Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA)

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Chart of the Day January 4th, 2023

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  • Boone.ruth: $TSLA. Only wishing I’d bought more when it pulled back!!
  • woodman: Consumer Electronics Show lineup: Today: Keynote 6:30 PM - $NVDA Tuesday: Robotics Day - $IRBT $SERV $TSLA Wednesday: AI and Metaverse Day - $AMD $META $U $RBLX $CRM Thursday: Quantum Computing - $IBM $RGTI $BTQQF $IONQ - and Sustainability - $TSLA $FSLR Friday: Health & Wellness Tech.
  • joelsg1: $TSLA Reversed to red as Musk affirmed no Model Y "refresh" this year, matters to those who trade this as a car company.
  • woodman: @joelsg1 $TSLA - do you think CES will move $TSLA back up this week?
  • joelsg1: @woodman $TSLA Doubtful, but I see your earlier post about some type of presentation Thurs.
  • woodman: @joelsg1 $TSLA - I'm not clear on whether the tickers I mentioned will all be presenting, or just have a chance to move on what is presented (whether by them or others).
  • bigbartabs: @joelsg1 @woodman $TSLA ... based on the way the Tesla pickup withstood the explosion... maybe Musk will announce electric tanks.
  • joelsg1: @woodman $TSLA Checked the schedule and see discussions of autonomous vehicles and energy storage on Thursday, so maybe. Note Musk has said that Tesla's energy storage business will be much larger than auto by end of decade.
  • joelsg1: @bigbartabs $TSLA I am extremely skeptical about that whole incident which looks like an ad for CyberTruck. Like a Bond villain, Musk can scrape social media posts to identify vulnerable, suicidal people who could be recruited to do this. Wouldn't put it past him.
  • woodman: @bigbartabs $TSLA - Yeah, Musk is a wonderful self-promotionalist, but not so fast on the accolades ... or the tanks. "Tesla fans say Cybertruck muffled Vegas blast. Not so fast, experts say. The fact that more people weren’t killed might have more to do with the nature of the materials that started the conflagration." More here: https://wapo.st/3PqmGZC
  • joelsg1: @woodman $TSLA Exactly, and he knew how to make a shaped charge so interesting the charge was set to showcase the perimeter protection of the steel truck, which Tesla says they'll refurbish and put it back on the roads. Definitely a Hollywood story.
  • champ: @joelsg1 $TSLA .....That's really something, that you would even think like that and saying that you wouldn't put it past him,..... you are talking like you know him really well, like you are his brother or a family member.....
    ....it is what it is.. ...
  • Bridgemate: @champ $TSLA #most-exposer #decorated #sad Thank you for your post, Champ. Sometimes I am truly shocked at the lack of decency of some of the posts on this site. Your post helped to mitigate some of the disgust I was feeling,
  • joelsg1: $TSLA $RIVN beats delivery expectations by a whopping 711 vehicles delivering 14,183 and stock jumps 21%. $TSLA misses by about 10k vehicles delivering 495,570 and stock craters over 10%. Please. Canaccord raises to $404 based on 40x 2027 eps of $10.11 which seems low with as they put it the "generational set of growth opportunities ahead".
  • Motorman: @joelsg1 $TSLA $RIVN Negative EPS and CEO not in White House...lets ee what happens after EV credit goes ;) Looks like $TSLA might come to 50day. Long
  • woodman: @joelsg1 $TSLA $RIVN - Yeah, it does seem off, but perhaps it's the big difference in Market Cap and growth potential based on that difference? (RIVN $16.7 billion MC vs TSLA $1.22 trillion MC).
  • joelsg1: @Motorman $ULTA I'm up the hill but there's a nice new shopping center in South Reno with well-stocked stores, but infrastructure lacking with too much traffic at peak. Lots of new industry led by $TSLA expansion east of town (near the brothels).
  • Mikev200: $TSLA HOD
  • scottrades: $TSLA trying to come off the bottom, above yesterdays high.
  • woodman: $TSLA bought back at $405 some that I sold higher.
  • Mikev200: $TSLA rippin till the end.
  • joelsg1: @Mikev200 $TSLA Added Feb. $410-470 call spreads.
  • geotheo: $TSLA misses delivery numbers. Down about 4%
  • Motorman: @geotheo $TSLA Looks like 50day is in play. if that does not hold 20 week next.
