Weight Watchers International Inc (NASDAQ:WTW)

Strategy Session April 13th, 2016

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  • woodman: $NFLX $WTW, both still in descent. 8dEMA is plummeting resistance. Next stop: 200 day.
  • captron: $WTW - I am thinking this might be a good 59 minute trade in the morning. Putting it on the list to consider.
  • Wykeman: $WTW she's moving...$90
  • woodman: $WTW - still a falling knife. Don't guess where it will stop. Let it tell you. The stock has suffered some damage. May take some time to repair itself.
  • PJMR11: @woodman $WTW Agreed. Keeping on watch list but it has plenty of work to do
  • captron: @woodman $WTW Combine the work it needs to do with the market is do a pull back, really sharp knife falling.
  • Motorman: $WTW sold part of position down 2, only to see it reverse...still holding half.
  • debeers: @woodman $WTW -Mindy due to be on Squak this am. Remember this isn't one of their best 2 Q's which come post turkey day and post x mas.Would like them to do more of the "invite a friend" promos which had a 70% conversion rate and Mindy said that that was in the offing.
  • debeers: $WTW-Here's the IBD take on the earnings:
    Weight Watchers (WTW) earnings beat Q2 views, but revenue fell short as subscriber growth slowed despite an expanding roster of celebrity support.
    Estimates: Wall Street expected Weight Watchers earnings to s ...
  • bRobert: $WTW gaps filled. Mentioned this yesterday. Puts sold. Will LOOK for new bullish trades....if they develop
  • wijimmy: @bRobert $WTW.... NO FLOOR TODAY !!!
  • PJMR11: $WTW Is 200DMA the stopper. Hope it is better than the stopper for the Phillies last night
  • champ: $WTW ---- Covering...at $78.33
  • woodman: @champ $WTW - some old resistance around 77-78.
  • champ: @woodman $WTW ---- I did really well....so for me ....it was just time to move on....I have others working...that I need to stay focus on.
  • bigbartabs: @champ $WTW ... short interest 14.70%... looks like the shorts were major right this time.
  • DAN: @wijimmy $WTW Weight loss continues to go well. So far, it's shed more than 13 pounds today. ;-) Falling knife.
  • champ: @bigbartabs $WTW ---- After the subscriber miss yesterday....that was a great set-up for a new short position......I don't really like to short but the set-up was outstanding.
  • shoredriver: $WTW reports tonight..options imply a 12 ish% move....hold em or fold em? leaning towards hold...
  • woodman: Implied moves for earnings this week (m=mthly): $HEAR 24.8% M $TWLO 14.2% $WTW 12.2% $ETSY 13.5% M $Z 8.4% $SNAP 16.9% $DIS 4.1% $MTCH 10.6% M $WB 8.5% $KORS 9.5% $SINA 8.5% $ROKU 12.6% $BKNG 6.0% $SRPT 8.8% $NTES 6.3% $DBX 11.5% $OLED 11.0% $AAOI 13.6% $GOOS 13.7% $AAXN 12.3%
  • debeers: $WTW-Here's what you're looking for in earnings: high estimate .93, average estimate is .88, low estimate is .83. Revenues should be at least 409.5mm for the Q which is a rather robust 19.87% above the y/o/y Q from last year. I think that the combo of Mindy Grossman and Oprah should do the trick. Folks keep waiting for the co to come up short and it just doesn't ---at least not yet).. Conf call at 5pm eastern. You want to hear how they differentiate themselves from other lifestyle brands.
  • champ: @debeers $WTW ---- Spec entry this morning was around $90.66...for a Day-Trade.
  • debeers: $WTW-There's some short interest i n this one as there always is.
    Will Oprah come through?
    Has $WTW failed since she's been in it? I think she takes her involvement in True Foods into the WTW fold. That having been said, my favorite Q for WTW is al ...
  • champ: @debeers $WTW --- I'm seeing the short interest is at 14.70%... but that depends on what site you are looking at.
  • debeers: $WTW-for champ. Here's the info you requested: Short interest has decreased 5% per the short squeeze report with which i am sure you are familiar. Still its significant. What is statistically important to me, is that there was a recent drop of 5% i ...
