Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO)

Strategy Session August 17th, 2015

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  • DrScience: $VLO is trading ex-dividend today, so watch for the move above 166.50-168.50 range to confirm owners aren't sellers, sellers are painting themselves into a corner, and buyers are helping! ATH is up at 184.79, and with just over a month to the end of the driving season, expect a bullish move into October as refiners switch their gasoline blending, getting ready for winter.
  • jonwest88: $XLF, $KRE, $PSX, $VLO, $BAC, all just being dumped. Looking at the tech darlings of yesterday, and today's sell off, did we really just see a bear market rally? $AMAT, $ARM, $AMD, $MU?
  • jonwest88: Uh oh missed the stops on $PSX and $VLO
  • DrScience: $VLO pushing through recent high. Stock goes ex-div on AUG 1st with a 1.07 divvy (2.64 annualized).
  • champ: $PSX is moving $MPC $VLO $XOM $CVX and others....and N-gas is also helping,.... that sector out also today, $KMI $BOIL $LNG........ .....$XOP there are a lot of Trades going on.
  • champ: $KMI $BOIL ...N-gas is now-up over 11%..and will this HOD,....hold at $2.1239...and I sure don't know what those large commodity traders are going to do.....however $BOIL has room to climb and my stop also has room...... ....and Day-1 isn't over until its over..... ...$XOP $XOM $CVX $MPC $VLO and Traders are very active........
  • StockMarketMentor: Adding $VLO to the Active Trade Idea List:

    Basis 163.13

    Stop: 153.45

    Earnings compared to the same quarter in 2023 fell by 50%, but...beat expectations by 4.38%. The most important thing about this trade (along with $PSX) is that the stock ...
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY Near the 50 Day $QQQ Under the MAs. Watch for an upside reversal $IWM Holding the 8EMA $DXY Watch tomorrow $TNX Watch tomorrow $GLD Above the MAs $GDX Watch tomorrow $XLF in trend but extended. $XLV Above the MAs $XLE Above the MAs $IBIT Just above the 50 Day, Alert at 41 $NVDA Watch 96 - the gap seen round the world $MSFT Near the 200 Day $AMD Up on Earnings $PSX Added to Dan’s ATL (147.28 / 135.80) $VLO Added to Dan’s ATL (163.13 / 153.45) $WMB Mentioned by Dan in the forum $CHDN Watch 146 $DY watch 184 $TW Sitting on the 8EMA, Would like to see a higher low. $WPM Monthly breakout $EGO Flag $NEM Flag $JPM In trend $GS Good volume $MS Lagging but clear support at the 21 EM
  • traderbren: $VLO - nice push off the 200d this morning and then printed a bullish engulfing candle and cleared the 50d
  • DrScience: @traderbren $VLO My fav refiner! The stock goes Ex-Dividend on AUG 1st with a $1.07 divvy (2.75% annualize). It was a textbook ride of the 5-min 8 EMA from the initial drive lower and cross back above the open price to the top! I got in at $147 on the open, added at $149 as price crossed the near-term downtrend line and opening range high, added again at $152.20 as price moved above the early consolidation and took some off at the secondary downtrend line from ATH, which coincided with the top of the regression channel at $156.50. Got the biggest bite of the whole enchilada as a day trade and sold the 2 AUG 24 160 Calls@1.66 against the rest.
  • rck89: $VLO, $PSX - Any thoughts on oils and especially the refiners at current levels?
  • stairm01: @rck89 $VLO $PSX I bought calls on $OXY yesterday and $COP today. Looks like a short-term bottom may be in.
  • debeers: $VLO-slowly she turns step by step.
  • DrScience: $VLO The Board of Directors of Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE: VLO, “Valero”) has declared a regular quarterly cash dividend on common stock of $1.07 per share. The dividend is payable on June 28, 2024 to holders of record at the close of business on May 30, 2024 . The stock is trading in a range 153-160, and as time has passed the daily 8 EMA has started to interact on a regular basis. A cross through 160, the daily 21 EMA, is a buy signal.
  • woodman: $VLO $MPC $PBF $DK - some refiners that pulled back are consolidating at their 50 days. See also $OIH (oil services broadly - same thing). $PSX fell through its 50d on Friday, though.
