Lowe's Companies Inc. (NYSE:LOW)

Strategy Session November 19th, 2019

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  • traderbren: $LOW $HD - providing a low risk entry with a stop under today's low.
  • phgruver: Good morning, y'all. I'm looking at $LOW this morning. Yesterday it printed a bullish engulfing candle on higher volume. That would be more interesting if it weren't for earnings coming up on Aug. 20 (before the bell). $HD also had a pretty good day, although it didn't engulf the whole candle. Maybe a buck or two can be made here....
  • phgruver: One of my biggest gainers, today, is $LOW, up over $7 (3.16%). This got me to looking at $HD, which is up a similar amount, and $XLB (materials) and $XHB (home builders). I think we are beginning to price in interest rate cuts in the near future.....
  • phgruver: @PhilHarmonic @Henry $WBA The neighborhood drug store has been preempted by $WMT and $TGT by offering longer hours, better product selection and lower prices. They are going the way of the neighborhood hardware store (driven under by $HD and $LOW). I still get my drugs from $CVS, but they are located inside my local Target, not a free standing store.
  • phgruver: As Paul Harvey used to say, "Just what, not why...." $LOW is up 3.04% in early trading. No news, just an outsized move in the retail space....
  • champ: @phgruver $LOW ...Now you know the rest of the Story......
  • debeers: @phgruver $LOW -i like $HD better in early cycle---- see why above
  • champ: $BLDR $BLD $HD $LOW $NAIL....Powell sure triggered a lot of Break-outs.
  • debeers: @champ $BLDR $BLD $HD $LOW $NAIL - Yup you are right on----- i like one in the contractor domain and IMO $HD or $BLDR fine here and one in the Homebuilding sector which shouild, IMO, be $TOL
  • debeers: @champ $BLDR $BLD $HD $LOW $NAIL -Actually the hyome sales figures of up over 9% triggered the upside. Spring is selling and buying season closely followed by summer when the kis get out of school. A lot of folks whose kids are grown and left home--also want to downsize a bit.
  • bigbartabs: @phgruver $LOW ... Paul Harvey... sure miss that guy. In college we listened to him all the time. Great books too... "The Rest of the Story".
  • phgruver: $LOW got an upgrade from JP Morgan from neutral to overweight. The also raided their price target from $210 to $265. $LOW actually has a very constructive chart. It is rebounding off the 50DMA and the 200DMA (which just crossed) and also coming out of a moderate volatility squeeze. I guess this cancels out the Oppenheimer downgrade of a few days ago.....
  • traderbren: $HD & $LOW - both looking constructive based on today's move.
  • phgruver: $LOW and $HD got a downgrade from Oppenheimer yesterday. Both are down significantly, this morning. Interestingly, $HD, at $352 is still above the lowered target of $345, but $LOW, at $216 is well below the target of $230. I am long $LOW from way below ($55) so I'm not particularly concerned.
  • champ: $NAIL $BLD $BLDR $LOW $HD......these are also HOD.
  • phgruver: ...And this morning $LOW reported a decent beat, but lowered expectations, so the stock has sold off over 5% in the pre-market. The yield here is only a bit over 2%, but it has been an excellent long term hold for me. This may be an opportunity to add to an existing position.
  • champ: $HD and $LOW are both HOD...NP's...I missed these moves.
  • champ: $LOW...this was a bad boy on the Open, however Now HOD and is up $2.50 off of LOD, but still dancing.
  • champ: $LOW...$230, this stock might have less zig-zags....because this stock was initiated with a Buy at Stifel, with a target at $270....plus this stock also likes Hurricanes and Tornados.
