CF Industries Holdings Inc. (NYSE:CF)
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- oldtimer: using @Dan simple formula on TC2000 of above the 200ma, above the 50ma above the 21ma and above the 8ma in the Nasdaq 100 there are three stocks . .$ATVI, $AMGN, $SGEN per my screen. the DOW has one $AMGN, S&P has 16. $PKG, $WDC,$AIZ, $CF, $CBOE, $MOH, $MCK, $TXT, $WRK, $HAL, $ACGL, $XOM, $PSX, $ATVI, $AMGN, $REGN Slim Pickings
- maracom: Good morning all! Dollar surging again, precious metals taking it on the chin, which is really the only big position I have left. Even though they are down they are still behaving normally in response to the strong dollars, so I'm holding through. #Tankers still looking good today #Trading: Long: $EWZ $UNG $WPM $TNK #LTA: Long: $DVN $FCX $NEM $SLV $DVN Lightening up on some $DVN here around the 8EMA $FCX In danger of free falling, but hasn't started just yet. #Watching $CF which is pulling back today. $RIVN put in a higher low and had a good day yesterday despite the tape
- gmj: $CF new pos one of the few wkng
- maracom: Good morning all! Booked a little $SQQQ profit, probably too early as usual... The generals (Sevastopol admirals?) are still being taken out back and disposed of... $AMZN breaking the 100, $GOOGL breaking the 50. Same story on $TLT and $UUP #Trading: Long: $EWZ $UNG $WPM #LTA: Long: $DVN $FCX $NEM $SLV $DVN Next support $45.3 $FCX In danger of free falling, but hasn't started just yet. #Watching $CF nice pattern, is up against resistance from early 2023, will look for a small Phase 2 to pick up a starter to replace $MOS. $CTRA pausing at the 100sma, expecting a downward move again to the 200 when the 8 EMA catches up. Might get back in if it recaptures the 8ema. $URA $OII showing some strength but doesn't look like a breakout yet
- fiebs: $CF was considering starting a position yesterday with a breakout on high volume. However, because of the economic news, the breakout failed. In the green today on normal volume. Watching for a follow thru breakout.
- bwcarnation1: $CF $MOS $iPI working good vol
- debeers: $CF-Wheat is neat! Long
- champ: @debeers $CF....$UAN $NTR $MOS $IPI,....Watching, could be getting a rotation, don't really know....NP's...Yet....
- maracom: @debeers $CF I have a little starter in $WEAT! Still in consolidation but starting to put in some higher highs and higher lows, similar chart to the fertilizers, looking constructive, may add soon
- champ: @champ $CF $UAN $NTR $MOS $IPI....I posted these 5-stocks this morning, at 10:28 and none of these stocks held onto their prices, they were at when I posted them..... ....Entry-timing is the only thing that counts....... and for those who are Full time investors, it is a little easier.
- debeers: $BA-how many airlines are there.2. $CF-just a bit $MRK-makes its numbers and does its own due dil so i don't have to police it $SCHW-early because it won't go up really until the 2nd half. i have to go to the analyst meeting and then i wll hear what the brokers are asking $SLB & $VLO are we replacing reserves? NO. Are we recognizing that energy is, along with food, a necessary commodity and a refiner and a servicer is where i want to be $TMUS-Delta gave TMUS a present today. It announced free wi-fi for its customers in flight and its the only carrier AND they didn't even put it to bid! Yowza! Instant revenue increase for $TMUS
- fiebs: $CF Would now be a good time to dip into this stock? Each time it came down to the 100EMA, been good support.
- scottrades: $CF nice bounce off the 50 Day
- swingbound: $CF MONTHLY view ( shown ) is a Bullish Hangman at the top of a high handle .
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DAN: ...
$CF -- Squeezing. Alert $110
$KIE -- From the forum. Good breakout. Alert $43
$ARRY -- Watch this. Might rebound…but not yet.