  • debeers: $VLO-oil down but Valero is a refiner--ergo up!
  • DrScience: @debeers $VLO Nothing to get excited about -- just short covering ahead of earnings. The short percent of float has fallen 5.38% since its last report when short interest was at 8.4%. Analysts continue to adjust, as well. Here are announced price tar ...
  • DrScience: $VLO Today, Morgan Stanley raised their PT from $158 to $187 after Raymond James raised their PT from $170 to $200 yesterday. These latecomers are now in the range everyone else set in the first week of the month. The stock continues to pull back from the ATH, but with public upgrade announcements usually coming AFTER clients have been advised, be watching for an opportunity to take a small position ahead of Earnings, set for next week on the 25th BMO. Remember the summer driving season is fast approaching. Bonus: The quarterly dividend, currently $1.07 (2.52% annualized), should also be announced and ex-dividend date should come in the week after earnings.
  • Dale: @DrScience Thanks for reminder on $VLO. Watching for entry.
  • lance1161: $VLO June 21 - 190 Call options are working for me. Thanks Dr. Science
  • DrScience: @lance1161 $VLO 😎Good to hear. With the stock running along the upper Bollinger band, a measured move from the Bull Flag consolidation breakout, current target is 198-200 ahead of earnings on APR 25. Options are pricing in a touch of 200 by APR 19 Options expiry. Of course, things could change in an instant (like yesterday's selloff) so keep a trailing stop or be prepared to sell call credit above the 200-level in a shorter timeframe, APR 12 or APR 19 expiries.
  • lance1161: @DrScience $VLO WOW, Thank you, Dr. Science for the advice. I need to learn more for sure - grateful as a guy who is very slowly learning
  • lance1161: $VLO @joelsg1 - Sold 2 Jun $190 Calls to lock in profits. Yes, held a few times only to watch them disappear the next day. Plus going into weekend. Better to take something even though it is a very small profit. Holding the rest (4) of them - will see what next week brings
  • DrScience: $VLO finding and refining its new highs. Gimme 183.15 on pump #5.
  • debeers: @DrScience $VLO #5 -just so you know, Dr. Sci- some stations give a cash or debit discount and have finally figured out that there's a transaction fee!
  • lance1161: @DrScience $VLO #5 Good to hear - bought some June 21 - 190 Calls shortly after your post of PT upgrades the other day. Did read about the upgrades and quickly bought. Working, perhaps a run into earnings if oil prices keep rising. Don't understand "pump #5" - meaning good news buy and sell quickly stock and/or options??? Please explain or in OMM if thats better for you thank you...
  • lance1161: @DrScience $VLO #5 Think I understand now after looking at the 5 day chart you mean its up 5 days in row... geez
  • DrScience: $VLO Barclays raised their PT from $149 to $179 this morning, and just now, Piper Sandler raised their PT from $161 to $198. Both keep an overweight rating. Nine of ten analysts have Buy ratings while one ($GS has a Sell rating -- go figure! At OMM: Order in to take off another 1/4 on the APR 19 160/170/175 Call BWB @ 5.40. SELL -1 BUTTERFLY VLO 100 19 APR 24 160/170/175 CALL @5.40 LMT We paid 2.45ish for the spread, and any pullback toward or into the 170-175 range will increase the value of the spread toward the $10 buck max value at $170. So, with 16 DTE, we're almost hoping for a bit of a pullback. But, on the idea that Middle East tensions will continue to drive oil prices higher in the short term, I'm taking some more off at a double and using the proceeds to take an APR 12 180/190/200 Call Fly position with 9 DTE. (%2B) BUY +2 BUTTERFLY VLO 100 (Weeklys) 12 APR 24 180/190/200 CALL @2.55 LMT
  • debeers: @DrScience $VLO- creme de la creme of refiners AND ITS SUMMER DRIVING SEASON
  • camaro69: $EME,$VLO,$WFRD,$GD a few that hit ATH today at one point
  • DrScience: $VLO Valero Energy has an average outperform rating and a price target range of $128 to $197, according to analysts polled by Capital IQ. The folks at JP Morgan are so bullish on Valero, they upped their PT by a whole dollar, from $177 to $178! The stock is trading at a new ATH - 173.02. The breakout from last week's bull flag bounce suggests a measured move to around $195.