  • Motorman: @joelsg1 Thoughts from our forum guru on all things $TSLA ? Great 59'er. if you you got in. I just held.
  • joelsg1: @Motorman $TSLA 4Q delivery numbers even worse than expected, 459,445 vs 506,763 company-compiled St. consensus with production 460,705. Energy storage deployment was 11.1 GWh up 234% YoY, continuing big gains. Guess those auto numbers still matter ...
  • Bert953: @joelsg1 $TSLA I have a Model Y, after my son who has a Model 3 said "no oil changes or other maintenance and the brakes last 100k miles." I said sold! Love the vehicle I don't use the FSD (full self driving). I occasionally use the Auto p ...
  • joelsg1: @Bert953 $TSLA Suggest you take test trial of the FSD, try it on suburban streets first before braving NYC, guarantee you will be favorably impressed with at least the 13 version (assuming your Y is new enough to have the Hardware 4 cameras). Check with Tesla--they may continue offering the 3 month free trial. The car itself is not luxurious though the new Y ride is much smoother and they are coming out with an updated model this year which I intend to get.
  • Motorman: @joelsg1 $TSLA Thanks fort he update! I talked my dad, age 88, into getting one for the incentive with promise to take from him if he does not like it. FSD is amazing! He is retired control systems engineer so does not trust technology ;) But I find it very useful on the road after a long day at work.
  • joelsg1: $TSLA Further thoughts: Tesla missed consensus 500k auto deliveries by about 4430 vehicles, at about $7k profit per vehicle w/o FSD/services that amounts to a $31M hit. However, their big beat on energy storage deployment about 5.2 GWh higher than their last 4Qs at avg. profit of about $100M per GWh is about $520M better. Yes, the energy biz is lumpy, but where I come from $520M beats a $31M hit every time. Also, good for $EOSE which offers a different but competitive energy storage product. So, I think 3 Day Rule applies to $TSLA, whose E now set for 1/29.
  • Motorman: @joelsg1 $TSLA $EOSE Thanks and also for earlier note.
  • woodman: @joelsg1 $TSLA $EOSE - Thanks as always for your analyses. 3 Day Rule starting when? Today is the 5th consecutive trading day down.
  • joelsg1: @woodman $TSLA $EOSE Today, from delivery numbers event.
  • joelsg1: @woodman $TSLA $EOSE As our Biotech maven, what do you think of $RCKT?
  • woodman: @joelsg1 $TSLA $EOSE $RCKT - Sorry, I don't know anything about it. I'll have to take a look. Biotech has been so lousy for quite some time. And then there's the head-scratcher of immensely unqualified RFK, Jr. to lead healthcare in the U.S., if confirmed. I don't think the pharma/biotech industry has much of a grasp of what that will mean. My biotech positions are $ARDX (bought back mostly between around $4.70 to to $4.90 and a little more at $5.20 - of note, insider (Director) David Mott recently bought $1 million worth of stock at $4.67) and $HUMA (bought back between ~$4.90 and ~$5.05). My ARDX (small-medium position) is larger than my HUMA (small). I also have a little (even smaller position in) $TGTX and $AUPH, and a mere placeholder in a few others just so I don't forget about them. All in all, a relatvely low concentration in biotech.
  • joelsg1: @woodman $TSLA $EOSE $RCKT $ARDX $HUMA $TGTX $AUPH Appreciate that, thanks. $RCKT is Rev Shark's stock of the year with many shots on goal so value your thoughts.
  • champ: @woodman $TSLA $EOSE $RCKT $ARDX $HUMA $TGTX $AUPH ....RFK, Jr is a Environmental Lawyer,...I was just thinking, who's to say that he is Not qualified to hirer all the right type of people, to do all the work that is now needed......
    ....he is a perf ...
  • Hawaiianmaxx: @joelsg1 $TSLA i always look for your thoughts n perspective in this space. Appreciate your input 👌🏽
  • Bs7518: @woodman $TSLA $EOSE $RCKT $ARDX $HUMA $TGTX $AUPH What are your thoughts on $VKTX? I've held a small position in it (cardinal Sin) but still believe in the science?
  • StockMarketMentor: ...
    $TSLA is down 2.6%.

