Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (NASDAQ:SFM)

Strategy Session August 3rd, 2020

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  • vitoB: $CAVA just hit that century bell..earnings thursday and I dont see this running into earnings. ive been trading around the food tickers that pop and fading strength.. $SFM $DPZ $SG $SHAK $SBUX...tough week last week but not that bad
  • DavidK: $SFM - up big on earnings .6-10 % grower Pe of 30 . Doesn’t compute in my book . Mentioned by Carter Worth as one to stay away from . Bought Sept 100 puts. $TLRY- I like it but lots of memory at the $2 level to chew thru . $SFM - up 28% on those puts so far .
  • traderbren: $SFM - provided a nice short this AM as it rolled over. Short via the Aug 100 puts
  • geotheo: 52 Weeks Highs today Eli Lilly $LLY JPMorgan $JPM Bank of America $BAC AT&T $T Arista $ANET Discover Financial $DFS Endeavor Group $EDR Evercore $EVR Globus $GMED Halozyne $HALO Hilton $HLT H&R Block $HRB Intuitive Surgical $ISRG Kinross Gold $KGC Netapp $NTAP New York Times $NYT Stifel Financial $SF Sprouts $SFM Synchrony Financial $SYF United Therapeutics $UTHR
  • woodman: $SFM has been functioning well. Rising support is clear since early June.
  • hazelb41: $SFM $GOOGL $KNSL $LABD $JDST Working.
  • LFYoda: $SFM bucking the trend
  • Geewhiz: $SFM Chart up, volume up
  • scottrades: Earnings AMC: $AMD $DVN $SBUX $PINS $MSTR $PXD $SEDG $ELF $LUMN $SPCE $CZR $VFC $PAYC $EXAS $VRTX $SU $MOS $CWH $MTCH $SHLW $TEX $CHK $TRIN $ULCC $EA $AIG $ALIT $BXP $AZPN $SFM $INSP $PRU $WTI $AFL $ALL $AXS $FLS $FRSH $DENN $COLM $BHR $OLO $PRTS $TX $VMEO $TCS $EHC $EXEL
  • woodman: @scottrades $AMD $DVN $SBUX $PINS $MSTR $PXD $SEDG $ELF $LUMN $SPCE $CZR $VFC $PAYC $EXAS $VRTX $SU $MOS $CWH $MTCH $SHLW $TEX $CHK $TRIN $ULCC $EA $AIG $ALIT $BXP $AZPN $SFM $INSP $PRU $WTI $AFL $ALL $AXS $FLS $FRSH $DENN $COLM $BHR $OLO $PRTS $TX $VMEO $TCS $EHC $EXEL - Ugh, I hate earnings season.
  • DAN: ...
    Specifically, here are my stocks: My best stocks right now are Alphabet ($GOOGL) and Nvidia ($NVDA). And I also like…Sprouts Farmers Market ($SFM) as a random, smooth trade.