  • DavidK: $VLO- up 110 -% on puts from few days ago . Looks like 165 next stop . Can’t hang around too long as Puts expire this week .
  • DrScience: $VLO is pulling back after making a new high yesterday at 171.85. Mizuho Securities made calls on the major refiners this morning. They maintained a neutral stance on $PSX, $MPC, and downgraded Valero to Neutral with a PT of $173. This could take some wind out of the sails for further upside in the short-term. I'll take the 28% run over the past month, and consolidation in the $165-175 range is the likeliest scenario into EOM. I'm sitting on MAR 28 180/190 BeCS, APR 19 160/170/175 Call BWB (Broken-Wing Butterfly), and MAY 170/185/200 Call Butterfly as we move into Spring and toward the summer driving season, which officially kicks off on Memorial Day, May 27th.
  • DrScience: $VLO I'm not sure what Goldman Sachs is thinking, and maybe, just maybe they know something we don't! While their analysts raised their very conservative PT to $171 from $130, what we do know and can see is they've had a sell rating on the stock and been wrong for the last 45% gain since before the calendar turned to 2024. Of course, the call today should give their clients entering shorts today a much better cost basis for the ultimate obsolescence of the company by 2050 (according to the ethereal "green" team) than those shorts from the initial call at $130. 🤣🤣🤣
  • debeers: $VLO-The best refiner doesn't give a crap what the price of oil is. Summer driving is summer driving.
    Look at Chevron or Shel or XOM. Now do you get it?
    $CMG- Sometime between now and when you have to own it---IMO pick up few $CMG shares. 6 shares o ...
  • Lou: @debeers $VLO $CMG $ANF $TOL $HD $ELF $DKNG - what would you charge to manage my portfolio?
  • Margi1983: @Lou $FTI $VLO $WFRD $NVDA Thank you Lou for all your advice on $FTI. I have been long since May 2023. Up 76%
  • Lou: @Margi1983 $FTI $VLO $WFRD $NVDA - you're welcome @Margi - looks like it's following through on the breakout. I love blue skies.
  • DrScience: $VLO know what they say about stocks that make a new ATH?
  • scottrades: @DrScience $VLO something something keep making em
  • djgustoso: @DrScience $VLO great call on this one, that BuCS you posted is a big winner today! Any thoughts on how to manage? Initial gut reaction is to have a trailing stop but now that it is pretty deep ITM, would you roll up and out?
  • DrScience: @djgustoso $VLO I'd take some off here and put a trailing stop on the rest. Max value of the spread is 10 bucks and we paid 2.25. Look for some resistance at 160-165 where analyst's price targets have been clustered for a goodly number of months. You could roll out and up to the 160/170 for next week and have the same 2.25 risk.
  • debeers: $ANF/$GPS/$MMM/$PG/$TOL -better than Lennar dontcha think/$VLO-a refined kind of position--the best of the best refiners IMO $NVDA- still above the cutoff level and i think that next week will be a mind bender LONGS
  • debeers: $FTI@LOU- was trying to decide between $FTI and $VLO and here's the reason i chose the $VLO: Technipfmc Insider Sold Shares Worth $7,205,487, According to a Recent SEC Filing MT Newswires - 5:09 PM ET, 03/05/2024 05:09 PM EST, 03/05/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Justin Rounce, Executive Vice President & Chief Technology Officer, on March 01, 2024, sold 329,469 shares in Technipfmc (FTI) for $7,205,487 I want insiders who are buying their shares.
  • Lou: @debeers $FTI $VLO - they're both great performers. Some like chocolate and some vanilla. I like $FTI because I'm sitting on massive appreciation, sold half (no regrets - got all of my money out from the whole investment) at around 18, and I think $FTI is small enough for a tuck-in merger by a larger company, I own $WFRD (a relatively smaller stake) and believe a combination of the two could occur as they service the same off-shore customers side by side.
  • debeers: @Lou $FTI $VLO $WFRD - well the reason i like chocolate (VLO)is this: $VLO beat for all 4 of its prior Quarters while $FTI missed on 2 of the 4.
