Deere & Company (NYSE:DE)

Strategy Session May 20th, 2015

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  • Aibistin-1: @FredsFreedom $MOS $DE doing something similar on the daily. Its bouncing off the 200 Weekly MVA.
  • Mikev200: $DE chasing the $CAT
  • DavidK: $SPY trade the charts but beware of the fundamentals. $DE lowered big equipment sales 30% in the farming sector, inlaw is a Federal Bankruptcy Judge and bankruptcies are on the rise , 30% of farmers projected to go belly up in my area , banks are not renewing operating lines . We are in the process of selling most stock holdings and going 5 % fixed income . One more thing is the talk now if Trump wins the Dems will not certify the election. Lots of cloud storms on the horizon
  • DavidK: @debeers $URI BINGO! . That’s why I told the board weeks ago $DE was a dog . Farmers are broke . Not buying million dollar equipment. Why buy a Caterpillar machine when you can rent . Risk ? The economy slowing . If Trump wins , it’s off to the races .
  • Bert953: @DavidK $URI $DE Interesting thesis.
  • debeers: @DavidK $URI $DE -I knhow its difficult. but let's obey@ DANs wishes and keep politics out of here. 'kay??
  • DavidK: @debeers $URI $DE I am just giving one of many investment triggers . Not political. Weather people want to admit it or not , a large percentage of drivers of the economy are dictated by what is happening in the political arena . Taxes , Covid jabs , shutting down businesses, climate change scam , shutting down oil and gas , coal / nuclear restrictions, open borders , criminals not being prosecuted all affect the investment environment . And where does most of these things originate from ? Politicians
  • restoreme: @DavidK $URI $DE Hear ya ..
  • DavidK: $DE- what did I say a few days ago . Earnings suck and will get worse . Farmers aren’t buying million dollar equipment
  • Motorman: @DavidK $DE Great call. Thanks, Almost got some off the chart from Carter worth on Fast Money.
  • DavidK: @Motorman $DE yea it is / was hard to play it with options with the spread in bid ask and implied volatility. Shorting a 500 stock tied up a lot of capital . Gonna let this settle down and then find some options that make sense . Big Equipment sales projected to fall 25% . It’s gonna be more . In our area , lady farmer family / realtor said 30 % of gamers are going under . Banks not renewing operating capital loans . What else suffers , truck sales , seed , discretionary spending. S&P PE 24 or so historic ave 18 . Downdraft coming unless there is a change in Presidential change .
  • DavidK: $DE - based on what I am hearing my area farmers aren’t buying new equipment. Is this a chance to short this run up ? Earnings May 16
  • DavidK: $DE- For what it’s worth , just returned from Real Estate sale meeting . One sales person is a farmer as well . Another is a land / forester expert . Summary - banks are not renewing loans to 30 % of farmers per a major study I think out of F ...
  • cgendro1: @DavidK $DE I know this is reality but makes me sad. We need our farmers!!!
  • DavidK: @cgendro1 $DE https://youtu.be/-iwLvmPUEo4?si=AvG3QI8PGU8xmw6L enjoy
  • champ: @DavidK $DE ...If Trump gets re-elected..one of the first things that he going to do again, is make another new trading-deal with China, for buying our Crops and Oil......just like he did last-time.....so that deal is pending.
  • Geewhiz: @DavidK $DE Old song. Assume new graphics. Nothing seems to change. Thanks for posting.
  • champ: @DavidK $DE .....Nice.....
  • Motorman: @Geewhiz $DE Interesting. A few days ago Carter Worth on CNBC was going long $DE b/c chart has gone no where in 3 years. Bull and bear case ;)
  • Henry: $SHAK $CROX $DE I'm getting a late start this am, the first two up on earnings, Deere not so much, it is down. np
  • DavidK: $DE- reports earnings 2-15. I don’t anticipate anything good . In the bar after golf Sat ( 75 - 3 birdies , 1 eagle 2 on a par 4 , kind of like Mr Toads wild ride kind of round ) conversations with people in the ag industry and It AIN’’T good for the smaller farmers. Son in law stated Company he works for has a 1.5 mm loan they aren’t gonna renew for farmer and many more not looking good . NO One can afford million dollar Equipment so Deere can’t be saying good things . Big corporate farm companies ( think Bill Gates - he actually bought a farm just south of me ) trying to put the small farmer out of business. Of course with the incompetent: corrupt goons in DC it might just happen .
