moving here.

    Trading Thought: Never risk more than 1-1.25% of your account on one trade. With 10 max ...
  • Pokersmith: Constellation Brands ($STZ) Reports Lower Fiscal Second-Quarter Earnings on Higher Sales, Raises 2022 Outlook
  • Pokersmith: @Henry $CGC Thx Hank, I'm more interested in the $STZ price reaction to CGC report. 🤔
  • Henry: @Pokersmith $CGC $STZ Long STZ I agree.
  • Pokersmith: Mexico's president said that U.S. brewer Constellation Brands ($STZ) will build a new brewery somewhere in the southeastern part of the country, following a deal he said his government has reached with the company. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador made the announcement during his regular morning news conference, but did not offer further details on the project. Last year, a previous plan by Constellation to build a brewery in the northern city of Mexicali, near the border with the United States, was rejected in a local public referendum. On Friday, the president touted plentiful water supplies in Mexico's southeast, which was a major sticking point when the project was slated for the arid north. Constellation brews several brands of Mexican beer, including Corona and Pacifico, exclusively for the U.S. market, which was one factor that made the original border location attractive logistically.
  • traderbren: $STZ - may have potential for the start of the next leg and bar & restaurants stock up. Long
  • Pokersmith: Bernstein Starts Constellation Brands ($STZ) at Outperform With $305 Price Target
  • Pokersmith: RBC Boosts Price Target on Constellation Brands ($STZ) to $300 From $262, Citing Higher Long-Term Growth View; Outperform Kept
  • wanda1616: @Pokersmith $STZ #hmmmmmbeer check out $DEO that seems to be the winner
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ $DEO #hmmmmmbeer Yes ! a good European name
  • Pokersmith: #hmmmmmbeer Constellation Brands ( $STZ) retook its 50 sma smartly, with BIG volume to boot. Resistance lives @ 237.00 Bars reopening...people going to bars, people drinking in bars... 'nuff said. Pin action : SAM, TAP, BUD
  • bRobert: @bsnceo $IIPR Lower highs. and lows. Watch it. But. don't touch. until positive price. action. returns $STZ. making money
  • wanda1616: $STZ all time high and looks like more to go
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ Cinco de Mayo pop....be aware of the sell the news or event Salud ! 🍻
  • bRobert: @wanda1616 $STZ $270. Daily. high base. potential. target. $300+. WEEKLY.
  • wanda1616: @Pokersmith $STZ thx
  • Pokersmith: $STZ bounce off the 10 day ema, back above R1 on the hourly ...
  • Pokersmith: @Carpe_Diem $CARR I hear ya....giving it room. Not like alot is working today though ... I DO have a few that are , all things considered....$ABT, $TSCO, $BWA, $COWN, $STZ and $LIT
  • Pokersmith: Cramer pumping the living daylights out of $STZ , fwiw, up 2 + handles in A.H's trade
  • Henry: @Pokersmith $STZ Looks like a megaphone pattern to me. I'm long, so I'd like him to be right, but unless it breaks above 243, I think you will get a better entry. Of course in his world, he is looking to be right in 6 months or a year. If it craters between now and the, it doesn't count.
  • Pokersmith: @Henry $STZ Cramer pounding the table, right or wrong, notwithstanding...this is a name to own a core position. I hope you're right about a better price...I'll be adding to it.
  • Pokersmith: $STZ....back to top of the channel....gap down on earnings? WHAT gap down....I don't see a gap down lol
  • wanda1616: @Pokersmith $STZ i predict a new all time high soon. check out the monthly chart. dues have been paid
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ eventually...sure. It put in some work to get all the way back up to the top of the channel....I'm sure @Dan would say this isn't the spot to add, less it finds MORE energy to break above with volume. That said...it's looking good.
  • wanda1616: @Pokersmith $STZ i agree....not addable here. im just holding it from lower and have a full position
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ $ 237 trigger pt for add on that I didn't jump on.... Position looking REAL good however ;-)
  • wanda1616: $STZ ON THE MOVE
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ That it is...comfortably above 50sma now...
  • Pokersmith: $STZ....living above the 50 sma...
  • traderbren: $STZ - may provide a low risk entry with a stop under todays low...as it works on clearing the 50 dma and providing a gap fill trade on the upside.
  • Pokersmith: @traderbren $STZ absolutely, and for reference, look at the 2 previous times it took a trip below the 50 ma, and the subsequent recovery day to get above, and follow through. Had you placed your stop l.o.d the last two times, you would have done well.
  • Pokersmith: Constellation Brands ($STZ) and Levi Strauss declared dividend increases this week. Constellation Brands (STZ) declared a quarterly dividend of 76 cents a share on its class A common stock, up from 75 cents. The company makes and distributes beer, wine, and spirits. Its brands include Corona and Modelo. The stock, which yields 1.4%, has a one-year return of about 35%. Levi Strauss ($LEVI) declared a quarterly disbursement of 6 cents a share, up from 4 cents previously. The apparel company's stock, which has a one-year return of about 90%, yields 0.5%.
  • Pokersmith: @Wanda1616 $STZ Call transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4418260-constellation-brands-inc-stz-ceo-william-newlands-on-q4-2021-results-earnings-call-transcript
  • wanda1616: @Pokersmith $STZ thanks very much! i listened to most of it. i thought it sounded promising. what did you think?
  • wanda1616: @wanda1616 $STZ i dont drink beer but the new flavors etc sounded very good. i think a big deal IS the plant in mexicali that got voted out by the locals.
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ absolutely... also, CEO was on Mad Money where Cramer disected the report, and came away as bullish as ever. My takeaway was " conservative guidance" this quarter . It also amounts to expansion..while divesting lower margin wines and spirits segment. Corona beer and the Mexican Yucatan....what's not to like ?
  • wanda1616: @Pokersmith $STZ seeing a lot of conservative guidance given so far...eg LULU and HD and others. tanks the stock but gives a buying opp
  • wanda1616: @wanda1616 $STZ also i just have a feeling alchohol will play a big role in re-opening celebrations etc : )
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ RBC Capital Markets on Friday lowered its fiscal 2022 EPS forecast for Constellation Brands(STZ) by $0.01 to $10.56 mainly due to a "slight increase" in interest expense. Constellation Brands (STZ) on Thursday reported Q4 adjusted profit of $1.82 per share, above the Capital IQ mean of $1.55 a share but RBC said the company's depletion missed consensus, weighed down by one-off items. The firm also said Constellation Brands(STZ) guided its fiscal 2022 on the "weaker side," in line with the company's practice of being conservative. RBC reiterated its outperform rating and $262 price target on Constellation Brands'(STZ) stock
  • msing3: @Pokersmith $STZ Morning @PokerSmith, I manage a Craft beer portfolio in the Carolinas and can confirm the last 2-3 weeks many local and regional brewers are having their best sales ever. Vaccines and warm weather have made for a great opportunity for many to get out and enjoy life again. Public events are being scheduled again and this time looks like they will actually take place. $Sam can't keep up with demand for a second year !.....Cheers everyone !!
  • Pokersmith: @msing3 $STZ $Sam Right? Have to think it's a no brainer....Opportunity presents itself for $STZ ....a gift. Thanks for the "boots on the ground" report ! Looking at R2 or $215 handle to buy , might not get there
  • DavidM: @msing3 $STZ $Sam Are they still making Sam Adam's Light? Only light beer that actually tastes like beer. 3 stores around here were out of it a month ago.
  • Pokersmith: @DavidM $STZ $Sam Wish SAM would pullback some..too extended on the daily , however , weekly chart looks tighter $ 1238 buy pt?
  • msing3: @Pokersmith $STZ $Sam Sales have accelerated again this year, Truly Tea Seltzers, Twisted Tea and the new Dogfish acquisition have really boosted sales this year, $Sam just announced a Punch flavored Seltzer that looks very promising. If they ever increase the production to catch up to sales, who knows where their sales could go.
  • msing3: @DavidM $STZ $Sam They might be but out of stocks are a constant now with many of $sam products. More than likely they will have it again soon.
  • Pokersmith: ...
    Constellation Brands ($STZ) stock extended its decline on Friday, as investors continued to digest the company's earnings and downbeat forecast. Analysts, however, rallied to the spirits maker's defense.