  • champ: $HD...this is a #Hurricane-trade.....this are a few others.. $LOW and $BLD
  • Mikev200: $XHB nice bounce off 20dma and some others in it. $CARR $PHM $FND $LOW
  • Lou: As I've previously posted, my investment anchor to windward is the portion of my portfolio that is managed by a group affiliated with Morgan Stanley. They provide the diversification for my investments, and I do the concentration and options. An added benefit is that I am able to peruse their trades for buy/sell ideas. I've gotten some of my best trades/investments by researching their recent trades. Today I spotted several buys from earlier this week. They added $FTI at 15.86: $TJX at 84.44; $LOW at 222.48 and $SNOW at $176.94. Also, several multi letter foreign exchange symbols twith which I'm not familiar, therefore uninterested. Nothing compelling to jump on but watching.
  • mariner: $XHB. Any idea why the home builders and associated names like $HD and $LOW are doing so well these days?
  • champ: Do we know why these stocks are all up today, here is a little homework for Traders.........$SHLS $SAVA $GVA $DNUT $AXON $CPA $PLL $AAL $LOW.....
  • champ: $LOW....HOD and might even close on HOD.
  • champ: $LOW ...is being watched for the Inflation number in the morning.....and it is reporting a nice number, is the guess on this stock.
  • champ: $LOW closed on HOD, within pennies.
  • rnrdallas1939: @champ $BLDR Seems strange that $LOW $HD are not following along this is their big season. Even the $ITB $XHB is moving up Maybe I"m somewhat jaded because here in TX they seem not to be able to build fast enough. It seems every day a new development.
  • phgruver: @rnrdallas1939 $BLDR $LOW $HD $ITB $XHB $BLDR had a huge earnings beat, just a few days ago, and is still riding the surge. $HD reports on May 16, and $LOW reports on May 23. If they do as well as $BLDR, they'll take off too.
  • champ: @rnrdallas1939 $BLDR $LOW $HD $ITB $XHB...my #guess is. they are waiting for the CPI and PPI reports...and $BLDR is still moving off of earnings, and maybe they could be real nice specs before those reports, however as of Now NP's.
  • rnrdallas1939: @champ $BLDR $LOW $HD $ITB $XHB #guess Hope your both right. But $BUDR has been lower left to the upper right for almost a year and $HDD $LLOW has been up down and all around. You would think there would be some correlation. But the market has its own way of thinking. And yeah I know Hope is not a trading method LTH
  • champ: @rnrdallas1939 $BLDR $LOW $HD $ITB $XHB $BUDR $HDD $LLOW #guess....$HD and $LOW.. both have huge products lines and they are buying at wholesale, to resale, plus with all of their huge Retail space, in every town and $BLDR doesn't have any of that type of risk or very little, compared to both of those huge Box store retailers. LOL
  • champ: $LOW....I have been posting about this stock for a couple of weeks now......and I have been trying to get a swing-able position....instead of a Day-trading position......
    .....this company has Huge stock Buy-backs currently going on....and this has b ...
  • champ: $LOW....what is going to happen at 11:00 ET, to this stock and many others.......if we only knew..... .....however I could place a bet.... I think I can...I think.
  • champ: $LOW.......HOD...slowing-climbing, looks like company Buy-backs and Investors,....slowly-building.
  • champ: $LOW...HOD...Spec...Trailing.
  • champ: $LOW....HOD....this #Bounce-Candidate is doing that Happy zig-zag Dance.....plus they are aggressively buying-Back their stock, they added another $15 billion $$$$....and there is a lot of sector News on Home-owners upgrading their Homes.... and the Remodeling season is just starting..... ....this stock has been building a $200 base in April....and Now....it sure looks like this stock is going to start a #New-leg, up the Wall of Worry..... ....and Earnings are not until 5/24....and $HD..will be on 5/16, so they will be reporting before and thats important to know, so No real risk before, other than the normal Market risk. ~~~ My trading plan is, I will be swinging until the FOMC Rate Decision announcement on Wednesday...at 14:00 ET....... ...so there is Time, for this stock to Work....and many will be holding into that Rate-Decision........ so the Set-up is, a #Pre-move-FOMC-Bounce. ~~~~~~Looks like Entry-Timing, posted earlier.............