    $GOOGL -- It is 26% below all-time high, and it should reach that ...
  • mharps: $SFM tiny starter
  • mharps: $ACI $KR, $SFM all big movers interesting: even $BGS moving off the bottom-this latter has a great div and ex soon
  • GDave: $SFM nice volume spike
  • grcjr: $SFM solid cup formation on both a daily and weekly. At new multi month high. Watching for handle and/or breakout.
  • dkoran: @GDave $SFM pumping it on Halftime report .
  • Bridget: @grcjr $SFM very extended, resistance at $30. Not a lot of upside IMO. Wait for pullbacks to get long. I'd like it at $26
  • grcjr: @Bridget $SFM - I'm watching for a handle, then a breakout ... days or weeks. New 52+ week high at this time.
  • kycol: My #Mernervini-scan at 5-minutes green: $NVAX $CLX $ABC $ALT $TAL $GSX $CWH $SFM $WERN $KR $PGR $FAST
  • CraigReynolds:
  • kycol: The only green stocks on my Menervini Scan this morning are: $GSX, $MSFT, $AKAM, $KR, $SFM, $OLLI, & $THO
  • Auto: $SFM at the 200 daily starting a VS added
  • bgoda88: Anyone have any thoughts on the squeeze with $SFM
  • Auto: $ILMN $SFM added $ZM holding short over
  • issues: New this week on IBD 50: $ALXN $FBC $SCPL $STMP. Taken off $INTU $NOW $RKT $SFM
  • Auto: $SFM getting some love NP may be tomorrow Monday
  • DAN: ...
    $SFM -- This is what a top looks like.
    $TDOC -- This is another example of a top. Why would you be holding this stock through the chop. It’s like staying in a dinghy in the middle of a Cat 5 hurricane when you could simply dock it and head t ...
  • Auto: $SFM added
  • Auto: $SFM added
  • Auto: $SFM up in red tape added
  • Auto: $SFM added long
  • DAN: Some stocks that previously looked good, but now don't! $BILI $ADSK $TDOC $AMT $SFM $LLY $CRON $NET -- could go in the "ok but not yet" column. Big decline today to test 50-day MA. Stocks that still look OK (but obviously not a complete list)...with possibilities, but no entries today: $IMAB $MODN $ADBE $NVDA - Running $PPD $OLLI $HAIN $CIEN $CROX $LULU - Running $CROX - Running $TGT $ORCL $AMRC - This could work...but volume super low. $PLMR - running $OTIS --Dan
  • Firemedic: @DAN $BILI $ADSK $TDOC $AMT $SFM $LLY $CRON $NET $IMAB $MODN $ADBE $NVDA $PPD $OLLI $HAIN $CIEN $CROX $LULU $TGT $ORCL $AMRC $PLMR $OTIS $FANG stocks look ok still? Im seeing it as possible pullback to buy once volume in Qs signal a reversal
  • phgruver: $SFM is still not getting any love. Down about $.30, today, it does seem to be finding support around $25. It's kind of weird. It beat guidance, although it was a lowered guidance, and institutional ownership, according to TDA, is at 96% of the fl ...
  • Auto: $SFM bounce 50 daily started position
  • phgruver: $SFM is back above $25.50. This is not robust action, but if you believe in their story, this may be a good entry for a long term accumulation.
  • wijimmy: $SFM... threatening $25.50 stop after beating earning last week... WTF !!!! fell off cliff $25.27 now ... Good bye !!!
  • jjayjr: @wijimmy $SFM another loser stock pick
  • phgruver: @wijimmy $SFM It''s my fault, I sold a couple of $25 puts. They're trying to force me to buy the stock. I'll fool the, though, I'll take more at $25.
  • DAN: $SFM -- We are stopped out of $SFM at $25.50. Basis was 27.37.
  • Bwhitty: @DAN $SFM $STMP right now provides forgiveness for like 5 $SFM's 👍
  • DAN: @Bwhitty $SFM $STMP Whew! ;-)
  • teacher5: $SFM Not behaving well. Is this a time to add or sell?
  • Bart: @teacher5 $SFM was stopped out today
  • teacher5: @Bart $SFM me too. Not sure if it’ll keep going down or if I should try to get back in.
  • DAN: ...
    $SFM -- stopped out at 25.50
    $ZM -- Only a matter of time before this breaks out from a very healthy consolidation. Adding this at 268.00. Stop at $239. Risk is 10.8%. Adjust size accordingly.
    $NVDA -- Breakout above $420. Never testing the 50- ...
  • DAN: ...
    $SFM -- stop at 25.50
    $STMP -- Up about 37%. Took ½ off at 256.21. We can let this run into earnings. New stop at 239.60
    $SWKS -- Just getting going. Looking for $200 on this.

    Other stocks:
    $TMUS -- Breakout from squeeze. Buyable here, ...
  • Auto: $SFM added
  • martyrb3: $SFM MKM Partners initiates coverage with buy and $39 PT. Long
  • CraigReynolds: @martyrb3 $SFM MKM Partner down graded $TGT to $105 I believe.. They don't have a very good track record with there analysis upgrades/downgrades. I bullies on $SFM, have small position.
  • DAN: ...
    $SFM -- reported earnings. Beat by .19 cents. Revenues rose 16% Stock is down,but not threatening the stop at 25.50.. Keeping this position for longer term