    Constellation turned in better-than-expected ...
  • wanda1616: $STZ high volume hammer
  • Pokersmith:
  • Pokersmith: @Pokersmith $CGC $STZ #related Constellation Brands(STZ) posted fiscal Q4 adjusted earnings Thursday of $1.82 per share, down from adjusted earnings of $2.06 per share a year earlier. Analysts polled by Capital IQ projected adjusted earnings of $1.55 per share. Net sales were $1.95 billion for the three months ended Feb. 28, up from $1.90 billion a year ago. The Street forecast was for revenue of $1.87 billion. Looking ahead, the company expects fiscal 2022 earnings per share of between $6.90 and $7.20.
  • Pokersmith: $STZ Need to listen to CC on this one
  • Pokersmith: ...
    We maintain our 12-month target price of $270, based on 22.5x our FY 23 (Feb.) EPS estimate, a slight discount to its 5-year average forward P/E of 22.8x. We lower our FY 22 adjusted EPS estimate by $0.30 to $10.30 and introduce FY 23's at $12.00. $ ...
  • wanda1616: $STZ getting hammered
  • wanda1616: @wanda1616 $STZ i did buy a bit
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ Honestly, I don't think it's as bad as it looks on the surface. I think Cramer will have them on tonight on Mad Money. I took half off before earnings, so this dip is more tolerable. That said, I'm not dumping this one. If we are in fact reopening, , this will be ok. Well run company...facing tough comps in light of the pandemic. IMHO
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ It's going to be in the penalty box for a bit....Looking for 216 handle
  • wanda1616: @Pokersmith $STZ i agree with you and thx for the input. its a re-opening winner and you have to take advantage of these blips
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ

    Constellation Brands Stock Is Falling After Earnings. Blame Disappointing Guidance. -- Barrons.com

    Constellation Brands (STZ) is tumbling early Thursday, on the heels of the spirit maker's fiscal-fourth-quarter results, which inclu ...
  • wanda1616: @Pokersmith $STZ cc not til 11 30. could get a pop....or not
  • wanda1616: $STZ may want a new high here....earnings thursday am
  • Pokersmith: @wanda1616 $STZ Have some of this...real nice move today
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Stock Price $227.63
Change 0.26%
Volume 4,614,720

Constellation Brands Inc., operates as a wine company in the U.S., Canada, the United Kingdom (U.K.), Australia and New Zealand.

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