  • champ: Great close for $LOW, HOD on the close.
  • champ: $HD and $LOW....Nice but only Watching,....because it is kinda like, if we only knew how the Markets were going to close.......
  • champ: Looks like the Markets are going to have another strong close....and these Retail stocks are also strong, I'm just posting a few stocks that have moved-up over 2%...$TGT $LOW $HD $ROST $DKS $PLCE $KSS.
  • Jazman0013: @champ $TGT $LOW $HD $ROST $DKS $PLCE $KSS thing of beauty. Have missed action like this.
  • champ: $LOW....I continue to like LOW at $200 to $204....and $FANG at $130 to $133.....
    ...on $LOW they just added $15-billion in new Share-Buy-Backs....so I'm guessing that the recent low at around $200 is in, plus this Retail sector should continue to per ...
  • champ: The markets are testing a turn.....and $LOW turned already and is now dancing around.
  • champ: New-Positions and I'm testing these.....$SSO..$44.60, Trailing all.....$TQQQ..$18.90,...$LABU..$6.31...$GUSH..$138.50 might be getting a turn.....$LOW...in at $204....and I'm also riding...$TSLA...at $150......$BOOT at $58.35....$PCAR at $97....$FANG at $133.10.....
  • vitoB: @champ $SS0 $TQQQ $LABU $GUSH $LOW $TSLA $BOOT $PCAR $FANG im with you in $TSLA also $BROS almost green on the day, and $CRWD lookin better at 111 than 125
  • champ: @vitoB $SS0 $TQQQ $LABU $GUSH $LOW $TSLA $BOOT $PCAR $FANG $BROS $CRWD.....might be a good Idea....that you....don't wait for Green....because Red can work better in most cases....Red can turn into that nice Green color. LOL
  • champ: @bigbartabs $DJI $SPX $NDX $RUT...... It sure feels like we are going to #Bounce-today or could maybe wait until tomorrow....and the guess is, the $SPY could continue #Testing around this current $388 to $391 price level....and then move through 391 and if it does.....I will be a buyer and the move/the next Trading turn will happen really #fast...... ......plus I have already started buying a few stocks....$LOW...$TSLA and I will also be adding to my current positions. As we all know.....the Markets have to go through this #bloody Testing phase first, before they turn-back-up. Be ready and follow Fast Eddie.....LOL.
  • bigbartabs: @champ $DJI $SPX $NDX $RUT $SPY $LOW $TSLA #Bounce-today #Testing #fast #bloody ... it seems to me that we have such nasty charts now, that it may take some serious time to get the big boys interested again, finding some semblance of support. And a week before Christmas is not likely to generate much energy to have their finger on the trigger.
  • champ: .....$SPY close at around $390....and maybe the Markets will open-up some better Entries tomorrow...... .....Traders/Investors are not in charge of the Markets, we only follow the Markets.... the Markets will let Traders/Investors in, at some point........ ...and all we can do is be Ready and Wait.. for #Entry-Timings...... and it might happen on #TGIFriday.....and there were a lot of nice entries today...... ...and Swing traders were picking out a few stocks, that they liked...... and for me, I only had 2-new trading Entries..... ...$TSLA....$LOW and I'm up a little on both.... and I would like to add, however I have safety Trailers.
  • mopick: @champ $SPY $TSLA $LOW #Entry-Timings #TGIFriday, triple witching tomorrow
  • champ: @bigbartabs #CPI #E-MiniFutures .....I'm already #Pre Set-up.....and now I would suggest that members shouldn't be fast to add to existing positions... until after the markets opens.......because I expect that swing Traders will be taking some profits off of these huge gains....... I just don't know if this first move is going to hold-up...... .....for example.... .....my $LOW position is up +$7.00....and all my other swing positions are up nicely also.....