$DVAX -- Pullback bounce. Testing both moving averages. Phase 2 pullback complete? Alert $12.50
$FMC -- Lots ... - scottrades: My notes: $SPY / $QQQ Awaiting The Hawk $DIA Lower High $IWM Under the 200 Day $UUP Watch this tomorrow $GDX Basing $TAN Lower Low $XLE In consolidation $BTU Breakout on good volume. $CEIX Breaking out of a base $ARLP At the 50 Day $NSC Flag $CSX Another attempt at the 200 Day $CP Long base $AEM At the 200 Day $FNV Sloppy base. $APA Flag $COP Holding the 50 Day $EOG Flag $LNG Loose but holding the MAs $CF In a base
- scottrades: Nice base on $CF
- scottrades: $CF In a nice base here. Consider Wednesday's low as a stop level.
- champ: $IPI...at $36.50, I have a position because they are a little more diversified...and this move in this sector might continue...and I'm also watching these..$NTR $CF $MOS.
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY/$QQQ Low Volume Day as expected $DIA Working $IWM At the 200 Day $IBB Holding up $XLE Basing $TAN Basing $SMH 200 Day Resistance $GDX Under the 200 Day $ENPH Right at Resistance $FSLR Trending up $ARRY moved up stops $RUN Working $CPRX Holding the 8EMA $ADM Above the MAs are near the highs $SBUX In trend $MCD Small base $WING Flag $ARMK High base $FLR Base $CF Base $BA Mentioned in the forum $XOM In consolidation
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY / $QQQ Turkey Rally $DIA Working above the MAs $GDX Outperforming the GLD $TAN Base building $XLF Coming out of a flag $XLE Working $XLB Near resistance $IBB Flag #Bitcoin Everything thinks lower (including me), so it might not be. $NVDA Pullback Entry $ON Above the MAs. $MSFT Short Base $GOOGL Flag $AAPL Holding the 50 Day $META FLag $CEG Idea from Dan $ADM Working but extended. $CF Still in a base $ENPH Right at resistance $ARRY Working $RUN Holding the 8EMA $FSLR Working $KRTX Long flag $CPRX Dan added to ATL $WPM Own this $FNV Working $GOLD Nice strength $DINO Strong close $DEN Strong close $XOM At the highs
- vitoB: $CF breaking out np
- scottrades: Nice base on $CF
- Rockstar: @scottrades $CF I am looking @ $MOS as well...
- Angdionk: $CF trying to bounce after earnings
- maracom: @Angdionk $CF At least $CF is only down 7%. I had a half position in $IPI and it's down 20% after earnings
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DAN: ...
$CF
- Mikev200: $CF @Dan mention, pop to $110. and back. So far higher lows, watching .
- DAN: $CF -- Note that $CF is close to a $110 breakout. I don't think it's quite buyable here, and earnings are due on 11/2 (next wednesday). So this might not be a trade. But if it wasn't for earnings, I'd be putting it on the ATL as a conditional stock -- If the stock breaks out above $110 on heavy volume it's a buy, with a stop below the 50-day MA. As it is, I'm just setting an alert.
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DAN: ...
$CF
$HUM
$CTVA
$A
$ENSG
$ACHC
$SWAV
$OVV
$SM
$ADM
$CAH
$OXY
$GLNG
$CAH
$DK
- debeers: Didn't want dupes and had some. So for fert i chose $CF over Mosaic-Sold the $MOS, Sold $AMAT which is a great company so i could keep$LRCX, Sold $CRM because we really do have to get through the worst, and $FCX because too much of it went for new build in housing. NOW- $CF/$CVX and i'll rebuy $MTDR right before earnings, $LRCX keeper, $$LMT no one outspends the D's on defense and every time you turn around they get another contract, $STLD- unlike $NUE- the earnings for $STLD beat whereas $NUE was a big miss IMO. Will be adding some booze soon-probably Pernod Riccard.
- bhaden1: $CF is moving. Took a starter position. Price target $120.