  • sierramp: @DavidK $DE A renewable loan for a farmer, must have been an adjustable rate?
  • DavidK: @sierramp $DE lots of the famers in our area will get a 1-2 yr loan . So , interest rates are very critical to them these days . As you see $ DE getting sold today but I couldn’t find a feasible put option to buy . Spread too wide and premiums all out of wack . One strike I was looking at in the money is only showing a gain of about .15 on a $7 down move in stock price . Gonna just stay away from $DE
  • sierramp: @DavidK $DE Thank you for the explanation. It's tough being a rancher or farmer. I have a friend with sheep. They don't need the big ag equipment but I'm sure they are still on the ragged edge after years of being in the business.
  • DavidK: @sierramp $DE my son in law is a banker with a farm credit agency and his comments the other day were 2008 were the credit default swaps / crooks on Wall Street that tanked the economy. This time it could be the ag industry
  • sierramp: @DavidK $DE ...this time it could be the ag industry - why? Due to more conservative lending practices, lower commodity prices, competition from corporate farming or something else?
  • sierramp: @DavidK $DE I am just now seeing your reply, thank you. BTW, you can usually reply by refreshing your page then clicking reply. What you mentioned above makes sense. I've been searching for the reason for the Dec 13/14 moves up and can't find anything. Vol is low however so I'm going to sit it out for now.
  • DavidK: $DE - bought Jan puts . Farmers aren’t spending on these high priced machines now . Son in law in business that makes loans to farmers . He told me this past weekend he has farmers joking ( maybe not ) about burning excess equipment to collect insurance .
  • sierramp: @DavidK $DE Did your SIL by any chance mention what crop is causing the most concern?
  • DavidK: $DE- @sierramp - reply didn’t work . SIL did not mention crop . These farmers in my area which is huge grow a lot of different crops . Cotton , peanuts , watermelons , soybeans and some other produce . Halftime just discussed DE and one guy s ...
  • jonwest88: @DavidK $DE Got rid of the rest of mine yesterday. Been holding for awhile and made some money. Sold other portions a bit higher a few months ago.
  • jonwest88: Reducing positions in $CAT and $URI, by 10%. Skimming not even 1/2 the gains from the past few weeks. Finally dumped the rest of my $DE. This was no Caterpillar or United Rentals. Took 10% off of $LRCX and $AVGO.
  • msing3: $AGCO finding a bottom and squeezing right at the 50SMA, watching and waiting. $DE not so much, still below the 50SMA but finding a bottom.
  • Henry: $DE Down in pm on outlook: Precision agriculture fell 6% and small agriculture and turf sales declined 13% while construction and forestry sales grew 11%. For fiscal 2024, the company expects net income of $7.75 to $8.25 , below the FactSet consensus of $9.31 billion np
  • phgruver: @Henry $DE Lowered expectations seems to be the theme of this earnings season....
  • traderbren: $DE - closed the gap to the penny from 6/1 at 355.66 ;-)
  • stairm01: @traderbren $DE That happens so often at gaps, resistance and support. Just crazy.
  • traderbren: @stairm01 $DE - yep, I see it all the time....and like to post to the Trading Room for the gang....since you normally see a bounce on a gap fill on the downside.
  • champ: Thinking like an Investor.....however I know for sure that I'm a gambler......so I'm thinking, that it is going to be time for all the gamblers to start going top work, placing some bets.......... .......on something.......but with the earnings exceptions on $NVDA so high....... maybe the smart bet would be, maybe No-bet. Just don't know, however $DE is also going into earnings, in the #morning..........
  • champ: ....Fast-trades....$DE and $ARM trailing both...and I will be out both right before the close, if I make it that far.