  • champ: @debeers $WTW --- Thanks, but I have it....and I don't really know if I'm going to hold this swing trade or not...and if I do, it will only be around 10-15%.
  • champ: @Gmoore $SLCA --- I'm not holding any #Sand-Suppliers, at this time but watching $SLCA and all the others....however, the next two to report are..... $SND on 8/9......and $CVIA is on 8/14...they took out $FMSA. I might swing small positions, into earnings. I'm holding many swing position going into earnings....I think I have 10 or so and $WTW reports today, in the AH's and I have 5-more that report tomorrow.
  • bRobert: $WTW . Gaps at $80 and $87.50 . 20week line around $80. It has hit this several times. Just pointing it out.
  • champ: $WTW ....just holding 10%....could go either way.
  • bRobert: @champ $WTW Isn't that almost always true?
  • champ: @bRobert $WTW ....You think....but a large move is why I'm not holding size....10% is a really small position....
  • champ: $WTW ...beat on all lines lines and even guides higher...but dropping
  • bRobert: @champ $WTW Gap filling. Should be interesting tomorrow.
  • woodman: @bRobert $WTW - Needs to hold 87.69 tomorrow.
  • champ: @bRobert $WTW.... They are only reporting subscriber numbers YoY and not... last qtr over this qtr....that is the problem...that is what... is going on RHRN....but the numbers look strong.....however, they are hiding the exact numbers...until the call, maybe. This could be a buy....but I'm on hold, for now...with this small position...and it can still go either way....even with these positive numbers because we don't really know what the hell they are. I could say something else but it would not be very nice.....
  • champ: @woodman $WTW --- I guess I could figure out the subscriber numbers ...and at the end of last qtr, they were 4.6m and that was a increase of 1 m yoy....but I don't want to try and do the math...its been a long day....but a great day for profits.
  • woodman: $WTW - mixed bag: Weight Watchers International (WTW) reported 2nd Quarter June 2018 earnings of $1.01 per share on revenue of $409.7 million. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.90 per share on revenue of $413.8 million. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.95 per share. Revenue grew 19.9% on a year-over-year basis. The company said it expects 2018 earnings of $3.10 to $3.25 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $3.00 to $3.20 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $2.91 per share for the year ending December 31, 2018.
  • champ: @woodman $WTW --- I have the consensus @ $0.88, they beat by $0.13 ....revs were flat but up a hair....it looks like the subscribers were flat....and ended the qtr still at 4.5m, the same as last qtr....and they are saying that number is up 27.6% y/y but it is the same as last quarter. That is what I have now......so with flat numbers I'm now......#OUT @ $89.50.
  • Raos: @woodman $WTW The reason it is taking a hit in after hours is because of subscriber numbers. It fell from 4.6 million to 4.5 million.
  • champ: @Raos $WTW ---- Yes, that is what I have also....a small miss on the subscriber number....So for now...I'm #OUT.
  • debeers: $WTW/$MOS-Both report Monday AMC.Long.
  • Wykeman: $CHGG posted earnings beat. 16% short stock up a/h. $NTRI earnings beat. stock down slightly A/h . Could be window into $WTW earnings 8/6. Next Monday. 10% short interest. Be aware. I have NP in any of these. Might start $WTW this week
  • woodman: $WTW consolidating on the 50 day. Earnings 8/6 amc.
  • PJMR11: @woodman $WTW I have traded this over the last few days taking small daily profits. My concern is the 200DMA is 20 points down. Waiting for that to get closer to 50DMA before I take a longer term position..
  • woodman: @PJMR11 $WTW - If not for earnings, you could buy it without worry, using a stop under the recent low (7/16). I'm not concerned about the 200 day in and of itself, but earnings is always a wildcard. I have a bunch and will hold at least some through (still to be decided how much I keep over earnings).
  • PJMR11: $WTW Took a position today on this PB. Set tight stop, as 200 DMA is almost 20 points below.
  • PJMR11: $WTW Raised stop.
  • PJMR11: $WTW Stopped out. Did add a little lunch money
  • woodman: $WTW - green at the moment; inside day at the 50 day. Probably not a bad spot here - or soon - to start accumulating if you've been interested, though you'll have to decide your plan for earnings which are estimated for early Aug. (I haven't seen a confirmed date yet.)
