International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM)

Strategy Session September 19th, 2016

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  • scottrades: $IBM Steady up the 8EMA
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY Quiet Day $QQQ Above the 50 Day $IWM Above the MAs $DXY Fresh Lows $GLD Still in trend $GDX Higher Low $TLT Working $SMH just under the 50 Day $XLF Back near the highs $XLE Weekly Flag $XHB Above the MAs $IBIT BTC under the 50 Day $META Watch 540 $GS Watch 510 $MA Watch 470 $V Needs a trend change $KBH Watch 82.30 $AEM Extended $PANW Breaking out $IBM Close to the highs $CRUS Watch 143 $TTWO Above the 200 Day $FIX At the 8EMA $IOT Earnings coming up Sept 5 $MSTR Watch 142.20
  • BarryC: Good Morning!! I'm going to start an $IBM long position today while slowly dipping my toe in the water with some potential new swings.
  • phgruver: FWIW, stodgy old $IBM is up over 4% today on earnings. They reported EPS of $2.43/share vs expectations of $2.20/share, a pretty decent beat. Revenue was $15.77B, a YOY increase of $295M. At the current price, the annual dividend of $6.68/share is a yield of 3.63%. Of course, if you bought your shares at a lower price, (as I did) your personal ROI could be much higher.
  • champ: @phgruver $IBM...#Real-nice-Work and your Old company, just might continuing paying you extra now, especially for the next few weeks or so.... if we were to keep getting the right Economic numbers........ ....and in the morning, we could start a new Market-leg, if we were to get the right number.....and thats how important that number is, however don't tell everyone, only tell your close friends. Good Luck! ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
  • bigbartabs: @phgruver $IBM ... did you work at IBM?
  • phgruver: @bigbartabs $IBM Yeah, I spent 23 years working for Big Blue. I started buying stock through the Employee Purchase Plan (EPP) as soon as I was eligible. Back then, we got, like, a 15% discount, but we could only buy a certain percentage, I think 7%, of our salary. I always planned for that to be the cornerstone of my retirement. So far, it's worked....
  • bigbartabs: @phgruver $IBM ... we might be birds of a feather. I spent 31 years working for Perot's Electronic Data Systems (EDS)... that included being bought by GM in 1985, then spun back off after a few years later to EDS again... then bought by HP along about 2007, where I stayed a couple more years and retired in 2009. What area were you in with IBM?
  • phgruver: @bigbartabs $IBM I started out in the National Support Center, (first in Atlanta and then in RTP, NC) supporting the PC market, and then, somewhere along the line, got transferred to Global Services. I was an AIX (UNIX) guru, and DB2 database specialist. Along the line I did a bit of C programming, and became quite adept at shell programming as well.
  • joelsg1: $IBM Beat and slight raise, up $6 under $10 implied move ah but they broke out their growing AI consulting business. If it holds, could be a harbinger of at least a bounce.
  • mopick: $IBM, what do you guys think of this chart now???
  • phgruver: @Henry $CMG Good commentary, Henry! I remember that $IBM used to split whenever it got to $145, to keep the price closer to $70/share. This was was partly for affordability, but also to allow long term holders to sell a few shares without feeling like they were selling out of their position. Side note: those splits are how I wound up "overweight" in $IBM stock. I'm still not selling, though. Those dividends are helping finance my retirement....
  • phgruver: $IBM getting whacked, this morning, after reporting Q1. The beat on earnings, but missed on sales. So far, they have given back everything they gained on the last earnings report, and are trading back down at Dec 23 levels. Still, the stock is very near the rising 200dm, FWIW....
  • traderbren: #Gaps - looks like we'll get some gap fills on the downside on $META and $IBM tomorrow.
  • woodman: $IBM sideways into rising 50d
  • Zimzala: $IBM May be early but picked some up at $189.
  • woodman: $IBM drift back down to rising 20d area.