    $NVDA is down 1.5%.

    Recalled that I advised against getting sucked into the “buy signal” flashed last week as the stock regained the 50-day moving average. Key moving averages like the 50-day and 200-day movin ...
  • Bert953: A blood bath to close out the year? $NVDA $GEV $TSLA showing slight green candles. Still, as @Dan says... "pretty grim."
  • Henry: @woodman Edit, I meant $MSTX could drop another 50% These special trusts for MSTR $NVDA and $TSLA betting long or short are signs of markets at their top. TIn the works are BTC bond etfs, and BTC Treasury company etfs.
  • joelsg1: $TSLA Tomorrow is last liquid day to trade before Q4 delivery numbers out before open 1/2. As posted I have been trimming, but now back to Musk's psychic $420 level so perhaps either front-run selling is done or else these numbers aren't as important now as in the past with narrative change. Wild card is Btc as TSLA holds about 10k Btc. UBS reset delivery expectations at 500-510k (need 514,925 for YoY growth). Think I'm done trimming into event.
  • Motorman: @joelsg1 $TSLA I wonder if possibility of EV TAX credit being brought into question might have spurred more buyers before Trump takes office.
  • joelsg1: @Motorman $TSLA No doubt, and that helped US sales along with a bunch of promos, but Europe is weak and it appears production was paused at Fremont and TX indicating either retooling for newer models or just weak demand. However, longer term I think FSD rules and corners the market, helping TSLA sales and those who license the tech.
  • Motorman: @joelsg1 $TSLA It is counterintuitive to think EV tax credits would be revoked with Musk in Trump's corner. Holding a position that I rebuilt after selling at the lows earlier in the year.
  • joelsg1: @Motorman $TSLA The other EV makers with higher COGS benefit more than $TSLA which makes profitable EVs without the credits, so it makes sense to revoke those credits to crush competition, and if DOGE does anything to eliminate the many other unnecessary subsidies our government provides to big oil, big ag and such it would give Musk cover to say he's cutting his own subsidy.
  • Bert953: @joelsg1 $TSLA holding short term horizontal support, also 20dMA. Possible good entry if ya have nerves of steel in a weak end of year tape.
  • joelsg1: $NVDA Yes the chart has been range-bound for 6 months exhibiting H&S top...But it did the same thing in late 2023 around $50 split-adjusted and then rocketed $100 higher in the following 6 months before settling. Catalysts begin 1/6 with Jensen's CES keynote and continue through E 2/26 and then their big developer's conference beginning 3/17. Tied with $TSLA for my largest pos.
  • joelsg1: @Bert953 $TSLA Agree. But now that the CNN gauge is on the cusp of extreme fear from just regular fear, might be time to follow Uncle Warren's old adage about being greedy. Just sayin'.
  • Motorman: @joelsg1 $TSLA Very interesting take on competition. Cracking down on big subsidies will be huge,
  • scottrades: $TSLA back above the 8 EMA
  • woodman: @scottrades $TSLA - bought it yesterday. :-)
  • traderbren: @woodman $TSLA - me too, Jan 425 Calls.
  • joelsg1: @woodman $TSLA Welcome (back?). Still think we crater on delivery numbers 1/2, which for me means riding through next Monday or Tuesday at latest then trimming shares and stock replacement with call spreads. I think the numbers will be close but show no growth from '23 and then the reaction will be key, does unit delivery growth still matter when they're doing so much better than the others with increasing FSD, new models, energy and robots 'on the come'.
  • woodman: @joelsg1 $TSLA - Yes, it's been some time since I've owned TSLA. But I wasn't following the short term fundamental story, so thank you for enlightening me about delivery numbers. Now I have something to think about.
  • woodman: @billyzeke $META - I bought a few of the #BATMMAAN stocks (Magnificent 7 plus AVGO) yesterday - specifically, $TSLA $META $GOOGL $AMZN. And added to $NVDA yesterday.
  • joelsg1: @woodman $TSLA Hey, they've made a big year end push helped immensely in China where Q sales are up 13% YoY with 1 week to go, but Europe and US are weak and probably counter China, but they could surprise, or the new narrative (up 77% since election) continues and sales cease to matter.