  • GuitarGuy: @woodman $WTW I believe they report on August 2nd. At least according to "Earnings Whisper". I should add, they report after hours...4:15pm
  • woodman: @GuitarGuy $WTW - that's an unconfirmed estimate based on last report's date.
  • gmj: @woodman $WTW I’m in at 91 with a 15% pos and will add as I see vol and price move higher with a SL below the 50Ma.
  • woodman: $WTW - I sold most of mine when it started to pullback. I added back a bunch today.
  • mopick: @woodman $WTW, needs to hold $90 I would assume. Looks like a good risk/reward.
  • woodman: @mopick $WTW - I'm giving it a little more leeway than that, using the 50 day as my rough area of support.
  • gmj: $WTW added on this vol pop raised my stop too
  • gmj: $WTW starter pos small down here near 50MA ... upside bounce off 90
  • bRobert: @gmj $WTW Small bearish pattern target $90 acquired. A few gaps below to watch. 88 & 80 .
  • woodman: $WTW - consolidating on this pullback. Don't lose sight of it.
  • debeers: @woodman $WTW - would love to see Oprah come out, before Thanksgiving, instead of after. My concern is that she is depleting the WTW food brand by her new venture.
  • woodman: @debeers $WTW - Coming out? Isn't she married?
  • debeers: @Forexpro $DXCM $EXAS $LULU $WTW $TIF $CNC #E-MiniFutures -today dismissive waves are focused on $NKE, $BOOT, $MTN, As $RACE, and Nordy's :$JWN- as well as $AMZN, $BA--Nordy's is fed up with analyst meetings, oversight, etc and the fam wants it back and, as far as I'm concerned, I've contributed to them for years and they can damn well pay up if they want my stock. $BOOT bought Tinsdales without 1 red cent of debt out of their cash hoard. That's what cowboys (backed by JPM) do. Have the best weekend. Did you see Mookie last night??? They must be crazed........
  • debeers: @Forexpro $DXCM $EXAS $LULU $WTW $TIF $CNC #E-MiniFutures -I am out of Poop and have thinned WTW.
  • debeers: @woodman $WTW -I meant make a public statement. A debutante she ain't: just hardworking and brilliant.
  • woodman: $WTW may have found support at top of 6/12 gap up.
  • captron: $WTW - Cashing out for now. Nice profits.
  • woodman: @captron $WTW - slapped down at VWAP.
  • captron: @woodman $WTW Would like for it to pull back to lower 90's and make another run at the 100 zone and see if it can stay above for awhile.
  • woodman: @captron $WTW - some areas of interest: top of prior gap (6/12) 90.50; bottom of prior gap 88-ish. 50 day, currently 86.32.
  • captron: @woodman $WTW You are saying History will repeat. Watching. Thanks
  • debeers: @bRobert $HIIQ $MCHP $CY $ON $AMD $SMH $MU $WTW $WWE $LULU $TRHC -$LULU caught another upgrade.
  • bigbartabs: @bRobert $NFLX $CRM $WTW $LULU $WWE $W ... your trading style... ditto! I too have little time to trade. I'm retired :) I'm glad you mentioned monthly, weekly charts... those are a resource that truely keeps me in the game, and without having to be at my laptop constantly. I once in awhile trade single tickers. But frankly, with good index and sector charts, and x3 ETFs ... one can do very well without all the baggage. I would rather deal with baggage during plane and road trips :) Cheers buddy...
  • gmj: $WTW looking for input added to my sm pos on this drop with a tight SL ...
  • Sher: $WTW - Not sure why this is selling off, other than the fact I took a position in it, last week!
  • bRobert: @Sher $WTW Testing bottom of channel. Consolidation is healthy
  • traderbren: @Sher $WTW - the Jul 95 puts and 7/27 weekly 100 puts are seeing some interest.
  • bRobert: @traderbren $WTW Similar action to June.
  • bRobert: @Greendayguy $HIIQ $MCHP $CY $ON $AMD $SMH $MU I try and find stocks with charts that have LARGE measured moves when triggered. eg . $WTW weekly chart JAN 18 squeezing. at $50 Measured move was to $90 (CUP/HANDLE). This was a very tight ...