  • DougL: $DE Deere raises quarterly dividend to USD 1.35/shr (prev. USD 1.25/shr)
  • Jim88: Nothing runs like a $DE
  • BarryC: Hi guys.... I went home long $BMY, $GOOG, $NVO $DE CALLS & short $DHI
  • BarryC: I bot 10 tomorrows $DE 435 CALLS, PURE GAMBLE, HERO OR ZERO trade. Keep things in perspective.
  • Jim88: $DE tagged the previous high and then pulled back by 1%
  • Bandit: $DE Deere looking good here also, breaking out of a flag consolidation pattern.
  • debeers: $DE-earnings are on the 13th and it is an earnings only buy as opposed to an investment because 1. Travel abroad more profitable than domestic 2. Fuel is still dirt cheap 3. A%2B composite rating 4. Less than 3% short interest 5. Only 6 market days after 7/4 6. Thirst for experiences as opposed to things 7. Revenge travel after folks cooped up
  • debeers: @debeers @DAN please give me the EDIT back---i meant $DAL not $DE
  • debeers: @debeers $DAL $DE /and A%2B_composite rating
  • DougL: $DE, $CAT, $URI - another rotation day - tech to $XLI
  • Jim88: $DE nice pop. above all major MAs
  • DougL: $CAT $DE $URI - rotation
  • kenb: @DougL $CAT $DE $URI yep, that's what it looks like. It happened recently and lasted one day, then tech came back roaring.
  • dldhoffman: @Dan Thoughts on $DE for #TrainingSession
  • Auto: $DE working back up after E fall @50 will add $380 long daily
  • Forexpro: Re: $DE Hi, Friends, Not one I own, and it has been years since I was involved, but $DE is having quite a nice (plus 3.58 percent to 383.79) morning after handily exceeding EPS and revenue estimates (by about a buck and $1 bn, respectively). The only anomaly that I saw was a decline in financing earnings. That was partly due to larger bad credit provisions, which makes sense, but pressure on lending margins was mentioned in the release, which seems odd in this environment. Still, operating earnings look, you know, pretty good. Back on my radar as a potential buy, although I'm highly unlikely to do anything with it today. All the best!
  • Henry: $DE Earnings $9.65 vs 5.67 est. Up in pm. NP
  • traderbren: @Henry $DE - yep, looks like $DE and $CAT will get some love today...but do they regain & hold the 50d based on the pop this morning.
  • Auto: $DE short working
  • Auto: $DE short to long 5min watching $393 for break to add
  • Auto: $DE that was quick long to short ...again winning
  • Auto: @Auto $DE someone must have burped on the conference call lol
  • champ: @Auto $DE ....This is mostly a Trading type of Market and I'm surprised that it took swing traders so long to take their profits. That happens everyday to the Chasers, they always forget about the swing Investors and Traders.
  • Henry: @enigma If you use reply, your post appears in conversation mode and we can tell whom you are asking. It looks like it was @Auto. $DE had a big gap up and the first 5 min candle's close was lower than the open. The next candle held then the third was lower. Then it looked like it might reverse, traded above VWAP, then broke down. Dan is going to redo his 59 minute trader course, which is about quick day trades.\\ If you are a total newbie to trading, Shorting is a hard place to start.
  • champ: .......Don't forget to #Diversify, for profits, always Watch other sectors, for real nice #Trades ...because that sure helps for nice YTD Profits, however always need Entry-timings. .....Energy..... .....Lumber.... .....Steel....... .....Aluminum..... .....Crops for $DE and others....... .....Fertiliser..... .....Banks...... Plus.....sectorspdrs.com/sectortractor
  • traderbren: $DE - closed the downside gap to the penny. Gotta luv the gap magnet! ;-)
  • debeers: Compare $SCHW to $GS or $MS Compare $CAT to $DE Compare $EL to others in the discretionary China space including their autos Compare $SCHW to $GS. Every time you sell anything $SCHW makes money.Do you ever see $SCHW before the Congress? NOPE Nice to be green but green isn't going to rescue the economy whereas dirty oil is AS SOON AS THE FED STOPS RAISING---GET BACK INTO THOSE STOCKS DEPENDING ON ADVERTISING in my opinion.