  • lauralynnee: $HD & $LOW Looks like 50SMA crossover of 200SMA will be soon on both of these
  • Justhanging48: @lauralynnee $HD $LOW I like the $HD cup and handle pattern better than $LOW, and it's above the 8edm and 21edm. Target is around $340. But as they say, who knows?
  • champ: $LOW.....at $203......and I'm looking for their stock #Buy-backs to kick-in, at some point, at this current price level....because yesterday 12/7, they started $15 billion $$$ of new stock buy backs.
  • vcondry: @champ $LOW #Buy-backs same same...honestly pretty surprised its not doing better today....what do you see as a good stop with today's entry? (if it keeps falling)
  • champ: @vcondry $LOW #Buy-backs.....for me, I don't care if I get stopped out at Entry, $203.....and LOD was at $202.88.....I'm not really thinking about selling, I'm thinking about adding, maybe at around $204..... ......however that being said.....I #don't know what the Markets are going to do..... and the Markets will help...to tell me what to do.......
  • vcondry: @champ $LOW #Buy-backs #don makes sense thanks for the insights as always.
  • champ: @vcondry $LOW #Buy-backs.....my guess on what happened this morning was......#swing traders took profits off......and now I'm guessing that they will get back-in at some point....#soon.... if the markets stay positive.....they are Watching and Waiting..... is what my fortuneteller just said. .........#Computerized-trading is going on......... now you see it, then you don't......and thats the game that they are playing..... .........and its called.....#CopyCat-trading. LOL
  • champ: @vcondry @champ $LOW #Buy-backs #swing #soon #Computerized-trading #CopyCat-trading.....The guessing-game, is always in play.....and there is always a reason or reasons why....for the moves.....have to figure-out, how the daily puzzle #might play-out.......but first always need to guess about what happened....then the next chess move will follow..... and if you get 7 or 8 right out of 10....then you might be a winner...... .....however it all depends on each of your $$$ moves.
  • champ: $LOW.....they just added a huge $15 billion in New stock #Buy-Backs this morning....
  • champ: $LOW and $BLDR....Watch both for Entries....I'm holding swing positions.
  • debeers: $LOW-reaffirmed guide and buying back 15B of its shares. whether or not home prices go up or down, once you own one, you gotta maintain it.If the economy is good, Home Depot no question because that's where overwhelmingly the pros go. is the economy good? NO. As soon as there is the first decrease in rates-$HD no question. For now, $LOW
  • AboveWater: @debeers $CPB Great summary and hugely useful. Food and Snacks - $CPB and $PEP, great combination in downtimes. $LOW, housing market decline, people maintain and invest in their homes and rentals.
  • debeers: $CPB/$HSY/$ENPH/$LOW/$M/$MRK/$ULTA- long
  • debeers: @AboveWater $CPB $PEP $LOW -Very kind of you to say.
  • Gpinewild: @Rockstar $DXY $VIX $XLF $XLI $XLB $XME $XLV $TAN $UNH $LOW $VRTX $FCX $CI $ON $NVDA $MSFT $SEDG $ENPH $GS $DIA $IWM $QQQ
  • Rockstar: ...
    Good morning. I mentioned last Monday I was cautiously bullish going against what others were presenting about the current state of the market. Do not trade what you think or what others think. Trade what you see in the market. It does not matter ...
  • champ: $HD and $LOW will also follow the retail sector and also the Market, #if it Starts to turn-up..........
  • champ: $LOW...HOD....
  • bigbartabs: @champ $LOW ... low is at its high? You need a Thanksgiving vacation there buddy ==:O
  • champ: ......@bigbartabs this is an #over-night swing... $LOW....now at $215.....and I'm in with a 300 shares swing, at $209.33...and I'm Trailing....and the most recent #shorts-could-continue-to-cover.... .....now I will see what happens......HOD was at $215.36. Just a trade is all......