  • Lou: @debeers $FTI $VLO $WFRD - I absolutely don't blame you for liking $VLO - but they are in different businesses and I'm not sure why you're comparing them. $FTI works in the deep oceans and $VLO is a downstream company, manufactures, refines, etc. I'm absolutely not criticizing your investment in $VLO (wish i owned some) and not saying that $FTI is the best investment ever, I'm just saying that it's working for me. I'm sure some here would say that they've done better with $NVDA than I've done with $FTI. Bully for them too and I envy them as well. Stay well!
  • DrScience: $VLO New ATH in the refinery.
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY Still in trend $QQQ Nice bounce off the 21 EMA $IWM Above the 8EMA $DXY No follow through $GLD Good volume into the close $GDX Bounce near the 8EMA $SMH In trend $XHB Holding the 8EMA $IBIT Wear a Seatbelt. $AMD Watch today’s low $NVDA Not done yet $SMCI Still in trend $ON Basing $META Support at the 21 EMA $ANET Support at the 50 Day $BLDR Support at the 50 Day $TOL IN trend $PHM Support at the 21 EMA $DHI Alert at 157.25 $TDG Flag $RCL Looks about to leave the port. Watch 130 $VLO close to a breakout spot $MSTR Wear a Seatbelt
  • DrScience: $VLO goes ex-div tomorrow with at $1.07 divvy, up 5 cents (5%) from last quarter. The yield has dropped to 3.05% due to the 15% run-up in price over the past 12 days from the 200 DMA. The dividend is well-covered, even as earnings release on 1/25 showed lower earnings and revenue for the 4th quarter. Maintenance downtime is expected to conclude on schedule, and product mix turnaround volume ramp-up should coincide nicely with a widening crack spread in anticipation of the coming driving season.
  • debeers: $AMD/$ARDX/$LLY/$MSFT/$NVDA/$PANW/$VLO-Longs all
  • traderbren: $VLO - ugly print on today's move. With a break of 129 it will likely close the downside gap at 128.09 Short via Puts for now.
  • debeers: $CHK-Upgrades from Mizuho and Citi which do you like better 104 or 96. Wars finally catching up to energy. Have $VLO and $CHK IMO.
  • traderbren: $VLO - providing a low risk entry as it clears the 50d with a stop under today's low. Maybe the Houthi's are buying Calls in the Crude market. ;-)
  • debeers: $VLO-quality. So if $CHK isn't your bag and ya gotta have some energy----Valero may be more to your liking.
  • stairm01: $NRGU A leverage energy stock that its holdings are divided 10% equally into 10 energy stocks. $CVX $COP $DVN $EOG $XOM $MPC $OXY $PSX $PXD $VLO I entered this morning at $433.60. Stop at $439.65
  • champ: $VLO $MPC $PSX $PBF $DK....these are working today, off of the spreads, however they also fell-back.
  • DrScience: $VLO The stock opened at a new ATH. JAN 24 150 Calls now ITM.
  • debeers: $ADBE, $ARDX,$$AZO,$CEIX, $CAT, $V, $VLO,$X-LONGS all.$forgot $WDC
  • DrScience: $VLO heading toward the $150-level. Could get there by Friday.
  • DrScience: $VLO opened above the downtrend line and the 50 DMA crossed above the 200. Goldman Sacs maintained a sell rating but raised their price target -- go figure! I'd like to be more involved, but a small pullback would help. Bidding on JAN 2024 150 Calls
  • woodman: @Pard $PSX - Refiners doing well. Breakouts in PSX as well as $PBF $DK $VLO $DINO $MPC
  • champ: $DK $VLO $MPC $XOM $HES......could check these out also.
  • Robert1965: @champ $DK $VLO $MPC $XOM $HES Been Watching $DK $VLO have you any positions in these?
  • DrScience: $VLO has retraced 100% of the March breakdown. It took 5 weeks to lose 50% of its value and 18 weeks to recover; hence, the saying (with some artistic license)... "Elevator down, escalator up." If energy stocks remain strong, reaching the ATH around 150 should be well within reach. https://imgur.com/a/Vmv3nmY Yes! Yes! I know the chart shows 160.16 as ATH, but on 1/24/2023, NYSE had a glitch in the opening auction for a bunch of stocks. SO, I reference the earnings high at 150.39 from the following day as my ATH.