  • scottrades: My video notes: $SPY Inside Day $QQQ Still in a down trend $DIA Still holding the 50 Day $GLD Working $SLV Working $GDX Above the 200 Day $GDXJ Same $XLE Just under the 50 Day $KWEB Flag break on volume $XBI Want to see this get back to the base. $TSLA 90 degree Angle $AAPL Broke the low $NVDA Yikes $WPM Bought last week $EGO Low Dollar Gold Stock $GOLD Breaking above a short base $AEM Above all the MAs $CROX Trending up $FL Also working $NKE Working but extended. $BOX Flagging $CAT Working $DE In a base $INT Flag $SLB A bit above the 8EMA $TDW Holding the 8EMA $XOM Holding the 50 Day
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY Just under the 50 Day $QQQ Oversold bounce continuation $XLE Under the 21 EMA $GDX Stopped at the 200 Day $SMH Support at the 50 Day for now. $XBI Close to a pivot $TAN 200 Day Support $AAPL Stopped at the 8EMA $TSLA Still no bounce. $NVDA Holding 158 $META Support at the 50 Day $OXY Basing near the 200 Day $SLB Above the trendline $HAL A bit high now $CHX At the 50 Day $CROX The Wedge Popped $EGO Still in trend $GOLD Held up better $NEM Tried this today $ENPH Back above the MAs $ARRY Above the MAs $SHLS Holding the 50 Day $FSLR At the pivot $VRNA Up above 24% Today $CPRX Working $DE Close to a Pivot
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY Holding 377 for now. $QQQ Trend line support $UUP Down thanks to BOJ $XLE Around the 100 EMA $OIH Stronger $GDX Around the 200 Day $SLV Not letting you in $BITO Going against the grain but messy $AAPL Holding 130 $NVDA Around the 100 EMA $TSLA Watch for an upside reversal $BA In trend $CAT Support around the 21 EMA $DE at the 21 EMA $CROX Wedge $VRNA Boom! $CPRX Slingshot $SLB Pushed through the 50 Day $VAL Same $LLY At the 50 Day $TK From the forum $PTEN Slope $WPM Above the 200 Day $EGO Slope, pullbacks on Low Vol $SSRM 200 Day above $GOLD Same $NEM At the 100 EMA
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY 390 Support $QQQ Support at the 50 Day $DIA Support at 334 $GDX Bumping against the 200 Day $XME Going sideways $SMH Good strength but ceiling overhead $IGV At the 50 Day $XLK Flag $TAN No real direction $XHB Above the 200 Day $IBB Support at the 21 EMA $BITO Some volume today $NFLX and chill with Harry and Megan? $CELH Mentioned in the COTD $DKS Coming out of a flag $CPRX Sideways $DE Testing the highs $LSCC Holding the 8EMA $NVDA Watch the 200 Day $ON Above the 8EMA but still a bit loose $AMD Support at 69 $KLAC Base $AMAT Holding the 200 Day $ACLS Near the highs $AMGN Flag
  • issues: @scottrades $SPY $QQQ $DIA $GDX $XME $SMH $IGV $XLK $TAN $XHB $IBB $BITO $NFLX $CELH $DKS $CPRX $DE $LSCC $NVDA $ON $AMD $KLAC $AMAT $ACLS $AMGN Thank you Scotty but I have not yet received the video and I do like hearing it instead of seeing these figures. Please SEND it to me, ok?