    $CLOU -- tightening up. Alert $23
    $NET - would add this to GSL, but earnings on Thursda ...
  • DAN: Good morning. Futures are up this morning as traders wait for the Fed announcement on policy, which will be released at 2 pm EST. I suspect that the Fed will continue its accommodative stance for the simple reason that there is no argument to change ...
  • phgruver: @DAN $SHOP $TSLA $CIEN $FNV $GOLD $LEN $MS $SFM $STMP $TOL Hey @Dan, $SFM is not listed in the GSL in the sidebar. An oversight, I'm sure....
  • jonwest88: $sfm sold at $27. Do not want to,hold a small loser over earnings as per @Dan yesterday
  • grinningcat_o3: $SFM flipping green, pretty nice bounce near the 20 day MA
  • grinningcat_o3: @Dan - any take on $SFM and holding through earnings? Seems like a bit of a gamble. Did get a nice bounce today on above average volume.
  • Babutters: @grinningcat_o3 $SFM search his name. He posted about it below.
  • phgruver: @Babutters @grinningcat_o3 $SFM ...or search on $SFM.... Just click on the ticker, and it'll filter the forum using that as the search term.
  • Henry: @phgruver $SFM Dan said look out for posts near the close, I guess he decided to hold it, which was a good thing, if we can't leave the house, we might as well eat. Stock is up 59 cents beat the 36 expected
  • grinningcat_o3: @phgruver $SFM Copy that, thx for the info. Moving pretty large AH.
  • Mizu: Wow! $SFM popped after earnings, it’s..... oh, never mind.
  • Babutters: @Mizu $SFM hahahahaha. I thought the same thing.
  • phgruver: @Henry $SFM He may have anticipated a greater amount of activity, going into the close. It didn't seem to attract that much attention. For those who are too lazy to look it up, $SFM reported eps of $.59/share on sales of $1.64B. Estimates were for $.34/share and 1.59B. That's a solid beat on both the top and the bottom line. The sales beat was only 3.3% over estimates, but it was also a 16% increase YOY. Hard to predict the future, but I can't see this causing a sell the news event....
  • grinningcat_o3: @Babutters $SFM Rebounding a bit
  • rverkamp: $SFM moving higher
  • romanalexk: $SFM Blast off! Earnings tomorrow.
  • Auto: $SFM moving added
  • Bwhitty: @Auto $SFM For GSL this brought us to a almost break even. I may use this as a chance to unload it with no loss. Because unless it goes parabolic I would imagine we are going to get a update to cut the chord before earnings.
  • romanalexk: @Bwhitty $SFM I agree. No loss is pretty good deal. Though the volume on 5 min chart was massive.
  • BocaRick: @romanalexk $SFM earnings are tomorrow after the close
  • Bwhitty: @romanalexk $SFM I put stop at 27.29 to lock in small loss. But if it wants to run up the rest of the day for short money I will sell at the close.
  • romanalexk: @BocaRick $SFM Thank you. I am thinking to hold one more day and close tomorrow or close position right now.
  • romanalexk: @Bwhitty $SFM Great plan! The breakout volume beautiful and pullback was orderly. Current volume over 100% above average.
  • Auto: @Bwhitty $SFM looking at financials this could head north after E holding some over 8>)
  • babas: @rverkamp $SFM When was this taken out of the GSL? Still holding a small position that is dead money before earnings
  • rverkamp: @babas $SFM I looked after posting and don't believe it was. I am sure @Dan will take it off prior to earnings. See others post above
  • phgruver: @rverkamp $SFM It's not on the GSL. @Dan mentioned it a week ago, when it broke out, on volume, as a possible earnings run. Since that time, though, it has flagged on declining volume. The chart does look constructive, but it's not a typical GSL trade. I have a fairly small position that's a whole $22 underwater, but I like the investment. I've decided to hold through earnings, and may add, if it pulls back a bit. The implied move, for $SFM, is about $1 up or down. If it stays within that range, I'm good holding, or even adding. IMHO, I think their growth prospects are better than for other grocery stores.
  • Bwhitty: @phgruver $SFM was added to GSL 3:05pm 7/21
  • phgruver: @Bwhitty $SFM It's not there now....
  • Bwhitty: @phgruver $SFM sometime it takes awhile to see them on there. And I am sure no one is in a hurry to add it now 🤷‍♂️