  • phgruver: @bigbartabs $LOW Actually, $LOW would be an OK long RHRN, although I'd prefer a pullback closer to $210. Since it's high of $263.31 back on Dec 13, 2021, it pulled back 35%. That resets the base count, so this could be a stage 1 base. It's not exactly a #VALUE stock, as it only pays a 2% dividend, but it's back above the 50dma and 200dma. Earnings were pretty good, and forward guidance was positive. Historically, companies like $HD and $LOW have done well in a "challenging" economic environment, as they cater to DIY home repairs and improvements, as well as small contractors. I wouldn't go "all in," but a cautious add would be in order, as long as it stays above support, which I would put at $204-$205.
  • champ: @phgruver $LOW $HD #VALUE.....had the pull back.....and traders are now trailing.....and the reason Why is simple..... .....just Traders that had entry timings, are at Work is all..... .....I had a recent $HD...#Alert post a few days ago on 11/16.... at $314 and LOD was at $304.51.....and a few saw it and other didn't....
  • champ: @ssoha20 $HD is at $315....Nice bounce today....and like I said earlier, off of $304.51, because of what $LOW said and reported this morning on their earnings report.
    This stock will more or less hang-in with the $SPY and will also obviously bounce ...
  • scottrades: Some Earnings to be aware of this week: $NVDA $WMT $BABA $HD $ZIM $TSN $TGT $SNDL $SE $PANW $AMAT $MNDY $LOW $CSCO $JD $M $TSEM $SBLK $DNUT $YOU $FREY $TJX $KSS $NU $BJ $JAGX $FL $DNA $ESEA $IMCC $BITF $IMPL $AKTS $OTLY $CAN $NOVN $AAP $NTIC $QFIN $ACM $SONO $FTCH $TME
  • DAN: ...
    $IYT -- Strong move…still below the 200dma
    $MDY -- Mid and small caps are starting to work.

    $IWM
    $QQQ -- Has more upside before the ceiling.

    Trade Ideas:
    $TBT - Basis: 30.40 Stop: 33.80 Still above stop, but you should be very small or out ...
  • phgruver: The biggest drag on my account this morning is $LOW. The went ex-div, paying $1.05. At this moment (7:29am) they are down $4.74. May be a chance to add to a LT position?
  • phgruver: @champ $HD $OC $CMC $MLM $LOW is looking pretty good as well.
  • Justhanging48: $LOW is also interesting
  • phgruver: Both $LOW and $HD should do well in a slowing economy. Not great, but better than other retailers.
  • champ: $LOW..$ $195...held-up nicely today...they are Buying back shares.
  • phgruver: Well, $LOW beat lowered expectations. What's more they are doing better than the market was anticipating, so $LOW is trading up above the 200dma for the first time since March 2022. The earnings numbers aren't really that important (you can look them up if you are interested), but, since the first of the year, $LOW has pulled back about 33% in anticipation of retail contraction. So, what this report shows is that business isn't any worse than it was in 2021. Further, $LOW has made significant improvements in operating efficiency, which should drive profits for the rest of this year. All this is positive for a depressed stock price. If you buy here, you're chasing, but, at the same time, I don't see it pulling back significantly in the near term. As a LT holder, I'm just continuing to hang on....
  • champ: $LOW...ER in the morning....$HD..ER real nice, chasers...and entries are running away, into the hi-risk area...
  • scottrades: Some #earnings to be aware of for the week $WMT $TGT $HD $ZIM $LI $NIU $SE $LOW $CSCO $DE $AMAT $KSS $AGFY $YOU $WEBR $ADI $DNUT $BITF $TJX $SQM $BJ $DOYU $CSIQ $IMCC $DNA $BBWI $GP $FL $UPH $PFGC $TPR $TXMD $SNPS $GLBE $KEYS $IMPL $LITE $NNOX $ZIP $MCG $A $POWW $ESLT $EL
  • ShanDao: What do you think about $LOW here?
  • shoredriver: @ShanDao $LOW ....what do you think??