  • roddog101: Holy farm tractor $DE beats
  • cmaxwel1: @scottrades $BBY $FUTU $NIU $DLTR $ZM $SJM $DKS $DE $BIDU $J $DELL $DOYU $CSIQ $ITRN $ADI $PGRU $MDT $A $BURL $ADSK $ANF $JACK $URBN $JWN $ASEO $HPQ $VIPS $ZTO $AMWD $CHS $DY $WMG $GDS $MOV $IQ $TNP $NOAH $CAL $AFYA $CD $KC $ROAD $RVYL $FANH #earnings (I trimmed most of $DE before earnings. I think this will be a down week in market)
  • scottrades: Some #earnings for the week: $BBY $FUTU $NIU $DLTR $ZM $SJM $DKS $DE $BIDU $J $DELL $DOYU $CSIQ $ITRN $ADI $PGRU $MDT $A $BURL $ADSK $ANF $JACK $URBN $JWN $ASEO $HPQ $VIPS $ZTO $AMWD $CHS $DY $WMG $GDS $MOV $IQ $TNP $NOAH $CAL $AFYA $CD $KC $ROAD $RVYL $FANH
  • woodman: @traderbren $CAT - lots of farm and heavy construction machinery stocks doing well. See also $TEX (I'm in), $REVG (thin trader), $WNC $DE $PCAR $OSK $AGCO $CNHI
  • roddog101: @woodman $CAT $TEX $REVG $WNC $DE $PCAR $OSK $AGCO $CNHI I was thinking $TWI would follow $DE & $CMI up, if you look at chart hard enough you can make a case that $TWI does follow $DE w somewhat of a lag looks like
  • Docoof: @woodman $CAT $TEX $REV $WNC $DE $PCAR $OSK $AGCO $CNHI If you have time and you think it’s worthwhile, can you share your opinion on $LNN’s chart? Lindsay Corp is a small-cap company in the Industrials sector and the Machinery industry. Lindsay Corp. engages in the manufacture and distribution of irrigation and infrastructure equipment and technology.
  • woodman: @Docoof $CAT $TEX $REV $WNC $DE $PCAR $OSK $AGCO $CNHI $LNN - I didn't include LNN primarily because I thought it has pretty light average volume. That said, from a shares traded times price point standpoint, it isn't bad. With an average volume of about 60K shares at $169/share, it has total daily dollars same as 600K shares traded at $16.90. That's not bad. In any event, it's a little messy of a chart to me but it certainly has been on the rise and folks could well be making money with it. I just saw things that are more appealing to me. You can't own 'em all.
  • Docoof: @woodman $CAT $TEX $REV $WNC $DE $PCAR $OSK $AGCO $CNHI $LNN Understood and helpful. I don’t own it, but I always seem to learn something when you express your way of looking at a stock/chart. Thanks, woodman.
  • jpoko13: $DE working on a breakout
  • roddog101: $CAT so street like the numbers, not sure if $DE has reported but if positive should be a win for $TWI as well imo
  • bud_ozborn: $DE got long shares down near 300 and booked some today. looks like it faded and recovered nicely. thoughts? should i stand pat , book, or add?
  • scottrades: Some #earnings to be aware of for the week $WMT $TGT $HD $ZIM $LI $NIU $SE $LOW $CSCO $DE $AMAT $KSS $AGFY $YOU $WEBR $ADI $DNUT $BITF $TJX $SQM $BJ $DOYU $CSIQ $IMCC $DNA $BBWI $GP $FL $UPH $PFGC $TPR $TXMD $SNPS $GLBE $KEYS $IMPL $LITE $NNOX $ZIP $MCG $A $POWW $ESLT $EL
  • debeers: $ATKR-brought down by $CAT and $DE. All construction isn't the same. Fiberoptic underground piping for 5G and multifamily underground is making money. The others not.
  • Rockstar: ...
    Good morning. The bulls now have three of the four horseman working as the bonds are stabilizing, the $HYG is flat to rising, and the $VIX is flat to down. The $DXY still is providing a headwind so the bulls are not out of the woods just yet. The ...
  • bigbartabs: @Rockstar $HYG $VIX $DXY $MRK $UNH $CSCO $DIS $DE $SPY ... what indicator leads you to the $SPX 3840 level (which I agree with). The 6/13 week high? Keep up your morning thoughts Rocky... all the best.