  • phgruver: @Bwhitty $SFM 7/21 was a breakout on high volume, but then it pulled back for 3 consecutive days, and I think that's what got it bumped off the GSL, it didn't do what was expected. I did my own research, though, and felt that it was something I wanted to own, so I opened a starter position. I wouldn't buy it RHRN, though, because of earnings. Let's see how it reports. If it doesn't totally tank, a modest pullback could be a buying opportunity, and if it rockets higher, one could add on momentum, just don't chase. Long term, I like what they are doing. I think they will continue to take market share from the cookie cutter supermarkets. Better quality, better variety and competitive prices. It's all good.....
  • Bwhitty: @phgruver $SFM hmmmm... stop was set at 25 and change. Cant find anything about it being removed. I am out of all except a 1/4 at this point anyway.
  • DAN: ...
    $SFM -- Phase 3? -- earnings tomorrow pm. Alert $28.00
    $TGT -- Under accumulation. Alert $125.00
    $HAIN -- Continuing the move along the BBand. Use 8 day EMA as support line.
    $CROX -- Setting up in a squeeze. Alert $36.80
    $LULU -- Still in consol ...
  • romanalexk: $SFM earnings tomorrow after the market close. Still in pullback phase. Probably close the position by the end of today.
  • wijimmy: @romanalexk $SFM They report 7/29 after market close WED...
  • romanalexk: @wijimmy $SFM Oh yeah! Thank you! Well then I will give it another day then. Pullback is very orderly but no profit cushion to hold into earnings
  • wijimmy: @romanalexk $SFM .. I hear you... People staying home and eating fresh they could report big numbers and good guidance ... maybe worth keeping some over earnings...
  • romanalexk: @wijimmy $SFM Good point! I might keep half. It all depends how the market is feeling. Happy Trading!
  • Nepenthe: @DAN $CIEN I noticed in your Morning Market Update email that there is no mention of $SFM. I've read the thread on it from others, but I'd be curious as to your thoughts on it also. I have a small break-even position that I plan to sell before earnings; primarily because too many other positions are working well, I try to keep my positions at a manageable number for my addled brain, and I added $CIEN. Your take always helps in the learning curve. Cheers.
  • DAN: @Nepenthe $CIEN $SFM Hi Nepenthe. Can't cover every stock. SFM reports earnings tomorrow. My textbook approach: It is always risky to hold a stock with no profit over earnings. It's gambling. Sometimes you hit green, and sometimes you hit red. Your guess is as good as mine. If you had a really solid profit that was above where the implied move was (currently, $3.24 in either direction), then you might decide to sell half and let the other half run. This assures a profit in the stock, while still leaving yourself more room for additional gains. Dan
  • Bwhitty: @DAN $CIEN $SFM I was also wondering how you might recommend playing this one. Going into earnings in the red on it.
  • Herb: @DAN $SFM thoughts?
  • DAN: @wijimmy $SFM Keep in mind that $SFM is like any other grocery store. While the food is better, I'm not sure that it will benefit beyond other grocery stores...though I could certainly be wrong. The other side of that argument is that many people h ...
  • DAN: @Bwhitty $CIEN $SFM I wouldn't play it. Holding an unprofitable stock over earnings is just risky. So who knows which way the stock will go? I certainly don't.
  • Nepenthe: @DAN $CIEN $SFM Thanks Dan. I hadn't meant it as criticism, as I know how busy you are, and therefore very rarely pester you with posts. Merely wanted to check how my SMM education is progressing after years of struggle, and, frankly, it's doing quite well thanks to your mentoring, as well as following others in the forum. At times I seek but a bit of substantiation is all; my thoughts echo yours on this trade; hence, I feel I'm going in the right direction. Cheers.
  • scottrades: @Herb $SFM Check Dan's post below about $SFM
  • DAN: @Herb $SFM I have none other than what I've already posted.
  • Angdionk: $SFM seems like it wants to start working on phase 3
  • Bwhitty: @Angdionk $SFM we do not have much for room to give it at this point so hurry it along 👍
  • success: @Bwhitty $SFM sold out of my starter position . .small loss . . no need to roll the dice
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Stock Price $147.13
Change 0.85%
Volume 1,104,400

Sprouts Farmers Market LLC is a specialty retailer of natural and organic food focusing on health and wellness. The Company offers fresh produce, bulk foods, vitamins and supplements, grocery, meat and seafood, bakery, dairy, frozen foods, body care etc.

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