  • traderbren: $IBM - poised to move higher, especially if it clears the 8ema overhead at 193.27
  • X802tp01: $IBM running toward the 2012 high of 203.73. 199 %2B 7.25
  • DAN: ...
    So being long $IBIT is no different than being long $IBM (which is also, by the way, moving higher and is less than 10% from its all-time-high). We are up about 36% on our $IBIT trade. What's the difference between our trade on IBIT and our trade ...
  • Auto: $IBM added yesterday and early today watching $191.31 to add has to hold long daily
  • Auto: $ARM $LEN $IBIT $IBM added long daily $PINS started position 5 min $35.10
  • Auto: $IBM back in @pp 5 min long
  • phgruver: Kyndryl Holdings, $KD, the spin off of IBM Global Services, reported earnings yesterday. They reported a loss of $(0.05)/share vs expectations of $(0.26)/share on revenue of $3.94B vs expectations of $3.92B. This revenue was down YOY from $4.3B, but not bad At this rate, they may become profitable is a few quarters. I got my stock from the spinoff from my $IBM stock, and I've added a bit.....
  • Auto: $XP $MSTR $CLSK $IBM added early staying late
  • djgustoso: @phgruver @Henry $BAH $IBM Thank you for your responses!
  • phgruver: @djgustoso $BAH I had the same problem when I worked for $IBM. I was allowed to purchase stock at, a 15% discount, with a certain % of my salary. Over my 23 years with the company, I built up an outsized position, relative to my other investments. ...
  • Auto: $IBM short from yesterday added premarket watching $189.25 to add again
  • phgruver: FWIW, $IBM reported a beat on earnings and revenue last night. The beats were relatively modest, though. What's driving the stock higher, this morning, is the CEO's statement "Client demand for AI is accelerating...." and other forward looking statements. As I have an outsized position in $IBM, from way below, it's good to see $IBM to get some of it's mojo back. :-)
  • scottrades: Good morning Team! Flat open this morning which isn’t bad considering $TSLA is down a bunch to start the day after reporting Earnings. It’s not all bad though, $IBM, as noted in the forum, is up over 6% after they reported. Lots more Earn ...
  • Wolf: $IBM Big Blue is up 11% and still going.
  • Auto: $IBM $BANC 59ers working 5min
  • Wolf: $IBM Up as much as 13% on 3X normal volume already. How high can it go?
  • Waylon: $IBM Intergalactic Ballistic Missile
  • scottrades: @Waylon $IBM It's gone supersonic!
  • DavidK: @Auto $NVDA conversations on Cnbc halftime about $AMD and $NVDA . Josh brown sold his amd and still holds some nvda . Frothy and not a good entry point . I have $ NVDA puts I have added to this am . Bought $IBM puts . Fever about to break
  • cgendro1: $NOW- getting hit pretty hard post EPS report. Winners seem to be $IBM, $LRCX, $URI post eps reports
  • jonwest88:
  • phgruver: $IBM is making a big move (plus 2%) in the premarket. No idea why. Earnings are next Wed, 24th, after the bell.
  • Henry: @phgruver $IBM Evercore upgrade pt $200
  • phgruver: @oldtimer The only thing green for me was $ABBV. Just now $IBM also went green. That really isn't telling me anything, other than this is a really tough market....
  • joelsg1: $IBM Small trim after huge post-E move.
  • phgruver: $KD, the spin off of Global Services from $IBM, reported better that expected earnings yesterday. They reported a $(0.05) per share loss vs expectations of $(0.63) per share, and revenues of $4.07B vs consensus estimates of $3.95B. The company also raised their outlook for 2024
  • phgruver: FWIW, $IBM reported better than expected earnings, revenue and free cash flow. As a result, the stock is up about 5% today, as the market, in general, is selling off. Not a buy, at these levels, but definitely a hold. The dividend yield is at 4.8%, making it a good stock for a long term portfolio. (I am long from way below)
  • joelsg1: $NVDA $SMCI $IBM today announced it will indemnify users of its generative AI against copyright and other IP claims. Others will have to follow. Good for the first two, long both.