  • cgendro1: $AVGO- nice 2 days in this beaten down stock! I made good money on short side following @brobert updates. I excited last Fri at 272. Would like to see it get to about 500. May be another short opportunity. We shall see $DE- did pretty much same as above. Didn't do as well because my entry wasn't the best but I was positive. Still learning the dark side and doing it slowly. I would love for the market to turn as would about anyone else here!
  • bRobert: $XLV WEEKLY H&S top FAILURE under the 50w on a classic throwback $105 200w target $HUM WEEKLY breakout Retest to watch Multi year consolidation can go far IF resumes with bounce and Move > $480 $UNH Retest of the 20/50d after speed bump pullback from $520 area Fall of the machines continues 200w targets posted for all $URI $HRI $CAT $DE $AGCO Getting close
  • bRobert: $AAPL $120 - $100 with bear flag triggers $URI $CAT $HRI $AGCO $DE 200w targets Decline of the machines Terminators terminated
  • bRobert: $DE WEEKLY H&S top 2200w $225 Daily bear flag failure Classic stuff Fall of the machines $SOXS WEEKLY flag over the 50w $72+/$90 targets
  • bRobert: ...
    $NFLX FAILURE under the 50d ceiling H&S top $120 with trigger below $160
    Psoted about WEAK transports and short set ups
    $XPO bear flag H&S top $35 with trigger < $45
    $ARCB H&S s top 20/50d ceiling caps ...
  • bRobert: $URI $HRI $CAT $DE Patiently watching for these moves to fade out on approach to necklines/ceiling Posted 200w targets for most The better the bounce the better the short return and the lower the risk CLOSER to a good cover stop just above the particular ceiling hit
  • bRobert: $HRI Daily shoe drop for another $20 complete $125 to $105 $105 to $85 200w target forever is getting close $URI 200w target $210 Failed bounces to short $DE 200w Shocker WEEKLY bear flag trigger close That will get it there $AGCO WEEKLY H&S top $85 target $CAT WEEKLY M top $170 target If bigger Range breakdown (185 - 230) ....$140 potential with $45 range move < $185 Terminators killed Machine rise thwarted by recession fears
  • bRobert: $DE H&S top trigger daily /weekly $275 to $225 targets 200w and less
  • bRobert: $HRI $URI Shorts have been covered Both have 200w targets but are EXTENDED/oversold short term HRI $20 moves $125 to $105 $105+ to $85 Zig due before another $20 zag $URI similar Waiting for next failed zig and lower risk short entry $DE WEEKLY H&S top 200w potential longer term Daily under 20d 50/200d ceilings above that $CAT M top daily WEEKLY $160 target ALso ....that 200w
  • bRobert: $AGCO WEEKLY/Daily H&S top Daily H&S tops Small and large $92.50/$82.50+ targets $AGCO and $DE are getting plowed FAILED bounces
  • bRobert: $URI $210 target $HRI $75 longer term Wait for the next failed bounces to short Consider cover/lowered stops WEEKLY H&S tops with low targets .... 200w Review prior posts $DE $AGCO $CAT same Terminators terminated
  • bRobert: $URI. posted. pathetic. bounce. WEEKLY. H&S. top. $210. 200w. Small cap. game $HRI Same. $75. $DE. $AGCO. same. H&S. top weekly. Terminators. killed. No rise of the machines.
  • bRobert: $URI $HRI H&S. tops in motion. WEEKLY. Bear flag. triggers. after pathetic counter trend bounces. (posted yesterday). You WATCH for the failed. bounces. to enter. 200w. targets for these. I have. posted this target for. months Did I get a. memo from the CEOs? No. Just looked at the bearish WEEKLY charts Myopic. day traders. miss the big. picture. and try to nibble at the bounces. fighting the major downtrend. $DE. $AGCO. same. $CAT. M. top. 200w. address. with trigger. <. $190. Best. chart for now. That will change The neighborhood changed.
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Stock Price $446.65
Change 2.08%
Volume 2,091,380

Deere & Company operates in three business segments: agriculture/ turf, construction/forestry, & financial services. The company helps customers to be more productive as they help to improve the quality of life for people around the world.

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