  • woodman: @joelsg1 $TSLA - I saw his efforts to kill bans/restrictions on doing business in China in the recent budget bill follies. Tough on China with the coming administration? Right. The guy is doing everything to help himself in every way as an insider to the next administration. Top oligarch in the coming plutocracy where there's a fox guarding every hen house. So, I figure TSLA will be more than fine whatever the short term speed bump may be.
  • billyzeke: @woodman $META $TSLA $GOOGL $AMZN $NVDA #BATMMAAN Nice! Of those I currently have $META $TSLA and a very overweight position in $NVDA.
  • joelsg1: $TSLA Replaced some shares with Jan. $450-500 call spreads.
  • Mikev200: $TSLA 460.
  • Henry: $TSLA, which I sold last week is up $10 in pm. $AVGO $META and $NVDA up in premarket. Crypto not much happened over the weekend. BTC is at the bottom of a flat channel. AAVE did well but that's about it.
  • scottrades: $TSLA low volume but trying to establish some support.
  • joelsg1: $TSLA Exercised my last Friday's $TSLA's $255 calls, also $CRWD's $350s. GS raises $CRWD to $415.
  • joelsg1: $TSLA Played around with my son's new FSD version 13, now reverses out of a garage which is new and kinda a big deal. Given the speed of improvements with each iteration, I think it achieves unsupervised FSD status by end of the year, subject to regulatory approvals. And that's where Tesla Insurance may come in: most regulators require that the company assume liability in order to approve true FSD, Tesla Ins. does that and gets the owner to pay for it with premiums, a brilliant business plan IMHO. Take rates may zoom as will high-margin profits. My 2nd largest pos. though intend to do some stock replacement into year end as I think 1/2 delivery nos. tank stock st.
  • billyzeke: Also got back into $TSLA and $FNGU this morning.
  • joelsg1: @billyzeke $TSLA $FNGU $TSLA $25 bounce and that psychic $420 level now twice-tested support. Musk has a "cold" probably from hanging with so many Covid skeptics lately (can't believe he drags his toddler around with him) so maybe he'll back off making news and let stock run into yr. end.
  • billyzeke: @joelsg1 $TSLA $FNGU I'd like to see it hit 500
  • StockMarketMentor: ...
    If you look at stocks on a weekly chart, you will see things a bit moire clear than the daily chart view. For example, it sure looks to me as if $TSLA is printing a key reversal. If you are in this, take the money and say, “Thank you very mu ...
  • Bridgemate: @Scottrades $TSLA I don't understand why Dan says TSLA made a key reversal. Looks like it bounced off the 8day on the daily and is still just above upper BB and above all moving averages on the weekly. Can you give me some clarity?
  • Henry: @Bridgemate $TSLA It's almost a tombstone doji on the weekly chart which is considered a topping pattern. We ended November at 345 and got to 588 in less than 3 weeks. In no universe is that a normal move. European car sales are down 40% BTW. I'm holding for now, but I don't see it continuing on this trajectory.
  • Bridgemate: @Henry $TSLA That is clarity...thank you, Henry
  • scottrades: @Bridgemate $TSLA -Remember Dan's most concerned about helping people protect their money during times of volatility. He wants to make sure people can lock in a winning trade and wait for a new setup. It doesn't mean you must sell but he's looking at the gain and the reaction to the Fed and expecting more volatility ahead. I do see that bounce off the 8 EMA. I think you could easily try and hold the trade and put a stop under yesterdays low as protection.
  • Bridgemate: @scottrades $TSLA Thanks, Scott. I have been stressing because I protected some decent profits about 30 points ago, and have been wanting back in (bought at end of day yesterday, so have a small gain now... Will put stop at low of day yesterday, as you suggested)
  • woodman: @StockMarketMentor $TSLA - Thanks, Dan.
  • Henry: @Bridgemate $TSLA I sold, hard to go against Dan sometimes
  • joelsg1: $TSLA 8d holding so far.
  • joelsg1: $TSLA So much for that 8d, Elon's $420. But bounced quickly to now $437, so what was formerly at least psychic resistance ($420) is now actual at least st support.