  • champ: @Robert1965 $DK $VLO $MPC $XOM $HES.....No however I'm watching for energy sector to let me in, I don't have a problem with chasing but I need a little room to sneak-in....I'm only holding $CVX and $PBF...
  • traderbren: $VLO, $PSX, $PXD -- looks like we could see further upside in these names. May start a position in $VLO for a potential gap fill trade up to 135.20
  • debeers: $VLO@champ- i'll see your $CVX and go for my $VLO. have yourself a weekend.Sumertime summertime sum sum summertime.
  • champ: @debeers $VLO $CVX....You do the same and I have $VLO Now parked right next to $CVX and $COP.......I missed your $VLO. LOL
  • champ: $VLO...HOD....I'm chasing....
  • DrScience: $VLO was downgraded to neutral at BofA, and they lowered their PT to $152 from $160. The stock has pulled back and is testing the breakout level at 131.50. So far, two tests at $131 have been bought, but with oil off almost 2% today, the stock is having trouble gaining traction. We're in the No-Man's-Land between the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, so I'm watching and waiting.
  • DrScience: $VLO continuing higher after consolidating above the 200 DMA.
  • DrScience: $VLO holding the 200 DMA and threatening to move above the short-term downtrend line.
  • Cjauger: $VLO up above VWAP, added
  • Cjauger: $VLO at HOD $TSLA Working
  • Cjauger: $VLO at HOD
  • Cjauger: $VLO holding above VWAP, new HOD
  • wjj3: ENERGY $KMI $WMB $VLO $CVI
  • Cjauger: $VLO holding up well
  • DrScience: $VLO Valero! Oh-Oh! Valero! Oh Oh OH! OOOOH! Only four bucks to top of the channel before earnings on 7/27 BMO
  • DrScience: $VLO looking like it might punch through and close above downtrend resistance just in time to report earnings a week from tomorrow BMO.
  • DrScience: @LeAf $VLO The stock has made two higher lows since May 4 low and is again shying away from the $117 level when it touched resistance at the downtrending 50 DMA on Jun 13. The 50 DMA has yet to halt its slide, but the 20 DMA should cross above the 50 tomorrow. That's bullish for the short term, but momentum could run out around $118 --the 38.2 Fib retracement of APR High to MAY Low. If the stock can move through that level, then your next targets are the 50% Fib at $123 and the 200 DMA at $124.
  • champ: $DK...HOD and they are the % leader in their sector today....$PBF $HES $MPC $VLO...
  • champ: $VLO....HOD ...looks to be zig-zagging higher.
  • champ: $GUSH....$CVX....$VLO....this Sector is turning, might continue to zig-zag higher...because #OPEC is set to meet over the weekend, to decide on Oil production, on their output policy....... ....WTI-Oil is turning off of the most recent Low and was just at $67 a few Days ago, now at $71.50....... ....this sector is Set-up for a #Bounce...because of the driving season and that demand always picks up in the summer months. Watch your stock targets in this sector, for possible entries.
  • champ: @sbw1 $KMI $DVN $CVI ....I like both and I have held positions in both before...... .....and actually I like a lot of the other Names in this sector also.... however yesterday $CVX had a great upgrade, so I'm in holding $CVX for few weeks or more and I'm also trading $VLO and $GUSH for now. For me $KMI, is long term. However I need a Market on all of my positions and I also have Trailing-stops on all of my positions. LOL
  • DrScience: $VLO After the market closed yesterday, the company declared a quarterly dividend ($1.02, 3.64 annualized yield). Ex-date is 5/22, so own-by date is 5/19 (MAY OPEX). The stock has been on a tear for the last hour. and has moved above the 8 EMA daily.