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY Resistance above the 21 EMA $QQQ Same $UUP Flagging...eek. $VIX New Lower Low $TNX Fresh High $TLT Fresh Low $XLE Still in trend $XOP Look got a bounce off support $TAN Under the MAs $XHB The 30 year-fixed mortgage rate hit 7.37%, the highest since 2000. $GLD Needs to find some support. #Bitcoin 19K All Day $OXY Still in trend but choppy $EOG Consider moving up stops $FANG Looks the same $XOM Look for a PB $DPC watch 39.50 $DVN Pretty clear where resistance is $LNG Trend is fine $BAH Earnings Next Week $CAH Watch 72.35 $CF At the 50 Day $HQY Near the highs $HSY Around some key MAs
- Babutters: $CF nice bounce off 50d. Strong move today. Volume is … ok. Long.
- mepcc1: @Babutters $CF long also - looking to add if there is follow thru buying tomorrow - though it is Friday when I don't usually do much but check my stops.
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scottrades: ...
$CF Up on good volume
$NTR Needs to break out of the channel
$PCTY Dan added to the ATL
$OXY Watch for a PB
$XOM Chasing now
$COP Near the highs
$CVE At the 50 Day
$GOLD Watching
$WPM Would like to see a PB to the 50 Day
$NEM Won’t be in a str ... - maracom: Today qualifies as a face ripper for me. I held some fertilizers $NTR $CF and oil plays $DVN $APA $XOM through the pullback and watched some accounts drop by over 10% in a few days, only to see the same accounts up almost 6% today. Not back to where i was before, but I'm definitely feeling the whiplash
- maracom: $MOS $NTR $CF still holding up, I'm still in $NTR
- maracom: $NTR $MOS $CF bullish engulfing candles, might move my $IPI money over this afternoon if they close strong
- debeers: $CF- left the other one and put in $CI with the Evernorth expansion. Changed nothing else.
- debeers: $AAPL,$CF and $NTR by the weekend will have only 1 of these ferts, $MTDR, $SBUX, $SNOW, and $TSLA- Honestly i don't know why i have Tesla sometimes but then, of course i remember..........LONGS ALL
- debeers: @scottrades-Scotty, could you please help a gal out? Is there any real diff between $CF and $NTR on the Charts? Thanks in advance-
- wineinquirer: @debeers $AAPL $CF $NTR $MTDR $SBUX $SNOW $TSLA $SBUX Really nice looking base, sort of c&h like. > 50/200wk (@today's lg vol bar) measures to ~115! Then, of course, here's the beginning of their specialty drinks...pumpkin spice first followed by all the late autumn hot chocolate/coffee drinks to keep us warm. YUM!! Nice to see them comin' back. Imagine that........not an energy nor solar twinkle visible! Just the modern version of the good ole "American Joe!"
- DrScience: $NTR $IPI $MOS $CF being bought. Fertilizers moving higher off the open.
- maracom: @DrScience $NTR $IPI $MOS $CF I held through, seems like it was some kinds shakeout
- gt: @DrScience $NTR $IPI $MOS $CF super interesting given how they got hammered yesterday
- sierramp: Someone help me out, why are fertilizer stocks being punished today? Nat gas isn't up significantly. $NTR $MOS $CF
- scottrades: @sierramp $NTR $MOS $CF Don't see any news at the moment.
- maracom: @sierramp $NTR $MOS $CF Not sure, somebody thinks they know something however?!
- FredsFreedom: $CF, $ IPI @sierramp starting to recover
- maracom: @FredsFreedom $CF Somebody decided we needed to restest a few moving averages and blownout some stops. But hey, restest seems to be passing…
- sierramp: @FredsFreedom $CF $CF and $MOS bounced off the 50D. $NTR is above that but still not pretty if one owns it.
- maracom: @sierramp $CF $MOS $NTR I’m holding full positions for now. No change to the trend yet although i agree its an ugly candle as of this second. But it may form a bullish tail by end of day or it may show a bearish engulfing, so we’ll have to see how the close goes
- sierramp: @maracom $NTR $MOS $CF Stopped out of $NTR
- maracom: $CF $IPI $NTR Second round of selling occurring. I think its because of the Ukraine advance. Somebody is worried that Ukrainian potash is going to reenter the market, but that seems like a premature conclusion
- scottrades: Re: Fertilizer Stocks $CF $MOS $IPI $NTR $SMG Seeing a bunch of mixed news items that could be playing a part in the downward move. Could just be a shakeout, but this is what I've found: "According to CRU Group, European fertilizer producers in the region are currently losing approximately $2,000 for every ton of ammonia produced. Much of the fertilizer production in Europe requires natural gas, and it is being shutdown due to high prices."