  • subrasur: @marklesparkle :) We can fritter our time on the puppet or focus on the puppeteer and buy his stock. I say go with the latter and, as Dan says, let’s make money. $TSLA one of the few that’s holding the important 8DEMA today
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY Closed near the lows $QQQ Fresh lows $IWM Still Above yesterday's low. $IBIT Closed under the 21 EMA $SMH Closed under the 200 Day $FNGU Above the 21 EMA $DXY Elevated $TNX Not great. $AAPL Still above the 8 EMA $TSLA Lose but above the 8 EMA $TTD At the 50 Day $MSTR Just above the 50 Day $NTRA Green on the day $V Still holding the 21 EMA $ALAB Still above the 8 EMA $LRN Watch 109.50 $TSM Watch 205.50
  • joelsg1: $TSLA $15 bounce from opening drop ,CFRA to $560 (140x '26 eps of $4), Baird to $480. Now about equal in market cap to $META at 25 fwd P/E.
  • Mikev200: $TSLA Bing Bang Boom
  • joelsg1: @Mikev200 $TSLA They bought the dip today for sure, think that continues at least until those delivery numbers 1/2, though company (Musk) finally getting credit for the future, major sentiment change.
  • lance1161: @joelsg1 $TSLA Also the new government isn't going to crush him for being a businessman...
  • woodman: So, apparently, instead of the "Magnificent 7," we now have #BATMMAAN: Broadcom, Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Nvidia. $AVGO $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $META $AMZN $GOOGL $NVDA.
  • bigbartabs: @woodman $AVGO $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $META $AMZN $GOOGL $NVDA #BATMMAAN: ........ ##POWW!! @BAMM!!
  • billyzeke: @woodman $AVGO $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $META $AMZN $GOOGL $NVDA #BATMMAAN: Duh nuh nuh nuh nuh nuh nuh nuh; BATMMAAN!
  • djgustoso: $MSTR $MSTX feeling very frustrated with this employee :( btc keeps making new highs and this keeps lagging behind. Hate to admit it but the long btc and short mstr trade has been working and I've been on the wrong side of it. Feeling really dejected about my trading on it :( especially when I could have been deploying that money in $META or $TSLA
  • joelsg1: $TSLA Added Jan. $475-515 call spreads.
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY FOMC Eve $QQQ FOMC Eve $IWM At the 50 Day $IWF Trending $IBIT Extended but working $SMH Tightening up $GLD Watch tomorrow $XLK In trend $FNGU In trend $DXY Still elevated $TNX Watch tomorrow $AAPL Working $META Basing $TSLA Extended $NVDA trying to bottom $SHOP Mentioned this morning $AFRM Watch 73.40 $CRWD Watch for an upside reversal $TTD Off the 21 EMA $MMYT Watch 119.50 $MSTR Wait. $HUT on the IBD 50 $RKLB Mentioned in the forum $NTRA Watch 72.80 $HUBS Building a handle (edited)
  • scottrades: $TSLA still in beast mode.
  • billyzeke: @scottrades $TSLA Of course. lol Still holding a small amount at least.
  • Cjauger: @scottrades $TSLA and $AVGO
  • joelsg1: $TSLA Started up lithium refinery plant in TX. Wedbush Ives to $515 base case, $650 bull case for 2025. Rolled short calls up/out to above $500, some way above with strong momo-based premiums, all for credits.
  • billyzeke: @joelsg1 $TSLA I bought back on the dip this morning can't let it leave without me!
  • joelsg1: @billyzeke $TSLA Ride the lightning at least through year end.
  • billyzeke: @joelsg1 $TSLA Copy that! I need to work on holding those winners and stop overtrading.
  • StockMarketMentor: Hey Gang! I'm not one to brag very often, but over at Option Market Mentor, today we closed: $IONQ calls we opened on Friday for $3.70, partial sale at $10.20 or +172% $TSLA bullish call combo opened on 12/3/24 for $5.13, partial sale at $22 or +329% $XLF puts opened on 12/2/24 for $1.13, partial and closing sale for $1.85 or +65% $FXI bullish combo opened on 10/8/24 for $0.30 and closed for -$0.26 or -183% 13 out of last 15 of my closed trades were profitable for an average win of 138%! If you want to learn how to trade options or, better yet, make great money from trading options, give Options Market Mentor a try. Hopefully, I'll see you there! @TraderGeekSam
  • marklesparkle: @StockMarketMentor $IONQ $TSLA $XLF $FXI Well done Sam. Pat yourself on the back for a well done job and give yourself an A for the day
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