  • camaro69: $IBM Holding it's morning break out
  • joelsg1: $IBM Breakout continuing.
  • joelsg1: $IBM Still riding the 8d even after ex-div yesterday at a nearly 4.7% yield, extended so trailing up stop to a bit below 8d. Another $3 to above $147.62 12/22 high could further juice.
  • traderbren: $IBM - may see a trade down to close the gap at 141.25
  • wijimmy: @kenb $CHAT $NVDA $MSFT $GOOGL $BIDU $ADBE $AMD $AI $CRM $ANET $SOUN $BABA $ADSK $AMZN $META $IBM $INTC $SSTR $PLTR $SNAP $NICE $DUOL .. .. $CHAT .. Looks like a nice blend to have in retirement account in 1 easy to watch ETF.... FYI... page 17 of prospectus....Dividends and Distributions The Fund intends to pay out dividends and interest income, if any, annually, and distribute any net realized capital gains to its shareholders at least annually. The Fund will declare and pay income and capital gain distributions, if any, in cash. ... https://www.roundhillinvestments.com/assets/pdfs/chat_prospectus.pdf
  • ManSim: Roundhill just launched their new Generative AI ETF trading under the ticker $CHAT Here are all the holdings and their weightings within the ETF Nvidia $NVDA 7.77% weighting Microsoft $MSFT 7.64% Google $GOOGL 7.20% Baidu $BIDU 5.42% IFlytek 5% Adobe $ADBE 4.9% $AMD 4.85% Sensetime 4.73% C3 $AI 4.54% Salesforce $CRM 3.64% Tencent 3.60% Arista $ANET 3.48% Soundhound $SOUN 3.41% Alibaba $BABA 3.21% AutoDesk $ADSK 3.07% Amazon $AMZN 3.07% Facebook $META 2.83% $IBM 2.8% Intel $INTC 2.31% Shutterstock $SSTR 2.28% Palantir $PLTR 2.14% Appier 1.69% Snapchat $SNAP 1.53% Kunlun 1.34% $NICE 1.34% Duolingo $DUOL 1.24% 360 Security Token 0.98% Sinch 0.94% Change Hldgs 0.91%
  • kenb: @ManSim $CHAT $NVDA $MSFT $GOOGL $BIDU $ADBE $AMD $AI $CRM $ANET $SOUN $BABA $ADSK $AMZN $META $IBM $INTC $SSTR $PLTR $SNAP $NICE $DUOL just read about this and was going to post until I saw yours. AI is hot right now and their holdings provide a nice selection of participants in the space. It is going to be actively managed and I am considering taking a position in retirement account as a passive investment in the theme.
  • DavidK: @ManSim $CHAT $NVDA $MSFT $GOOGL $BIDU $ADBE $AMD $AI $CRM $ANET $SOUN $BABA $ADSK $AMZN $META $IBM $INTC $SSTR $PLTR $SNAP $NICE $DUOL Josh Brown called it . AI mania . Ride it until the shot hits the fan. Crooks on Wall Street don’t ever stop their shenanigans
  • phgruver: @WaterSF46 $IBM reported earning after the bell, yesterday. They beat on sales and eps, but missed on revenue. A mixed report, but, basically, in line with what was actually expected.
  • traderbren: $IBM - closed the downside gap. NP
  • Henry: $IBM $LVS I didn't have anything good to say about IBM last week but after earnings tonight, it is breaking the downtrend. LVS Is a breakout in ah. np in either
  • DAN: ...
    Wednesday: $MS $IBM $TSLA (Musk just announced another 25% price reduction in the Model 3, S and X, along with the Model Y Performance. The price cuts are limited to the European market. (I was chatting with my wife about this yesterday because we ...