  • Greendayguy: @bRobert $HIIQ $MCHP $CY $ON $AMD $SMH $MU $WTW $WWE $LULU $TRHC Thank you very much, great advice. Much appreciated. I started small positions in $MCHP and $ON on Friday for short term trades. We'll see how they go, and of course I have stops in ...
  • bRobert: @gwenzee Just for clarification, as a rule I don't like to day trade . Sometimes, a great opportunity presents itself and I have the time to manage it. (59 min trade) I have a busy day job that doesn't often lend itself to this time frame. I don't want to sit in front of a screen all day. I prefer finding stocks that have great weekly/monthly charts with a very high upside/low risk. Get a good entry from a shorter time frame chart. Get full position/overweight great strategic positions on strength eg $NFLX $CRM $WTW $LULU $WWE $W Hold them as long as the cow produces good milk. The volatility this year has presented greater challenges than the past few. A bit more partial profit taking, option hedging , tighter trailing stops.
  • gwenzee: @bRobert $NFLX $CRM $WTW $LULU $WWE $W Never said you day trader. Where did you get that impression? I just warned the newbie about doing it. I don't do it either....not my style either.
  • bRobert: @gwenzee $NFLX $CRM $WTW $LULU $WWE $W Wasn't meant for you specifically. Just a general piece of info for the forum. There are many excellent day traders here. I'm not one of them. Not my preferred style, even if I had the time. I like a little fresh air and a pretty view.
  • bRobert: $WTW Nice little high base . High targets with move >105+. Target $112
  • bRobert: $WTW Perky intraday charts $105+ targets
  • woodman: @bRobert $WTW - weightless.
  • bRobert: $WTW completing small high base cup. Little handle might be last touch. Further sideways action would be healthier and provide a better springboard Move >105 + trigger
  • bRobert: $WTW WEEKLY flag Looking for next leg. Move >102.50 should get this going. Long term hold.
  • bRobert: $WTW Small high base. Trigger $105 Target $113+
  • bRobert: $WTW . Easy to hold. Strong underlying support. Earnings August.
  • debeers: $WTW-Another stock on an exchange that is a"complete waste of your time."......Unless of course you think that a stock that is up over 125% so far this year and goes down less when the market goes down and goes up a lot when the market goes up is a complete waste of your time............It's not. No Oprah enterprise ever was. Folks love her and believe her and that, friends, is exchange proof!
  • bRobert: $WTW . Long to hold with trading around core. Weekly flag Watching for trigger/next leg to add.
  • bRobert: @spmeyers $GBR This stock was in a prolonged . weekly/daily volatility squeeze . It is a micro cap that trades small volumes. It wouldn't take much to get the squeeze to pop. SMM is not the only forum that tracks/trades them. Many send text alerts when there is blood in the water. The nature of these squeezes is powerful movement. up or down. Eventually the punch bowl will be empty. Look at flipcoin weekly squeeze/pop. I wouldn't hold this overnight. Not a big position. $WTW and $WWE . were/are large positions .for me from . their weekly squeeze breakouts. . They are still going
  • PJMR11: @bRobert $GBR $WTW $WWE Another one like GBR last week was bio
  • PJMR11: @bRobert $GBR $WTW $WWE $XBIO
  • captron: $WTW - Will the window dressing buyers include this one in their baskets. Its trying to get back above 100
  • debeers: $WTW-The market goes down, Oprah goes down less. The market goes up, Oprah goes up more. What's not to like?
  • bRobert: $WTW took partial profits on $105 pop . trailing stop rest. Repeat Zag towards 20d before ?bounce.
  • captron: $WTW - Looks like it is going to build a base right here. NP
  • bRobert: @captron $WTW A little rest would let the 50d catch up a bit and provide a better springboard. But if it wants to rocket to $115 , I won't argue
  • bRobert: $SHAK similar chart to $WTW. A litttle rest for next move. Short squeeze
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Stock Price $USD 50.24
Change 2.53%
Volume 2,079,690

Weight Watchers International, Inc. is a provider of weight management services, operating globally through a network of Company-owned and franchise operations.

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