- sierramp: @scottrades $CF $MOS $IPI $NTR $SMG Thanks Scott. Makes sense.
- mhuie: @scottrades $CF $MOS $IPI $NTR $SMG Hi Scott; If some European fertilizer companies stop producing fertilizer, shouldn't the price of US companies increase?
- scottrades: @mhuie $CF $MOS $IPI $NTR $SMG Maybe, but they still have to buy Natural Gas as well. Also keep in mind, stocks in a sector or group tend to move together. I'm speculating here, I have not done fundamental analysis on Fertilizer or Natural Gas.
- mhuie: @scottrades $CF $MOS $IPI $NTR $SMG Thanks, Scott.. Would appreciate if you can do an analysis on the US fertilizers as the price of Nat gas is much lower here.
- scottrades: @mhuie $CF $MOS $IPI $NTR $SMG I'm mainly a pattern based trader and any analysis would be just on what the chart is doing. None of these are setup in high probability patterns right now for my style of trading. I would keep watching them near their 50 Day MAs and if they can firm up and go green, that would be a sign that they are being supported where they should be.
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Docoof: #Fertilizer Stocks $CF $MOS $IPI $NTR $SMG — Coal, Lumber and Food Under Threat by Potential US Rail Strike (Bloomberg, September 12)
* Lumber surges while fertilizer industry prepares for worst
* ‘Bad news for farmers and food secur ... - Explorer: $ADM $CF $MOS -- got to eat -- early entry this week
- ruskinq2: $CF i want to believe
- maracom: @ruskinq2 $CF Up to you going into a long weekend. I've got long term positions in $IPI and $NTR that I'm trading around and have been adding, but there's always headline risk
- maracom: @ruskinq2 $CF Pullback was also "steep and deep"
- woodman: #Ferts #AgInputs are bouncing after pullbacks to prior consolidation levels. $NTR $MOS $CF $ADM $IPI.
- ruskinq2: $CF back to the well? double long hammers
- ruskinq2: @maracom $CF I hear you! thx
- maracom: @woodman $NTR I also take work trips to Kansas and I see $NTR, $MOS, and $CF signs all over the fields, and talking to farmers, a lot of them tried to minimize their fertilizer this season because of the high prices, but if we see a decrease in yields this year because of that, then they won't be able to skip next season as well even if prices are high
- woodman: @maracom $NTR $MOS $CF - interesting, thanks.
- Docoof: @maracom @woodman $NTR $MOS $CF If this is accurate, there has been a decent amount of recent $CF insider selling. (I frankly don’t know how much this does or doesn’t matter.): (Aug 30) CF Industries is Tuesday's biggest loser on the S&P 500 after insiders reduced their holdings in the company in recent days with the stock coming off an all-time high. Shares trade -6.5% on Tuesday and are more than 10% lower during the past two days. According to SEC filings released late Friday, CEO Tony Will and two other executives sold more than $18.1M of shares at average prices above $110 each (I, II, III). https://seekingalpha.com/news/3877964-cf-industries-slides-10-percent-in-two-days-ceo-insiders-take-profits
- maracom: Stopped out of $CF. Booked a nice profit on my $IPI, looking to get back into $IPI on the PB.
- maracom: Small starter on $CF. Still long $IPI
- champ: @DAN $DLTR $SPY $DIA $IYT $MDY $IWM $QQQ $FFTY $DQ $CF $OXY $SSO $QLD $NOG $DRVN $RTX $CLR $SLB $MRO $NVDA $OBE $APA $HAL $PFE $MRNA $AZN $PTON........Yes sir, you said that correctly and that is exactly what I'm always thinking.........."by the Time we see it on the chart, it's #Old News"........... .......working #Pre set-ups is always important........ Monday will be a very important Day for the Markets and actually for all of next week, could either be more Sellers or Buyers, buying the dip, however the odds are, or the guess is, the Markets will probably drop lower, for a few more days and stock Pickers will also be at Work......Good Luck to All.....