  • scottrades: Some Earnings to be aware of for next week: $TSLA $SCHW $BAC $NFLX $JNJ $GS $MTB $STT $TSM $ASML $LMT $MS $UAL $AXP $RAD $T $BK $PLD $GNTY $IBM $USB $NOK $PG $ERIC $ISRG $NDAQ $BKR $ABT $ALK $SLB $ALLY $MBWM $WAL $FCX $BX $JBHT $UNP $CBSH $DHI $PM $ELV $AA $TFC $LRCX $KEY $FITB $CFG $SYF $NUE $TRV
  • Henry: @suhadpatel16 $IBM welcome to the forum. The 50 ema is below the 200 ema and the stock price is below the 200. It might be breaking it's down trend line. The stock price peaked 10 years ago. Short term or long term, I would look elsewhere.
  • Rockstar: ...
    The four horseman are still bullishly aligned and there are sectors that still warrant some long exposure. The $XLF is threatening new multi-month highs, the $XLV is at multi-month highs, and the $XLU,$XLI and $XLP all showing bullish charts. The ...
  • woodman: $IBM looking lively. It's a player in quantum computing. Who'd a thunk it? https://www.newscientist.com/article/2347546-ibm-quantum-computer-runs-largest-quantum-program-yet/
  • Rockstar: ...
    I am typing a mea culpa here as I placed three trades this week that I should have exited at my 50% profit mark. The trades were $IBM, $ETSY and $MSFT. I was looking for better returns and did not stick to my discipline. Well that lack of discipli ...
  • Rockstar: ...
    We have had a few earnings reports this week, with $NFLX surprising to the upside, $IBM having a positive reaction (bounced right to the 100 day EMA do not go long here), and some oil stocks reporting some good numbers as well. Earnings season ki ...
  • scottrades: Reminder about some #Earnings for the week: $TSLA $BAC $NFLX $SCHW $GS $JNJ $BK $T $UAL $VZ $LMT $SNAP $AAL $GNTY $SI $NOK $NUE $ASML $PG $IBM $HAS $AXP $ALLY $ACI $ABT $ISRG $BKR $BX $LRCX $FCX $NDAQ $AA $SLB $DOW $MRTN $STT $SBNY $JBHT $PLD $TRV $MNSB $ERIC $PM $ALK
  • Docoof: @Forexpro $GE $HON $IBM #Question Very, very helpful and greatly appreciated. I kinda doubt I’ll be the only one who benefits from your response. Thanks, Forexpro!
  • Forexpro: ...
    Just wandering around prior to bedtime, and saw your query. For "private clients" read "Merrill Lynch customers", many of whom qualify as "high net worth". Presumably, the primary business for most of them is not capita ...
  • veghead: $IBM holding up nicely so far
  • veghead: $IBM HOD above Fridays high
  • cmbrick: $IBM strong close
  • Mounty: @Dan $IBM is tracking the 3rd SD down. How long does it continue? Is there a bounce trade looming or does it just level off and come back into the 2SD bandwidth?
  • rythm: @Mounty @dan $IBM $125.70 was my bottom box on this. Hopefully it will rebound. Love to hear Dan’s thoughts as well.
  • DAN: @Mounty $IBM The longer it keeps going down, the heavier it gets. So I wouldn't look for much here. At this point, I don't see a trade.
  • sgiseller: $IBM Stopped out never to stain my portfolio ever again
  • DAN: ...
    Futures are up a bit, irrespective of $IBM's dismal trading, which is down 7% since reporting a 9% increase in YoY quarterly revenues and beating analysts' earnings estimates by just 1.7%. All things considered that wasn't too bad at all. But the co ...
  • Auto: $IBM added tight leash
  • bla00109: $IBM daytrade working. Bought the July22 $128 calls.
  • joelsg1: @bla00109 $IBM Good luck with that st @Dan snapback trade, but see $META which did not .
  • bla00109: $IBM trade was working but has faded and I am closing my calls for breakeven.
  • AboveWater: @bla00109 $IBM Agree. if it pulls below 129, buying several $129 calls 5 Aug in case we get a ride upwards.