  • Robert1965: $VLO Anyone looking at this up 3.2%, range today 107.36 to 112.56 close to HOD
  • BarryC: BTW, Here is my Watchlist BUTTTTTT UNLESS Volume is GOOD to Great, I'm not that enthused at the moment. $APPN, $ARKK, $ARRY, $ASAN, $BBAI, $BEKE, $BRZE, $CARZ, $DKNG, $DOCN, $FLNC, $FSLY, $GBTC, $GLD, $HTHT, $IONQ, $IOT, $KTOS, $LI, $MBLY, $NEM, $NET, $NVTS, $OIIL, $PATH, $PD, $PLTR, $PSX, $PYXS, $RBLX, $SNOW, $SONO, $SPOT, $TCOM, $TECK, $TGTX, $TSLA, $U, $VIPS, $VLO
  • Docoof: @BarryC $APPN $ARKK $ARRY $ASAN $BBAI $BEKE $BRZE $CARZ $DKNG $DOCN $FLNC $FSLY $GBTC $GLD $HTHT $IONQ $IOT $KTOS $LI $MBLY $NEM $NET $NVTS $OIIL $PATH $PD $PLTR $PSX $PYXS $RBLX $SNOW $SONO $SPOT $TCOM $TECK $TGTX $TSLA $U $VIPS $VLO Does $OIIL = $OII?
  • BarryC: @Docoof $APPN $ARKK $ARRY $ASAN $BBAI $BEKE $BRZE $CARZ $DKNG $DOCN $FLNC $FSLY $GBTC $GLD $HTHT $IONQ $IOT $KTOS $LI $MBLY $NEM $NET $NVTS $OIIL $PATH $PD $PLTR $PSX $PYXS $RBLX $SNOW $SONO $SPOT $TCOM $TECK $TGTX $TSLA $U $VIPS $VLO $OII $OLLI sorry!
  • champ: @RiccardoB $MPC...Yes these are moving...also $VLO and $PSX.....Day-trades are not all that bad, however Swinging Full can be, like striking-out with the bases loaded...and thats not a good feeling.
  • Boone.ruth: @champ $GUSH $VLO $HES $KMI #News #Oil had an order to buy $GUSH Friday that didn’t get filled. Would you wait for a pullback now on these?
  • champ: @Boone.ruth $GUSH $VLO $HES $KMI #News #Oil ....I'm still holding $GUSH and $KMI....and I would like to add at-some-point, however have to see how it goes today, #still-too-early, swing Traders are Watching.... and also how the Day plays out... going into the close.... and on $HES and $VLO....I took full profits. LOL
  • debeers: $VLO vs $HES- Valero is a great company BUT the government is going to try to regulate it out of existence. Still i wanted at least 1 energy so i looked for a company that was the least controlled by political turmoil. Bottom line find the lowest cos ...
  • champ: @Docoof #News #Oil... $GUSH $VLO $HES $KMI....As of Now, this sector is on the move....and for me thats really positive News ....... .....because that really spiked the price of WTI-Oil...and it is up $5.60pb, at $81.22, as of RHRN...... ....I have been posting, that I'm swinging these Energy Investment positions, with nice size and I'm holding a huge position in $KMI. It looks like the Energy sector will be in play, for sure on the Open. LOL
  • champ: @champ $GUSH $VLO $HES $KMI #News #Oil....plus I'm also still holding this driller/fracker....$LBRT.
  • Carpe_Diem: @champ $GUSH $VLO $HES $KMI $LBRT #News #Oil - Oil up 8% in overseas trading. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-02/oil-surges-after-opec-makes-unexpected-crude-production-cut?srnd=premium#xj4y7vzkg
  • Carpe_Diem: @Carpe_Diem $GUSH $VLO $HES $KMI $LBRT #News #Oil www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-02/oil-surges-after-opec-makes-unexpected-crude-production-cut?srnd=premium#xj4y7vzkg
  • champ: @Carpe_Diem $GUSH $VLO $HES $KMI $LBRT #News #Oil #xj4y7vzkg .....Thanks again....and that OPEC news, is going to be a real #Political problem for the WH.... because gasoline prices will be climbing again....and now many will be saying, that they were continually being warned,...for over 2-years now.....that we have all the Oil that the world would need, if we could only just get it out of the ground. The Saudi's pull all the strings inside OPEC and they are a huge Energy player, that has been ignored, we need OPEC on the U.S.'s team.
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Stock Price $138.56
Change -0.89%
Volume 1,906,980

Valero Energy Corporation is a refining and marketing company. It produces conventional gasolines, distillates, jet fuel, asphalt, petrochemicals, lubricants, and other refined products as well as a slate of premium products.

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