- debeers: This morning sold $NTR to double down on $MOS. Kept $CF best of class for wheat and bought $PXD want 1 oil just in case and the divvie is now 10.5%.
- maracom: @debeers $NTR $MOS $CF $PXD I also sold some $IPI, agree $CF has really been outperforming the sector. I've been playing the laggards though hoping for some catch up action although I think we're due for a pullback in the Ag space
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debeers: $CF biggest/$MOS/$SNOW/
$WDAY on the upgrades and at a very v ry good price :
Societe General to 255
UB S the lowest- 185
CSuisse to 215
Loop to 225
Deutsche Bank 230
$ULTA- stay with this one of all the retailers this one is the best.
this is a com ... - debeers: $CF-still think this one is the ag star.LONG $AAPL-department of Justice files an anti trust lawsuit.NP
- debeers: OIL TELL-Rig counts down for the first time. The energy so to speak should be in $CF/$MOS Sometimes mall you have to do is follow the breadcrumbs. Put your money in oil only when rig counts start ticking up/
- champ: @debeers $CF $MOS...per $BKR, the U.S. weekly rig-count was up plus +3.. at 765, the Prior week it was down -1.
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DAN: ...
$FFTY -- low squeeze reversal…but only 6 stocks of the 50 are up today, and only two are up more than 1%. ($DQ and $CF)
Active Trade List:
$OXY -- new stop at 67.20 (just below the weekly intraday low).
$SSO -- new stop at 52.85 (just below ... - jonwest88: @DAN $DLTR $SPY $DIA $IYT $MDY $IWM $QQQ $FFTY $DQ $CF $OXY $SSO $QLD $NOG $DRVN $RTX $CLR $SLB $MRO $NVDA $OBE $APA $HAL $PFE $MRNA $AZN $PTON When were the stop on $QLD changed as you show above? When was $DRVN changed to sell to close above $32? Cannot find them anywhere except here late in the day
- vcondry: @jonwest88 $DLTR $SPY $DIA $IYT $MDY $IWM $QQQ $FFTY $DQ $CF $OXY $SSO $QLD $NOG $DRVN $RTX $CLR $SLB $MRO $NVDA $OBE $APA $HAL $PFE $MRNA $AZN $PTON Morning market update at 9:18 am via email EDIT : was emailed but he forgot to post in the forum. when it rains it pours...hope your day is less worse than mine :-)
- jonwest88: @vcondry $DLTR $SPY $DIA $IYT $MDY $IWM $QQQ $FFTY $DQ $CF $OXY $SSO $QLD $NOG $DRVN $RTX $CLR $SLB $MRO $NVDA $OBE $APA $HAL $PFE $MRNA $AZN $PTON Yeah I searched for them here. Silly me. Did not get update until later.
- DAN: @jonwest88 $DLTR $SPY $DIA $IYT $MDY $IWM $QQQ $FFTY $DQ $CF $OXY $SSO $QLD $NOG $DRVN $RTX $CLR $SLB $MRO $NVDA $OBE $APA $HAL $PFE $MRNA $AZN $PTON Did you watch all of my videos?
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DAN: @jonwest88 $DLTR $SPY $DIA $IYT $MDY $IWM $QQQ $FFTY $DQ $CF $OXY $SSO $QLD $NOG $DRVN $RTX $CLR $SLB $MRO $NVDA $OBE $APA $HAL $PFE $MRNA $AZN $PTON
Here is the email that I sent out this morning:
Morning Market Update
Good morning. Futures are p ... - debeers: $CF-IMO-News affecting production- not a good thing temporary though it might be- CF Industries Unit Plans Temporary Ammonia Production Halt 11:49 AM ET, 08/24/2022 - MT Newswires 11:49 AM EDT, 08/24/2022 (MT Newswires) -- CF Industries Holdings' (CF) CF Fertilisers UK unit said Wednesday that it plans to temporarily stop ammonia production at its Billingham Complex as production is "uneconomical' at the current natural gas and carbon prices. The company said it now plans to import ammonia to continue running its ammonium nitrate and nitric acid upgrade plants. It expects to fulfil all ammonia and nitric acid contracts, as well as ammonium nitrate orders for delivery in the coming months. CF Fertilisers UK said it has not yet decided on when to start the ammonia plant's temporary shutdown, but noted that this halt is not expected to affect employees. Price: 110.74, Change: +1.69, Percent Change: 1.55
- debeers: $CF-The clue in the release is "won't affect the employees" this is boss talk for "very short". Why? you don't pay folks who are not working.