  • rythm: @AboveWater $IBM followed you. Let’s see !
  • AboveWater: @rythm $IBM First level triggered, we are off to the races
  • rythm: @AboveWater $IBM yes looking for some volume !
  • DavidM: $IBM moving now
  • sgiseller: $IBM place holder @ 128.88. Lets see what happens will add above 131 not a long tern trade for me, only looking for a quick bounce
  • sgiseller: @sgiseller $IBM added @ 131.04, now we wait for a solid direction Thanks @Dan for the idea
  • DAN: ...
    COTD: $IBM -- Hammer pattern now. Massive volume. Watch for an upside move for a trade.

    $SPY -- High volume breakout. Germany/EU are getting gassed.
    $DIA -- Key breakout above the 50-day MA.
    $IYT -- Even the trannies are heading north.
    $MDY -- Nic ...
  • scottrades: Let's get ready to rumble... Some of the #earnings for the week $TSLA $NFLX $BAC $GS $SCHW $JNJ $CLF $HAL $SNAP $PLD $IBM $SYF $T $ASML $LMT $AAL $NOK $SI $ALLY $GNTY $UAL $FCX $VZ $BX $HAS $AXP $ABT $NDAQ $SLB $NUE $AA $DOW $JBHT $CFG $TWTR $DHI $MAN $MRTN $BKR $DPZ $SBNY $PM $NVS $TFC $UNP
  • champ: #Journal-post.....I'm Also....Still holding.....$FANG $DVN $SOI $SLCA $AAPL $IBM $TDOC $FXI $RIVN $SAVE $CPA $FIGS $SON $CANO $JPM $FAS $XPO $YELL $MGM $CZR...... small size, test positions...$AA... $HRI...$CF. ............also $KMI..6.57% and $PAA..8.73%.....yield swing positions. .....this is what I'm doing......these are the stocks that I have posted about........ I'm not Watching the Markets, I'm working the Markets....... ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~``
  • champ: $IBM @ $141...starting to move, the Set-up is,...they will be reporting Earnings on Monday 7/18, after the close....their #News flow is positive.
  • mopick: $IBM, continues it's outperformance. Actually up today & up for the year! In from below.
  • mopick: $IBM, anyone checked out this stock recently? Actually up over 5% ytd, chart looking good, almost 5% yield kicker. Side note, back from European vacation. Airports, specifically, Schiphol Airport in Amsterdam, complete and utter chaos! These guys never hired more people after Covid resulting in massive delays as surge of tourists put enormous pressure on infrastructure. Lots of very unhappy travelers, took us over 6 hours simply to pass through baggage check.
  • wjj3: $IBM anyone interested in this one?
  • bilipi:
  • vitoB: @wjj3 $IBM dont have that kind of patience to make it work... divs and covered calls on that is a money makin rackin
  • champ: @wjj3 $IBM @ $139....Nice trade ...Day-5 on this turn/bounce, for those who had nice Entry-timings....off of around $126, but like all-stocks, that are Trade-able...they all #need a market, that will continue.... .....and on this Teck stock, I don't know if there is a lot of interest,.. on chasing this one....because it is not expected too move-up.. very much.....meaning, that there is not going to be... a lot of flash in this stock, however thats what some want. NP for now, however I had a few posts, on my past recent position...and I missed this turn, on this stock. LOL
  • traderbren: $IBM - entered the May 13th 137 Put this morning with the break of the 8ema & 20d. Looks like it might close the gap at 129.40 or at least kiss the 50d at 130ish.
  • wanda1616: @traderbren $IBM taking out everything $TJX $DLTR $DG had held up well til now
  • champ: $IBM at $134.65 ....and their X-Date was this morning for $1.65, that pays each quarter...$6.60 yearly = 4.79%.
  • champ: $IBM is now at $137....and it is on its weekly high....but dancing.
  • champ: $IBM...is holding $136....
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Change 0.26%
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