  • bRobert: $XRT misery continues Lower highs H&S top daily UGLY WEEKLY H&S top collapse Posted this end of LAST year Telescope was spot on $48 potential with break of 200w floor I have posted many retail shorts for many months $M $DDS worked very well SHOES $CROX $BOOT $RH still setting up Retail home build related $HD $LOW
  • bRobert: $HD Perhaps early failure to $280 neckline $250 with resumption $250 target Same with $LOW I would love to see a better failed bounce closer to the 20d ceiling
  • bRobert: $HD. $LOW not feeling the love. 200w. targets. for a while. Failed. bounces. $NAIL. giving. up some gains. $15. after some. consolidation. Too. oversold to short. from here $MTH same. Daily range breakdown target acquired at. $65. $40 potential. but. WAIT for a decent. failed. bounce closer to $75.
  • wanda1616: @bRobert $HD $LOW $NAIL $MTH $SHW dead duck
  • bRobert: @wanda1616 $HD $LOW $NAIL $MTH $SHW $200/$160. potential with a break of the 200w np The space is. no bueno
  • bRobert: $HD. $250. 200w. long term target. with another failed bounce. $LOW. same. 200w. potential with failure $TLT. H&S. top. target. $100. closing in. with weekly bear flag continuation after throw back move. to $110. $10. dip below $110
  • bRobert: $LOW $180 H&S top target acquired daily Still $140+ 299w H&S top target in play Failed bounces $MRNA Short posted $75 target or less H&S top daily /weekly
  • Docoof: @debeers $RH $TPR $WMT $TGT $HD $LOW — $TGT down 22% pm. E-report falls short of expectations—reports that quarterly profits got hit by supply chain troubles, higher fuel costs and lower than expected sales of discretionary merchandise. * Earnings per share: $2.19 adjusted vs. $3.07 expected * Revenue: $25.17 billion vs. $24.49 billion expected
  • debeers: ...
    Not quite--"You mean that low cost retailers who haven't passedcosts alongso they make less money?" Yup--that's what the figures are telling you.
    The pro contractor based $HD can--the do it yourselfer oriented $LOW? not so much
    even tho ...
  • debeers: @Docoof $RH $TPR $WMT $TGT $HD $LOW -Target and Walmart did not pass their costs along. Period. many customers who had to traded down from premium brands to house brands. Do you think, other than bitching about delays, the $RH customer cared??? Do you think the Tapestry customer cared who might have to pay an additional 75 bucks for a pair of shoes or a handbag?? They don't. Check out the once monthly Wall Street Journal magazine. You see premier brands at high prices and they pay the upped advertising freight and they pay their "influencers" without blinking an eye.
  • Pokersmith: @debeers $RH $TPR $WMT $TGT $HD $LOW $RH customers are RH customers because they DO care about prices..that's how they came to have the money to shop RH. So, with all due respect, I don't fully agree with your premise 😉
  • debeers: @Pokersmith $RH $TPR $WMT $TGT $HD $LOW -@Pokersmoith- How do you explain the packed SF store on opening with "consultants" and "stylists" trying to keep up with orders??? These are folks for whom the real currency is their time. No matter how wealthy asperson is he doesn't get more thn 24 hours in a day.( I say "he" because women are generally better multitaskers and already know to the minute how many hours there are in their day!). That's why stlylists and professional shoppers exist brcause do you really think that Gates or Musk or Tim are going to spend their time "shopping the best price?" Well, do you?
  • bRobert: $HD respected the 50d ceilings H&S top and the BEARISH WEEKLY with a magnet at the 200W $260 $LOW H&S top in motion $180/$160 200w potential $NAIL $25/$22 Short
  • bRobert: $NAIL been hammering this short < $34 $25/$22 targets $HD same $280/$260 200w $LOW $180/200W
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Stock Price $247.72
Change 1.31%
Volume 5,693,060

Lowe's Companies Inc., is a home improvement retailer, which serves homeowners, renters and Commercial Business Customers.

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