- debeers: $ULTA-blowout earnings!! Expected 2..2 B Co did 2.3B Same store Sales- UP 14.4%/ versus the 10.4% expected Per share did 5.70 vs the 4.96 expected My only retail, doesn't disappoint-it just doesn't. YAY$ACLS/$CF/$MOS/$NTR/$SNOW/$ULTA and a soupcon of $AJG SNOW/$STLD/$ACLS faves and of course the Beauty Queen-$ULTA
- roddog101: @debeers $ULTA $ACLS $CF $MOS $NTR $SNOW $AJG $STLD agre ULTA very solid numbers, my thesis was wrong.. But I am amazed it isnt up more than this
- debeers: @roddog101 $ULTA $ACLS $CF $MOS $NTR $SNOW $AJG $STLD -Let the No new estimates have come in as of yet. Tough category because re--openings can be not only affected by mass and prestige . Bold and playful looks and equally strong trend in the "clean look."
- debeers: $CF/$ENPH/$HSY/$KYMR-my bio star of the day/$MTDR-the sexy guy i can't leave (sigh)/$OXY boring Warren gotcha back/$TSLA-every time Musk opens a factory he pisses and moans about cash burn---what n the hell does he expect???/ that is precisely when y ...
- maracom: was accumulating $IPI last week. It broke out of a good base today. $CF and $MOS doing well also but don’t have as much room to run. Oh I see @Eng_trader posted first. Sorry!
- wineinquirer: $CF Brief test of the early morning aroma of flag breakout air and retreats. Tough to smell the flowers when dark clouds loom overhead. np but watching
- debeers: $NTR/$CF-According to Bloomberg news in China there is a huge shortage of the Fertilizers needed for their crops-ALL OF THEM. Picked up 1 this morning and added to the Nutrien.Nice to know some things cannot be discounted by cheap labor.
- woodman: $NTR $MOS $CF - Some green in a sea of mostly red today. These three #AgInputs #Ferts stocks are holding up decently today. #Agricultural
- debeers: $AAPL/$ARCH/$CF/$NTR/$PXD/even $HSY up while $TPR reporting tomorrow morning is down 20 cents.LONGS all IMO- i "shoes" to be in $TPR because i think the earnings are "in the bag!"LONG Girls just want to have fun and party! And dress up! The really neat thing is if you iut on a few COVID pounds in most cases your shoes still fit and your handbag always does. Edit-$HSY now down 19 cents.of course the stock is over 230 dollars..............................
- debeers: @woodman $NTR $MOS $CF #AgInputs #Ferts #Agricultural -How in the heck do you suppose China is going to feed their people???They are without the fert stocks they need. Heck we don't even have to have a fertile imagination to bet on the ferts and nice to see the charts agreeing with the fundies. by the way didja really think $ARCH was gonna take a back seat to anyone???
- issues: @debeers $NTR Sure I bought a starter position. Thank you for mentioning it. Others in the sector include: $AVD (oops!!) $SQM (#1 RS in IBD group 52) $UAN $CF & $MOS
| Stock Price | $89.79 |
| Change | -0.94% |
| Volume | 1,542,290 |
CF Industries Holdings Inc. is a manufacturer and distributor of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products in North America. The Company's products include ammonia, urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, diammonium phosphate and monoammonium phosphate.
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Past Month
Leading Peers
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$27.80 12.68%
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$5.91 9.77%
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$89.79 7.60%
Past Month
Lagging Peers
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$77.86 -11.62%
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$26.03 -2.58%
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$46.93 -1.84%
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